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Arizona vs. Cincinnati
- Point-Spread: Cin -6.5
- O/U Total: 56.5
- Implied Score: Cin 31.5 – Ariz 25
- Weather: 61 degrees / 15% rain / 8 mph winds
Arizona:
Top Play(s) – QB Noah Fifita ($7,100) Admittedly ready for a slate that does NOT include Arizona as one of the most difficult teams to figure out offensively. Or maybe we have figured it out and it’s as simple as… don’t roster anyone here but the QB. Solid matchup for Fifita here as a spend-down option at quarterback, facing a defense that is 13th in the B12 in yards allowed through the air and giving up 23 FPPG to opposing QBs this season. Quarterbacks are averaging over 26% more than their seasonal average when facing Cincy this season, and game script should be in Fifita’s favor as an underdog.
Fade – RB Kedrick Reescano ($4,300) No Arizona running back has carried the ball more than 10 times since Week 8, and that included a very competitive matchup last week against Kansas. This is an RBBC all the way. If you’re desperately interested in an Arizona running back, maybe give RB Quincy Craig ($4,100) a look after scoring twice last week – one through the air and one on the ground. Craig is now averaging over seven yards a carry this season and probably deserves more looks. His 45% of snaps played last week was the most of any Arizona back.
Bargain Bin – WR Tre Spivey ($3,000) Spivey at min pricing continues to be a mystery, despite scoring just five fantasy points last week vs. Kansas. His six targets were second on the team behind only Kris Hutson and played a season high 98.4% of the team’s snaps. The Arizona WR room has been a jumbled mess most of the year, but there’s now separation between the top two wideouts and the rest of the group.
Pivot Play – WR Kris Hutson ($5,300) Team leader in all receiving categories with at least four receptions now in each of the last four games. Cincinnati is allowing around 38 FPPG to opposing WR rooms, and like Fifita, the game script should be in favor of the passing components for Arizona.
Best of the Rest – WR Javin Whatley ($4,700) Whatley is a GPP play as most DFS players will either spend up for Hutson or go cheap with Spivey. Whatley should have next to nothing in terms of ownership, despite being second on the team in routes run and second in touchdowns (4). Whatley was targeted five times vs. Kansas but was not nearly on the field as much as either Spivey or Hutson was.
Injury Notes – n/a
Cincinnati:
Top Play(s) – QB Brendan Sorsby ($8,800) Sorsby currently ranks as QB6 in college fantasy in total points scored this season, but this is one of the more difficult matchups he’ll have this season as Arizona is 5th in the nation in pass D success rate, second in the B12 in yards allowed through the air and giving up just 19 FPPG to quarterbacks this season. Teams have very much gone to the ground recently against this Arizona defense, both with running backs and the QB, which should favor Sorsby here. Houston’s Conner Weigman had nearly 100 yards rushing and a TD on 14 carries vs. the Wildcats, while BYU’s Bear Bachmeier carried the rock 22 times for 100 yards in his matchup against Arizona. And most recently last week with Jalon Daniels going for 74 yards on 14 attempts. If not DFS, maybe look at Sorsby’s rushing prop overs.
Bargain Bin – Caleb Goodie ($3,400) There’s three cheap WR options for Cincy, but Goodie is the preferred of that trio with his role in the offense established as one of the boundary receivers. Noah Jennings and Jeff Caldwell have popped some weeks but continue to rotate reps at the spot opposite Goodie. The former Colorado State transfer is first on the team in routes run, second in targets (39), and on the field almost 70% of the time.
Pivot Play – RB Tawee Walker ($5,300) Opponents have leaned heavily into the run game when facing this stingy Arizona secondary, both with the QB and RB. Daniel Hishaw had 18 rushing attempts last week. Dean Connors had 20 attempts vs. Arizona. LJ Martin accounted for 26 rushing attempts in his matchup with the Wildcats. Evan Pryor is questionable as of Wednesday writing this, but if he’s out, Walker is definitely in play.
Best of the Rest – WR Cyrus Allen ($5,300) Overall, the Arizona pass defense ranks highly, but we’ve seen some strong performances from opposing Big 12 receivers against them in the last month. Amare Thomas had 69 yards and two scores. Emmanuel Henderson found the end-zone last week. BYU’s Parker Kingston went for 100+. And then Colorado’s Omarion Miller had nearly 100 yards with two scores. Three of the four spend time in the slot or play exclusively inside. Cyrus Allen lines up in the slot 93.4% of the time.
Injury Notes – RB Evan Pryor (questionable)
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh
- Point-Spread: ND -10.5
- O/U Total: 55.5
- Implied Score: ND 33 – Pitt 22.5
- Weather: 50 degrees / 33% rain / 5 mph winds
Notre Dame:
Top Play(s) – QB CJ Carr ($7,200) Feels weird not having Jeremiyah Love up in the top spot, but the matchup dictates otherwise. The Pitt pass defense is slightly below average compared to ACC standards, ranked 10th in the conference in yards allowed per game and the fourth most passing touchdowns give up (18). Stanford just racked up over 330 passing yards against the Pitt secondary last time out. Carr is playable at this pricing and does not need to be stacked with an ND pass-catcher either.
Fade – RB Jadarian Price ($6,100) It’s been tougher sledding for Price in the last month, averaging just 4.3 yards per carry in the previous four games (7.7 YPC in first five games) with two fumbles in that stretch. Pitt is only allowing a combined 17 FPPG to opposing backfields this season, and we think it actually makes more sense to spend up for Love here than play Price in this matchup. There’s similar RBs in this range that aren’t RB2s on their own team.
Bargain Bin – TE Eli Raridon ($3,800) Tough to tout a player that did not record a reception last week, but Raridon also wasn’t needed in the 49-10 blowout of Navy. If there was ever a matchup for Raridon to break out, this would be the one, facing a Pitt defense that is allowing the most fantasy points to tight ends of any team in the country. Just in the last two games with saw both Stanford’s Sam Roush and NC State’s Justin Joly post over 100 receiving yards in their matchups vs. the Panthers.
Pivot Play – RB Jeremiyah Love ($10,000) The argument in favor of Love is related to Notre Dame needing to win to stay in the CFP conversation and Love having a big outing to remain in the Heisman Trophy discussion. On paper, it doesn’t make sense to spend up for Love this week, facing the No. 3 ranked run defense in the country and best run defense in the ACC. We expect the usage to be very high for Love on Saturday, and still projects well at 24 fantasy points, but the salary is too steep a cost.
Best of the Rest – WRs. Not required to have a Notre Dame receiver in any of your lineups, regardless of if you play CJ Carr or not as its relatively equal distribution and production between the top three wideouts.
Injury Notes – n/a
Pitt:
Top Play(s) – WR Raphael Williams ($4,300) or WR Kenny Johnson ($4,900) Teams have been able to throw on Notre Dame lately, with the last two P4 opponents – Boston College and USC – combining for over 600 passing yards against the Irish. And we know Pitt wants to throw, ranked 35th nationally in pass play rate. Don’t think this is a stackable situation where we play both Williams and Johnson, but we’ve seen recent success from WRs facing Notre Dame with Lewis Bond (8-92-0) and Ja’Kobi Lane (6-111-1).
Bargain Bin – WR Cataurus Hicks ($3,100) It’s the unpredictability that is unfortunate when it comes to Hicks, because he’s super cheap for a player that is third on the team in routes run and tied for second in touchdowns (4). There’s simply no middle when it comes to Hicks – you’re either getting 25 fantasy points or five fantasy points. Hicks’ best performances have come in some of Pitt’s most competitive matchups with 100+ yards against both Louisville and NC State.
Pivot Play – RB Ja’Kyrian Turner ($4,800) This is IF RB Desmond Reid ($5,800) does not play Saturday, but early indications are that the senior running back will be available following the bye week. Turner, a true freshman, is coming off back-to-back 20-point performances in the last two games and has hit that mark three times in the last four. Similar in stature to Reid at just 5-foot-9, 180 pounds, Turner is the future at the position and held some fantasy value even when Reid was in the lineup, rushing for two touchdowns in the win over Florida State back in Week 7. Notre Dame is only allowing 17.3 FPPG to opposing backfields this season, so it is also entirely possible to fade this situation regardless of Reid’s status.
Best of the Rest – QB Mason Heintschel ($8,500) Big spot here for a freshman quarterback. Projection is fine at 21 fantasy points – it’s just that we have two quarterbacks with better projections (Marcel Reed / Jeff Sims) at lower costs, and close enough to the top-tier QBs in salary to just spend up for a Taylen Green for example. If playing Heinstchel, a game stack with CJ Carr and a Pitt wideout makes the most sense. Notre Dame is allowing just 17 FPPG to quarterbacks this season.
Injury Notes – RB Desmond Reid (probable)
Michigan vs. Northwestern
- Point-Spread: Mich -11.5
- O/U Total: 41.5
- Implied Score: Mich 26.5 – NW 15
- Weather: 57 degrees / 5% rain / 13 mph winds
Michigan:
Top Play(s) – RB Jordan Marshall ($7,100) Start all your lineup builds by locking in Marshall, says this Michigan fan writer. Justice Haynes won’t be playing and just two running backs outside of Marshall saw carries against Purdue – a 3-star freshman and a walk-on. 20+ touches for Marshall on Saturday is a near lock.
Bargain Bin – TE Zack Marshall ($3,000) Want to guess who was the highest rated tight end in the country in Week 10, according to Pro Football Focus? Marshall has arguably been the best tight end on Michigan’s roster in the second half of the season, with 130 of his 159 receiving yards coming in the last three games. Doubtful that we see Hogan Hansen return this week, so Marshall will see the field plenty on Saturday.
Pivot Play – WR Andrew Marsh ($4,500) or WR Donaven McCulley ($5,100) Tough to suggest playing either Marsh or McCulley when Michigan hasn’t thrown a passing touchdown in the last two games with just 231 receiving yards total in that stretch. USC’s Ja’Kobi Lane and Makai Lemon had more than that last week alone vs. Northwestern. Both are playable, but limit one per lineup. McCulley played a season-low 47% of snaps against Purdue in Week 10, as Michigan was in a ton of heavy offensive sets with two and even three tight ends on the field, throughout the game.
Best of the Rest – QB Bryce Underwood ($6,800) Underwood is not playable at this point in any college fantasy format, now averaging just 13.1 fantasy points per game against P4 opponents. For the season, Northwestern is giving up just 15.7 FPPG to quarterbacks.
Injury Notes – RB Justice Haynes (doubtful), TE Hogan Hansen (doubtful)
Northwestern:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
