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Central Michigan vs. Northwestern
- Point-Spread: NW -10.5
- O/U Total: 42.5
- Implied Score: NW 26.5 – CMU 16
- Weather: Dome
Central Michigan:
Fade – QB Joey Labas ($6,800) If you were to play a Central Michigan quarterback on this slate (not advised), we would rather you go with QB Angel Flores ($6,300) who is utilized exclusively as a wildcat running option. Flores has not played since October when he was on a five-game streak of scoring at least 15 fantasy points but is reportedly healthy and expected to play on Friday. Flores gives the offense a significant boost, as the Chips averaged 201 YPG with him in the lineup, and just 102 YPG without.
Bargain Bin – WR Tommy McIntosh ($3,900) McIntosh is a former Wisconsin transfer that came on strong in the last three weeks with 13 of his 27 receptions coming in that span, with two 80-yard receiving performances. McIntosh is second on the team in routes run, playing over 76% of the team’s offensive snaps over the last five weeks, and is tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns (3).
Pivot Play – RB Brock Townsend ($5,000) Central Michigan is a full-fledged running back by committee, but Townsend would be the choice if selecting one of the CMU rushers. Why? Nine red-zone rushing attempts over the last two games for the freshman running back. Angel Flores returning to the lineup could complicate matters, though. CMU should be able to run some on Northwestern, as the Wildcats are 123rd in stuff rate, 123rd in rush D success rate and 99th in explosive run plays allowed.
Best of the Rest – WR Langston Lewis ($4,600) Team leader in all receiving categories that also caught fire down the stretch like McIntosh with multiple 100-yard receiving performances. Lewis barely came off the field in the month of November, playing over 92% of the team’s offensive snaps. Lewis and McIntosh are the clear top two, but WR Tyson Davis ($3,600) is the pivot option, catching at least two passes in each of his last four games. His playing time steadily rose in the second half of the season. Max one CMU receiver per lineup as the Chips are 5th nationally in rush play percentage.
Opt Outs / Injury Notes – QB Angel Flores (probable)
Northwestern:
Top Play(s) – RB Caleb Komolafe ($6,700) Just have to make sure the Komolafe is full-go for Friday, which comments by HC David Braun indicate he should be. Central Michigan did finish in the top half of the MAC in yards allowed on the ground, but Northwestern is one of the more efficient rushing teams in the B1G, ranked 47th in rush success rate. Komolafe scored a touchdown in eight of his last nine games before missing the season finale due to injury.
Bargain Bin – WR Hayden Eligon II ($4,400) Eligon emerged as a legitimate WR2 behind Griffin Wilde over the second half of the year, and was outstanding in the last two games, combining for 45 fantasy points and over 200 receiving yards in the last two weeks. One of which being a snowstorm in Week 14 vs. Illinois where Eligon was targeted 13 times. If Eligon can put up those numbers in 8 inches of snow, he should be capable of doing so in the friendly confines of Ford Field.
Pivot Play – WR Griffin Wilde ($5,800) Wilde was Northwestern’s alpha receiver for the majority of the season, with 29% of the team’s target share, 6 of the 14 receiving touchdowns and nearly double the amount of receptions as the next closest wideout on the team. With WR3 Drew Wagner being questionable, the passing game funneled through Wilde and Eligon to where it’s possible to stack in GPP. Most of my lineup builds will have one of Wilde or Eligon.
Best of the Rest – QB Preston Stone ($7,100) Cannot outright discount any QB on the slate given the lack of options, but Stone scored 20+ fantasy points just three times in 12 starters. CMU allowed just 19 FPPG to quarterbacks this season and ranked 42nd in rush D success rate and 28th in EPA per pass play – great numbers for a MAC defense. RB Robby Preckel ($4,100) If we find out that both Komolafe and Himon are out, it would be freshman Robby Preckel getting the starting nod. We saw what he was capable of in the finale vs. Illinois with 82 yards on 22 rushing attempts.
Opt Outs / Injury Notes – RB Caleb Komolafe (probable), RB Joseph Himon (probable), WR Drew Wagner (questionable)
New Mexico vs. Minnesota
- Point-Spread: Minn -2.5
- O/U Total: 43.5
- Implied Score: Minn 23 – NM 20.5
- Weather: 72 degrees / 2% rain / 3 mph winds
New Mexico:
Top Play(s) –
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To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
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