Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
BYU vs. Texas Tech
- Point-Spread: TT -12.5
- O/U Total: 50.5
- Implied Score: TT 31.5 – BYU 19
- Weather: Dome
BYU:
Top Play(s) – TE Carsen Ryan ($3,900) We should aim to have at least one BYU pass-catcher per lineup if we think this game plays out similarly to the last time these two teams met where BYU threw the ball a season-high 38 times. The WRs are options as well, but tight ends have found the most success against this Texas Tech defensive scheme this season, averaging over 13 FPPG. There were three instances where a tight end was the leading receiver against Texas Tech this season, and a fourth matchup against Kansas where TE Boden Groen caught 13 passes against the Red Raiders.
Fade – RB LJ Martin ($7,200) or QB Bear Bachmeier ($7,600) Martin and Bachmeier had phenomenal seasons and were two of the best and most consistent fantasy producers in the entire country in 2025. But as the kids would say, this Texas Tech defense is a “wagon.” We do not play RBs or QBs facing this Red Raider defensive group. QBs are averaging just 14 FPPG against Texas Tech this season, while opposing backfields are scoring 39% below their seasonal average against the No. 1 run defense in the country.
Best of the Rest – WRs. Volume should be there for Chase Roberts and Parker Kingston, if we think this game plays out similarly to last, as the duo combined for 22 targets in the first meeting. Would probably limit to just one BYU receiver per lineup, as there’s a world in which this is another blowout. Tech only allows a combined 25 FPPG to opposing WR groups. WR JoJo Phillips ($3,300) functions as the WR3 for the Cougars, playing over 72% of the team’s snaps since returning from injury.
Injury Notes – n/a
Texas Tech:
Top Play(s) – RB Cameron Dickey ($7,800) Dickey had four games this season where he accumulated 20 or more rushing attempts this season, one of which came in the previous matchup with BYU, rushing for 121 yards and a TD. The BYU run defense is third in the Big 12 in yards allowed but rank just 63rd in explosive run plays allowed this season. Dickey’s second longest run of the year (33 yards) came in the previous matchup.
Fade – QB Behren Morton ($6,700) Morton’s second lowest fantasy output of the season came in the previous matchup, scoring just eight points, while being sacked four times resulting in -47 yards rushing. If playing Morton, he’d need to be paired with at least one Tech pass-catcher, and probably two, banking on the Texas Tech passing game winning the day. That seems unlikely, with BYU allowing just 15 FPPG to quarterbacks this season.
Best of the Rest – WR Caleb Douglas ($6,200) What’s been a WR by committee most of the year seems to be seeing some separation in the last month, namely with Douglas with six of his seven TDs this season have come in the last five games. WR Reggie Virgil ($5,500) was questionable coming into last week vs. UCF, but wound up playing 93% of snaps last week, running the most routes of any Texas Tech wideout against the Knights. Just two games ago he had three touchdowns, two rushing, against UCF. Virgil will have significantly less ownership than Douglas. TE Terrance Carter Jr. ($4,300) had just 41 receiving yards in the first matchup with BYU, and the Cougars have done an excellent job this season defending tight ends, allowing just 6.5 FPPG to the position.
Injury Notes – n/a
Miami (Ohio) vs. Western Michigan
- Point-Spread: WMU -2.5
- O/U Total: 43.5
- Implied Score: WMU 23 – MOH 20.5
- Weather: Dome
Miami (OH)
Top Play(s) – WR Kam Perry ($4,800) Perry is the team leads in targets (77), receiving yards (854) with six of the team’s 16 receiving touchdowns, but we should specifically isolate the final two games with Thomas Gotkowski at QB. Perry was targeted 17 times in the two games with Gotkowski throwing the football, with a combined 159 receiving yards and a touchdown against both Buffalo and Ball State. Perry is not an efficient WR with a 44% catch rate and three drops, but he offers the big-play ability the others lack, averaging 25.1 YPC and an aDOT of 19.0.
Bargain Bin – QB Thomas Gotkowski ($6,100) The true freshman quarterback has become a fan favorite for the RedHawks, taking over the starting job from Dequan Finn who quit on his team in November to prepare for the NFL (LOL). While Gotkowski did score 20+ fantasy points in both of his starts, those came against the 10th and 6th ranked scoring defenses in the MAC. Western Michigan is second in the conference in scoring and allowed just 13 FPPG to quarterbacks this season. Gotkowski can run, but we’ll look elsewhere at the QB position.
Pivot Play – WR Cole Weaver ($4,500) Perry will see the higher ownership as he’s found the end zone six times, compared to zero for Weaver this season. Take touchdowns out of the equation, and Weaver’s been as productive, specifically of late with 28 of his 40 receptions this season coming in the last five weeks. With Gotkowski at QB, Weaver has been targeted 15 times in the last two games with 10 receptions.
Best of the Rest – RB Jordan Brunson ($5,300) Brunson has been solid this season since taking over the starting RB1 job, rushing for 668 yards on 143 attempts (4.8 YPC). The issue here is that his best performances this season – at Buffalo / vs. Eastern Michigan – came against the 8th and 13th ranked run defenses in the MAC. WMU is third in the conference in yards allowed, giving up a combined 20 FPPG to opposing backfields. 35% of the rush yards allowed by Western Michigan this season did come in the last three games, though, so this group is trending down. WR Braylon Isom ($3,100) was a listed starter in Week 14 as the team’s WR3, and the freshman closed the year with two receiving touchdowns vs. Ball State.
Injury Notes – n/a
Western Michigan:
Top Play(s) – QB Broc Lowry ($6,500) Strength on strength Saturday with the Western Michigan run game facing the No. 2 run defense in the MAC. WMU wants to keep the ball on the ground, ranked 9th in the country in run play rate at 63.4%, and Lowry is an integral part of that, leading the team in attempts (173), yards (971) and touchdowns (14). Lowry was also one of the most consistent QBs in all of college fantasy, scoring 20+ fantasy points in eight of his last nine starts. Miami (Ohio) is only allowing 17 FPPG to quarterbacks this season, but you can’t beat that salary for a dual threat QB like Lowry.
Pivot Play – RB Jalen Buckley ($6,000) Buckley did not live up to expectations coming into the year in college fantasy but came on in the back half of the year with five rushing touchdowns in his last four games. The game before that final stretch? A 33-yard performance on just nine attempts against this same Miami (Ohio) defense. Lowry is the better play of the two, but we can stack the WMU backfield because of how much the Broncos run the football. Opposing backfields did not fare well against MOH this season, scoring 26% below their seasonal fantasy average.
Best of the Rest – WRs. When a team throws the ball just 36% of the time, there’s usually no need to roster any of the receivers. That said, the 29 pass attempts from Western Michigan in the Week 9 matchup vs. MOH tied the second-highest number for WMU this season, behind only the opener against Michigan State. WR Tailique Williams ($4,600) is the team’s most experienced receiver and had one of his best performances of the year in the previous matchup with 71 yards and a TD on five receptions. Against Eastern Michigan in Week 14, Williams ran just eight routes, but saw five carries in the run game, resulting in 67 yards and a TD.
Injury Notes – n/a
Georgia vs. Alabama
- Point-Spread: UGA -2.5
- O/U Total: 47.5
- Implied Score: UGA 25 – Ala 22.5
- Weather: Dome
Georgia:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
