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San Jose State vs. Texas
- Point-Spread: Tex -37
- O/U Total: 51
- Implied Score: Tex 44 – SJSU 7
- Weather: 85 degrees / 9% rain / 3 mph winds
San Jose State:
Top Play(s) – WR Danny Scudero ($5,600) All offseason we said there won’t be another Nick Nash, there won’t be another Nick Nash. Well, there might be another Nick Nash. Scudero backed up the glowing offseason reports with 9-189-1 on 13 targets in the loss to Central Michigan last week. Texas is obviously a few steps up in class, particularly when they’ll be motivated coming after a loss to OSU. Scudero is the only SJSU player of mild interest.
Fade – QB Walker Eget ($5,700) and WR Matthew Coleman ($4,900) Wouldn’t surprise us to see Eget get replaced at some point in the year after his disappointing opener. Coleman was relegated to backup slot receiver and fifth among wideouts in snaps played vs. CMU. The dream is probably dead there.
Bargain Bin – TE Jackson Canaan ($3,600) The senior tight end played 57 of 72 snaps, converting on all five of his targets in Week 1. Texas had no issues blanketing Ohio State’s Max Klare last week, though, limiting him to a single catch.
Pivot Play – WR Leland Smith ($5,200) The outside receiver simply doesn’t present as much value in the Spread N’ Shread as Scudero will in the slot, but Smith did have an impressive touchdown reception in Week 1 and played every single offensive snap against CMU.
Best of the Rest – WR Malachi Riley ($4,000) The Arizona transfer played just 28 of 72 offensive snaps, splitting time with WR Kyri Shoels ($3,000) at the second outside receiver position, and was targeted just twice for minimal yardage. The only receiver we truly want to target, if any this week, is Scudero.
Injury Notes – n/a
Texas:
Top Play(s) – QB Arch Manning ($9,600) The salary + projection doesn’t make this seem feasible to play Manning this week, but he’s the one Texas option that we KNOW is going to have the ball in his hands on Saturday. The backfield carries are split, and it didn’t look like Texas had a legitimate WR1, at least for one week, against Ohio State. 4-5 touchdowns to 4-5 different players wouldn’t surprise us in the slightest.
Fade – RB Tre Wisner ($8,300) We’re going to see this all across the country with playoff contending teams ala Texas, Ohio State, Penn State, etc. Teams expecting to play 14-15 games in a season are not going to run any of their RBs into the ground, particularly when you have ample depth to avoid that. Texas has it, especially with a healthy RB CJ Baxter ($6,400) as we saw a week ago. Going cheap at RB (see below) is the better route.
Bargain Bin – RB Christian Clark ($3,000) or RB Jerrick Gibson ($3,400) I considered making Clark my top play on the Texas side as we’re likely to see 3-4 running backs play Saturday for the Longhorns. Clark, another Texas back coming off injury, was having an outstanding offseason with some insiders thinking he’d have a chance at claiming the RB1 role at some point in the year. He’s the best min priced option on the slate.
Pivot Play – TE Jack Endries ($6,200) The transition from Gunnar Helm to Jack Endries looked seamless, with the Cal transfer finishing with a team-best 50 receiving yards with four receptions on five targets. It should’ve been 5-for-5 if it hadn’t been for Manning’s inaccuracy throughout the game.
Best of the Rest – WRs. Not expecting to see Emmett Mosley again this week against a G5 opponent, so we’re anticipating the same rotation of Ryan Wingo, DeAndre Moore Jr. and Parker Livingstone through the first half at least. Wingo led the Longhorns in targets vs. Ohio State (8), but if we’re expecting the starting group to only play 2-3 quarters here, Moore might make the most sense at his $4.8k salary.
Injury Notes – WR Emmett Mosley (Questionable)
Florida International vs. Penn State
- Point-Spread: PSU -41.5
- O/U Total: 54.5
- Implied Score: PSU 47 – FIU 6.5
- Weather: 70 degrees / 14% rain / 8 mph winds
FIU:
Just one player – QB Keyone Jenkins ($5,100) – projected to score more than seven fantasy points, and we’re not playing a QB with a projected total of 11 points on a Main Slate. Penn State coaches will be getting after their defenders this week for even allowing 11 points to Nevada last Saturday. FWIW – WR Alex Perry ($4,500) did play significantly-more snaps than any other wide receiver vs. Bethune Cookman in Week 1, and the Nittany Lions did allow 7-76-1 to Nevada WR1 Marcus Bellon.
Penn State:
Top Play(s) – WR Kyron Hudson ($4,200) Penn State showed off their shiny new toys, paid and sponsored for by NIL, as Hudson posted 6-89-1 on a team-best eight targets. WR Trebor Pena ($5,800) also had eight targets and was very productive in the middle of the field, but we’ll take a pricing discount with Hudson as the top option. Both are viable.
Fade – TE Luke Reynolds ($6,100) We didn’t think there would be a Tyler Warren-esque player this year for the Nittany Lions, and now that feels all but confirmed even after one week. Reynolds is supremely talented, but was targeted just twice vs. Nevada, and it appears that the wide receivers for the Nittany Lions will have a bigger role this year. Can’t justify this pricing at all.
Bargain Bin – RB Cam Wallace ($3,000) It was with 14:47 left in the fourth quarter that Wallace saw his first carry of the game. Wallace and fellow backfield mate Corey Smith would both finish the day with five carries each. Assuming the game script plays out the same way against another inferior opponent, both will see the field again on Saturday in the second half.
Pivot Play – QB Drew Allar ($8,200) Extremely efficient performance from Allar against Nevada, completing 85% of his passes with zero turnovers. The touchdowns will come, and the implied team total of nearly seven TDs this week signals they’re arriving on Saturday. Like Allar as one of my two QB options this week.
Best of the Rest – RB Nick Singleton ($9,000) Tough to envision the workload for Singleton or RB Kaytron Allen ($7,500) changing drastically against FIU this week. What’s the point with an even bigger point spread this week. It is a good opportunity to continue to work on the passing game with the new receivers and get some younger backs like Cam Wallace and Corey Smith in the game. Volume simply won’t be there to warrant spending this capital.
Injury Notes – n/a
Baylor vs. SMU
- Point-Spread: SMU -3
- O/U Total: 65
- Implied Score: SMU 34 – Bay 31
- Weather: 79 degrees / 20% rain / 7 mph winds
Baylor:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
