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In 2021, Brian Robinson had 49.5% of Alabama’s rushing attempts. That is consistent with Bill O’Brien’s tenure with the Houston Texans, as the running eight-year average for his RB1s is 48.9% of the total volume share. Is Jahmyr Gibbs ready for a heavy workload? |
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Tank Bigsby had 42 carries inside the red-zone in 13 games last year, but he only scored nine rushing touchdowns, which largely contributed to him finishing at RB54. By comparison, Braelon Allen had 41 attempts inside the red zone in just 10 games played last year, and he didn’t even begin receiving consistent carries until Week 5. With Auburn bringing back four starters on the OL, we should see improved numbers from Bigsby in 2022. |
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KJ Jefferson finished last season as the QB31 in CFF despite Arkansas averaging just 24.2 passing attempts per game, which was the lowest number ever for a Kendal Briles-led offense. There is no Treylon Burks for Jefferson to lean on in 2022, but could more passing attempts lead to a higher fantasy output? |
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Average positional finish for quarterbacks under Billy Napier in CFF the last five seasons? QB68. Manny Wilkins in 2017 at Arizona State is the comp we hope for with Anthony Richardson this season if he is to live up to the lofty expectations some have set. Wilkins averaged 32 pass attempts per game that year – five more than the seasonal average of Louisiana QBs during Napier’s tenure. Wilkins also posted 138 rushing attempts. AR-15 had 401 rushing yards on just 51 attempts last year. What kind of numbers can he post with 100+ carries? |
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The Bulldogs finished third in the country behind only Michigan and Army in combined fantasy points scored from their running backs last year. So, why aren’t they being selected in the early rounds of standard CFF redrafts? Georgia backs scored 20+ fantasy points just four times in 15 games last season. From an output and consistency standpoint, Georgia is not an offense to target heavily in CFF, even if they average 38 PPG. |
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Wan’Dale Robinson led the country last season with a 40.8% target share. New Kentucky offensive coordinator Rich Scangarello comes from the same coaching tree as last year’s OC Liam Coen, which places an emphasis on slot receivers. That’s good news for Virginia Tech transfer Tayvion Robinson, who is expected to be utilized in a similar fashion. |
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Not that there was much doubt, but all signs point to Kayshon Boutte being the WR1 for LSU this season. 53% of his snaps taken were as a boundary (outside) receiver, which bodes well in Mike Denbrock’s offensive system, as seven of his last eight WR1s took the majority of their snaps outside. |
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From a historical standpoint, six of the last eight WR1s under Leach have all lined up outside, including Makai Polk who tallied 105 receptions on 139 targets last year. If you want to dig further, five of those six lined up at the Z-WR. The two players battling for a starting job at that spot this year – Antonio Harmon and Caleb Ducking. |
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There may not a more tried-and-true offensive system for running back production in college football than that of head coach Eli Drinkwitz. In the last four seasons, his RB1 has averaged 104 rush yards per game. Extend that out to eight seasons, the average is…104. Talk about consistency. |
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Lane Kiffin’s system is incredibly consistent, averaging 43.9 rush att./game since 2014, but let’s look at the utilization rates. In 2017-18 at FAU, Devin Singletary scored 62% of the team’s rushing TDs and posted back-to-back 250+ carry seasons. Last three seasons between FAU and Ole Miss, Kiffin’s RB1 accounted for just 24.3% of the volume share – 11th lowest rate in the country in that span. Meanwhile, QB Matt Corral accounted for 25% market share in the last two seasons, and Kiffin has another QB with a similar skill set in Jaxson Dart. |
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A Marcus Satterfield-led offense has never finished in the top 80 nationally in pace and whether as a head coach or OC, his offense has combined to average just 23.6 PPG in the last five years. South Carolina’s personnel has improved greatly, but we have reservations due to the play caller. |
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WR2s under Josh Heupel have averaged approximately 54 receptions, six touchdowns and 19.5% of the target share per year since 2017. Those numbers don’t make drafting Jalin Hyatt (or Bru McCoy I suppose) a priority, but that’s around 13.0 FPPG, which is a valuable contributor to a CFF roster. |
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There is no doubting Devon Achane’s talent as one of the fastest players in college football with a career average of 7.4 yards per carry. Per Pro Football Focus, the junior running back has broken 53 tackles on 173 career attempts and earned a rushing grade of over 90.0 in each of the last two years. Also per PFF, 20.8% of Achane’s runs turned into gains of 10 yards or more, and 37.7% of his carries resulted in either a first down or touchdown. Wow. |
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Joey Lynch’s WR1 averages 99.1 targets per season over the last eight years. That number jumps to 110.3 if you extrapolate Dante Wright’s 29 targets in just three games during the shortened 2020 COVID season. |
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