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Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State
- Point-Spread: LT -6.5
- O/U Total: 45.5
- Implied Score: LT 26 – KSU 19.5
- Weather: 64 degrees / 10% rain / 12 mph winds
Louisiana Tech:
Top Play(s) – RB Clay Thevenin ($3,400) This will be one to watch in the pregame. RB Omiri Wiggins ($7,500) was the team’s starter throughout the first month of the season and did start last time out against UTEP in Week 5. But he gave way to Thevenin who carries the ball 19 times for 68 yards and a score. Stay tuned to theCFFSite discord for possible new leading up to kickoff. Louisiana Tech is 8th nationally in rush play percentage at 62.6% so we know what the Bulldogs are attempting to do offensively.
Fade – QBs This is not the offense we envisioned Louisiana Tech having when Sonny Cumbie was hired, but hey, whatever works right? The Bulldogs are 11th in Conference USA in yards per game through the air and might play multiple quarterbacks on Thursday. Blake Baker started the previous two games while Cumbie stated on Monday that Trey Kukuk would be available and play as well.
Best of the Rest – Pass-Catchers. Minimal interest in the La Tech receivers and tight ends with how ineffective the pass game has been, ranking 121st in success rate. TE Eli Finley ($5,600) doesn’t have the stats to warrant consideration but is on the field over 90% of the time each week. WRs Marques Singleton ($4,400) and WR Devin Gandy ($4,800) are tied for the team lead in targets (20) and are consistently on the field more than the other La Tech wideouts.
Injury Notes – n/a
Kennesaw State:
Top Play(s) – WR Gabriel Benyard ($5,500) The running back turned receiver has made a successful transition, having now found the end-zone in each of the last three games with a receiving touchdown. By far the most productive offensive player for the Owls.
Fade – RB Coleman Bennett ($5,700) For RBs on the slate, I’d rather spend up for a Cam Cook or OJ Arnold or go bargain shopping. Bennett is the starter and has played well, averaging five yards per attempt and coming off his first 100-yard rushing performance of the season. The Louisiana Tech run defense is the best in the conference, though, allowing just 3.3 YPC and rank 8th nationally in rush D success rate. Not a complete fade but would limit my exposure.
Bargain Bin – TE Gerard Bullock Jr. ($3,100) Bullock transferred over from Tennessee State in the offseason where he caught 25 passes for 212 yards and two scores a season ago. His impact hasn’t been great thus far, but he is coming off his best performance of the year with 34 yards and a touchdown vs. Middle Tennessee. Bullock plays over 80% of the team’s offensive snaps.
Pivot Play – QB Amari Odom ($6,000) Seems like Odom will be the starter on Thursday despite the Q tag on DraftKings and is relatively cheap for an athlete at the QB position with 30 or more rushing yards in the last three starts. Louisiana Tech is just 8th in the conference in yards allowed through the air (240.8 YPG) and being a touchdown underdog should give Odom the game script advantage.
Best of the Rest – WR Lyndon Ravare ($4,700) or WR Christian Moss ($4,400) Kennesaw State does not rotate much at all at wide receiver, so your choices come down to Benyard, Ravare or Moss. Moss has been the more efficient of the two options with a 68 percent catch rate, while Ravare – a Fresno State transfer – is the team leader in routes run. That trio combines for 62% of the team’s targets.
Injury Notes – n/a
East Carolina vs. Tulane
- Point-Spread: Tul -6.5
- O/U Total: 54.5
- Implied Score: Tul 30.5 – ECU 24
- Weather: 81 degrees / 10% rain / 8 mph winds
East Carolina:
Top Play(s) – WR Anthony Smith ($6,800) or WR Yannick Smith ($5,900) I’d look to have at least one of the Smith Bros in each lineup you create. The top three receivers for ECU account for 56% of the team’s target volume with 65% of the receiving production. Tulane is 12th in the American in yards allowed per game through the air.
Fade – RBs. Full-blown committee, split three ways between London Montgomery, Parker Jenkins and Marlon Gunn, with Houser’s legs mixed in as well. If leaning in one direction, it would be Montgomery who is the “starter” in name and does lead the team in rushing attempts and yards. Tulane is middle of the pack in the American in yards allowed per game on the ground, but also 128th in rush D success rate. East Carolina probably isn’t the team to take advantage but might find some running room on Thursday.
Bargain Bin – TE Jayvontay Conner ($3,500) Two or more receptions in four of the five games played for the Ole Miss transfer. Conner found the end-zone last time out against Army in Week 5. Passing game funnels around the starting trio of receivers, so this is a long shot play.
Pivot Play – WR Brock Spalding ($5,000) It was thought that Oklahoma transfer Jaquaize Pettaway would be the team’s starting slot receiver in 2025. Not the case as Spalding has been hyper-efficient with 22 receptions on 25 targets (88% catch rate) and a team best 3.17 yards per route run.
Best of the Rest – QB Katin Houser ($8,100) There’s limited quarterback options on the slate, but Houser is not the fantasy QB he was a year ago. Mostly because he doesn’t have to be, with ECU having the No. 1 scoring defense in the conference. That said, ECU is an underdog, and passing volume is up from a year ago, averaging 36 attp/g compared to just 32 attp/g in 2024. High floor option that won’t kill your lineups.
Injury Notes – n/a
Tulane:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
