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Game scripts played a major role, but the Wildcats threw the ball a ton last season, averaging 36.5 attempts per game, which ranked 20th nationally. In 10 out of 12 games, Arizona attempted 35 attempts or more. Will that continue in 2022? |
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This is a program on a downward spiral that could implode in 2022. The one positive that can be said about Herm Edwards is his program has produced top-tier fantasy running backs, as the RB1 has averaged 23.1 FPPG in the last four years. Will one of Xazavian Valladay or Daniyel Ngata emerge as the clear-cut starter? |
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If you’re looking for an impact freshman to play right away, look towards incoming 4-star RB Jadyn Ott, who enrolled early for the spring and locked up the No. 2 job behind projected starter Damien Moore. OC Bill Musgrave loves incorporating multiple running backs into the game plan, with his RB2 averaging 28.7% of the volume share over the last three years as a play-caller. |
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At each of his last three stops, Mike Sanford’s offenses have experienced regression upon his arrival. WKU took a nosedive, falling from 45.5 PPG to 25.5 PPG in Sanford’s first season with the Hilltoppers. Utah State’s Jordan Love looked like a first-round NFL selection in 2018, throwing 32 TD passes to just six INTs. Enter Sanford, and Love’s TD/Int ratio fell to 20-to-17 the following year. And at Minnesota in 2020, the Gophers averaged a touchdown less per game than they did in 2019. However, the Buffs can’t be any worse than last year, right? |
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Oregon running backs combined to score the fourth most fantasy points in the country in 2021, yet return just 14% of the rushing attempts with only Byron Cardwell back in the fold (Seven McGee moved to WR). It can be debated how the new coaching staff will divvy up the carries, but the Ducks should be just as good on the ground in 2022 with an OL that returns four starters and finished 9th in Line Yards. |
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Last year, the Beavers’ OL ranked No. 1 in the country in both line yards created (3.66) and rush success rate. Three starters are back this season, while reserve guard Marco Brewer will enter the starting lineup after logging 296 total snaps last season and graded out as the best-run blocking linemen on the team per Pro Football Focus. This should be one of the best groups in the country once again in 2022. |
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David Shaw prefers to lean heavily on one guy in the Stanford backfield, as his RB1 averages 47.1% of the rushing volume – sixth highest rate in the last eight years. Should Stanford’s offensive line improve —118th in line yards in 2021— this could be a big year for projected starter E.J. Smith. |
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Debate all you want about Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s upside, particularly in 2022 when UCLA returns just 58% of their offensive production from a year ago, but there wasn’t a more consistent quarterback in the country from a fantasy perspective in 2021. DTR finished the year averaging 28.4 FPPG and scored 20 or more fantasy points in all but one game, a blowout victory over Hawaii in the opener. |
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Water is wet. Sky is blue. Lincoln Riley produces top 20 CFF quarterbacks. Riley’s QB1 has averaged 34.6 FPPG over the last eight seasons, seven of which resulted in a top 20 finish. It had been the same situation at WR1, until the last two years, as Oklahoma didn’t have a receiver finish with more than 16% of the total target share. 27.9% was the target share of the Sooners’ WR1 in the six years prior to 2020. Where will Jordan Addison finish in 2022? |
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The eight-year average for rushing touchdowns from RB1s under offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig hovers around 13 per season, so Tavion Thomas’ 21 rushing scores last year were a break from the norm. His 29.7% breakaway rush rate (per PFF) is the lowest number of any Utah RB1 in that time span. Tavion Thomas is a prime regression candidate, and that becomes even more true if incoming FR Jaylon Glover lives up to the spring hype. |
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CFF analysts adore Kalen DeBoer and his offensive system, however, it might be wise to temper expectations this season. In his first year as OC with Eastern Michigan in 2014, the Eagles averaged just 15.2 PPG and were 119th in pace before steadily improving the following two years. In 2017, his first season as a play-caller at Fresno State, the Bulldogs averaged 27.1 PPG before jumping up to 34.6 PPG in 2018. |
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Cameron Ward’s numbers at Incarnate Word the last two seasons would’ve resulted in two top five finishes in CFF at the quarterback position, including No. 1 overall in 2020, when he averaged 40.2 FPPG. Over the last eight seasons at Texas Tech and Incarnate Word, Eric Morris’ QB1 averages 33.8 FPPG. 2019 with Jon Copeland at quarterback was the low point in that stretch, and even he threw the ball 507 times that season. Inherent risk in drafting a quarterback moving from FCS to a Power 5 conference, but Ward has league-winning upside. |
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