Boise State vs. San Jose State
Point-Spread: BSU -13.5
O/U Total: 61.5
Implied Score: BSU 37.5 – SJSU 24
Weather: 59 degrees / 1% rain / 7 mph winds
Boise State:
Top Play(s) – QB Maddux Madsen ($6,700) Yep, you read that correct. No Ashton Jeanty as Boise State’s top option. There’s a surplus of RB options on the slate at reasonable prices that you don’t have to spend 26% of your entire budget on one player. Four Mountain West QBs have scored 20 or more fantasy points against San Jose State this season, as QBs to face the Spartans are scoring 20% more than their seasonal average.
Fade – RB Jambres Dubar ($3,600) At this point in the year, I’d be surprised if we see much of Dubar or freshman Sire Gaines who hasn’t played since Week 4. Both have not played four games this season, so they’re still eligible to preserve a redshirt.
Bargain Bin – TE Matt Lauter ($3,500) The numbers are not overwhelming – San Jose State is giving up 9.5 FPPG to opposing tight ends. But when facing the Spartans, those tight ends are scoring nearly 50% more than their seasonal fantasy average. Lauter is second on the team in targets, receptions and routes run, while leading the Broncos in touchdowns.
Pivot Play – WR Cam Camper ($5,100) or WR Latrell Caples ($3,600) First and third, respectively on the team in every receiving category, both playing over 70% of the team’s snaps. Just in the Mountain West schedule, five receivers have scored over 23 fantasy points in their matchups with San Jose State. That’s a lot.
Best of the Rest – RB Ashton Jeanty ($13,200) ***Raises Hand…I bet the under on Ashton Jeanty’s rushing prop this week when it soared to 199.5 yards. Analysis really doesn’t matter when it pertains to Ashton Jeanty this season, but going off what I see on paper is a San Jose State defense that is giving up under four yards a carry for the season and a modest 26th nationally in EPA per run play defensively. This price is outrageous for any player.
Injury Notes – n/a
San Jose State:
Top Play(s) – WR Nick Nash ($9,700) I’m surprised we don’t have a higher projection for Nash this week, because this is a perfect storm of elite fantasy player going against a below-average secondary. Nash is still currently WR1 in college fantasy football in terms of points scored and fantasy points per contest, leading the country in targets, yards and receptions while playing in just nine games still. Boise State is giving up around 50 fantasy points a week to opposing WR groups.
Fade – RB Jabari Bates ($4,000) Bates is the clear RB2 behind Floyd Chalk, and the matchup is bad – Boise State allows just 16 fantasy points per game to opposing running back rooms and are top 25 in the country in rush D success rate.
Bargain Bin – WR Treyshun Hurry ($3,800) The Weber State transfer has emerged (somewhat) as a competent third option behind Nash and Lockhart, playing over 60% of the team’s offensive snaps in four of the last six games, and has been targeted at least five times in three of his last four games played. With three years of eligibility remaining, some are considering Hurry to be San Jose State’s WR1 in 2025.
Pivot Play – WR Justin Lockhart ($5,700) After missing all of last season due to injury, Lockhart has had a solid year, already surpassing his totals from 2022. SJSU has a very top-heavy target share where Nash and Lockhart account for 60% of the targets. Five wide receivers have scored at least 21 fantasy points against Boise State this season.
Best of the Rest – RB Floyd Chalk IV ($4,500) Chalk has been productive in his first year with the team, with double-digit carries in all but one game this season, along with a team-high nine rushing touchdowns. The matchup is bad – Boise State allows just 16 fantasy points per game to opposing running back rooms and are top 25 in the country in rush D success rate. But Chalk’s likely volume and pricing keeps him in the pool as an option. QB Walker Eget ($6,100) took the QB1 job away from Emmett Brown but hasn’t been a significant upgrade. Eget is an option, though, at this price as San Jose State is No. 1 nationally in pass play percentage (64.7%) and facing a Boise defense that is giving up around 23 FPPG to quarterbacks.
Injury Notes – n/a.
Arizona State vs. Kansas State
Point-Spread: KSU -9
O/U Total: 50
Implied Score: KSU 29.5 – ASU 20.5
Weather: 59 degrees / 3% rain / 10 mph winds
Arizona State:
Top Play(s) – WR Jordyn Tyson ($5,500) 19 or more fantasy points in six of the last seven games for Tyson who absolutely dominates the team target share at 33% with more than double the targets of the next closest Arizona State receiver. Five Big 12 receivers have scored over 19 fantasy points this season against Kansas State.
Fade – RB Kyson Brown ($4,500) Brown served his purpose last week filling in for the injured Cam Skattebo, rushing for 73 yards on 18 attempts. Skattebo is back, and in games that Arizona State’s RB1 has played in fully healthy, Brown averaged just five touches per contest.
Bargain Bin – TE Chamon Metayer ($3,300) Metayer caught his third touchdown of the season last week, now with eight receptions in the last two games.
Pivot Play – RB Cam Skattebo ($9,900) The matchup isn’t great, Kansas State’s run defense is third nationally in success rate, 10th in EPA per run play defensively, and give up the fewest yards on the ground in the Big 12. This would be a pure volume play as Skattebo is top five in the country in carries per game (21.7) for a running back and is second on the team in receptions and targets, despite missing the last 1.5 games essentially.
Best of the Rest – WR Xavier Guillory ($3,400) and WR Melquan Stovall ($3,200) Neither player is productive, but Arizona State doesn’t rotate at receiver, as both Stovall and Guillory are on the field over 70% of the time. Guillory played 90% of the team’s snaps last week vs. UCF.
Injury Notes – n/a
Kansas State:
Top Play(s) – QB Avery Johnson ($7,600) Arizona State has not allowed many fantasy points this season to opposing quarterbacks – just 15.3 FPPG with only three QBs scoring over 20 fantasy points. And Johnson’s last performance against Houston was an absolute stinker, albeit in a downpour. That said, this passing game was on the rise prior to that, averaging over 260 yards per game in the past four weeks leading up to the Houston game. While Arizona State is in the top half in yards all per game through the air in the Big 12, the Sun Devils are also 95th in success rate defending the pass.
Fade – WR Dante Cephas ($3,300) The Kent State transfer has played fewer than 20% of the team’s offensive snaps in each of the last three games, essentially now the team’s WR4.
Bargain Bin – WR Jayce Brown ($4,000) Brown will be one of my higher owned receivers this week to stack with Johnson because of the pricing at just $4k. Brown is the clear WR1 for the Wildcats, leading the team in targets (49), receptions (33) and touchdowns (3). His 604 yards are double the amount of the next closest Kansas State receiver. In that same four-game stretch that Johnson was slinging the rock, Brown was averaging 80 yards per contest with all three of his receiving touchdowns scored.
Pivot Play – RB DJ Giddens ($7,200) Something’s up with the Kansas State run game right now, rushing for less than 115 yards in two of the last three games. Meanwhile, Arizona State is third in the conference in yards allow on the ground. Two Big 12 running backs have scored more than 20 fantasy points this season against Arizona State, which we would need from Giddens to hit value at this price. The good news is that those same two running backs went for 30+ against the Sun Devils. Maybe the bye week cured some of the ailing issues with the run game.
Best of the Rest – WR Keagan Johnson ($3,400) Second on the team in targets (38) and receptions (26), playing around 80% of the offensive snaps this season. WR Jadon Jackson ($3,600) should not be priced ahead of Johnson, with just 27 receiving yards in the last two games, but played over 60% of snaps in that two-game span. RB Dylan Edwards ($3,500) continues to have a roll as the secondary option behind Giddens and is third on the team in receptions (17).
Injury Notes – n/a.
Tennessee vs. Georgia
Point-Spread: UGA -10.5
O/U Total: 48.5
Implied Score: UGA 29.5 – UT 19
Weather: 55 degrees / 0% rain / 0 mph winds
Tennessee:
This will be a tremendous game to watch featuring two SEC teams likely to make the College Football Playoff and potentially win the National Title this year. And yet…we have almost zero interest in this game from a fantasy and DFS perspective. QB Nico Iamaleava ($5,300) was questionable heading into Friday before it was confirmed that he’ll start Saturday night. A 13-point projection doesn’t warrant consideration. RB Dylan Sampson ($8,500) is not 100% healthy either, and Georgia has yet to allow a running back to score more than 18 fantasy points this season. Sampson would need to hit at least 20 fantasy points to hit value.
We all know the situation at receiver for the Vols. If you were to select a Tennessee wideout, WR Bru McCoy ($3,600) would get the nod as his best performances have come in the Vols’ most important games this season. 92 yards in Week 4 on the road at Oklahoma when the Sooners were undefeated, and then 6-80-0 against Alabama in Week 8. McCoy seems to be Iamaleava’s security blanket. One off-the-radar position that could either hit or bust – tight end. Tennessee’s beat writer predicted that TE Holden Staes ($3,100) would score a touchdown this week. Staes and counterpart TE Miles Kitselman ($3,500) led the Vols in offensive snaps played last week against Mississippi State.
Georgia:
Top Play(s) – RB Nate Frazier ($3,400) Fairly straight-forward here with Frazier. Trevor Etienne is out, as is Georgia’s RB3 and RB4, and will have a former walk-on as the primary backup. 15-20 touches is a lock for Frazier and that is everything you can ask for from a player listed at $3.4k, even if it’s against a defense that is No. 1 in rush D success rate and No. 3 in EPA per run play defensively.
Fade – QB Carson Beck ($7,300) I saw it openly asked by a few reputable personalities on Twitter last week if Georgia should make a QB change after throwing for just 186 yards with one interception and five sacks against Ole Miss. Tennessee is statistically better at defending the run but are giving up just 10.4 FPPG this season to opposing QBs. Not one quarterback has scored more than 12 fantasy points against Tennessee ALL YEAR. Easy fade.
Bargain Bin – TE Lawson Luckie ($3,300) Luckie should play a bigger role in the passing offense with a pass-catching back like Etienne out of the lineup. Luckie is fifth on the team in targets (21) and receptions (15), while tied for second on the team with three receiving touchdowns.
Pivot Play – n/a.
Best of the Rest – WRs. Aside from Frazier, one of the Georgia receivers would be the next best play on the Georgia side, as the top three of Dom Lovett, Arian Smith and Dillon Bell all play over 60% of the team’s snaps, and we don’t expect Georgia to have a ton of running room against this Tennessee defense. Four of the top five wide receiver performances against Tennessee this season have been boundary receivers, meaning we’ll look to either Bell or Smith if choosing one UGA wideout. That would align this week as Lovett, Georgia’s starting slot receiver, is playing fewer snaps the last two games than both Smith and Bell.
Injury Notes – RB Trevor Etienne ($6,100) Confirmed out.
Oregon vs. Wisconsin
Point-Spread: Oreg -14
O/U Total: 52
Implied Score: Oreg 33 – UW 19
Weather: 49 degrees / 0% rain / 12 mph winds
Oregon:
Top Play(s) – WR Evan Stewart ($4,400) and / or WR Traeshon Holden ($3,500) We don’t expect Tez Johnson to play Saturday, and these salaries are insanely low for Oregon’s top two receivers (sans Johnson). Stewart was the main beneficiary last week with seven targets and a touchdown vs. Maryland. Holden had a quiet night but moved into the coveted slot position replacing Johnson.
Fade – RB Jordan James ($8,000) James finished last week with 29 yards on just seven carries which were both the lowest marks of the season. HC Dan Lanning said after the game that, “I’m not exactly sure where he’s at. I think he could have gone back in, but we’re being pretty conscientious of where he was at.” James has been less than 100% since the Purdue game, and we’re not anticipating a heavy workload until the conference championship game or even the College Football Playoff.
Bargain Bin – TE Terrance Ferguson ($3,300) or WR Justius Lowe ($3,000) These prices make no sense. Ferguson had a season-high 12 targets last week against Maryland. Lowe could be Oregon’s WR1 in 2025 and has now played over 90% of the team’s offensive snaps in each of the last two games. Five tight ends have scored at least nine fantasy points this season against Wisconsin, so Ferguson is one of the better bargains on the slate.
Pivot Play – RB Noah Whittington ($3,500) If James remains limited, Whittington could function again as the team’s RB1, as he rushed for a season-high 77 yards on 13 carries last week against the Terps. His 56% of snaps played were also Whittington’s highest mark for the season. Wisconsin’s run defense is the “weakness” of the unit, ranked 73rd in rush D success rate and 112th in EPA per run play defensively.
Best of the Rest – QB Dillon Gabriel ($9,200) There’s enough bargain plays on the night slate to where you can muster up the coin the pay for Gabriel at QB. You know what you’re going to get from Gabriel, even without his WR1, scoring 20 or more fantasy points in all but one game this season. Just not sure this game will go back and forth enough to where Gabriel will be able to score 30+ points against a good secondary.
Injury Notes – WR Tez Johnson ($7,400) We’re not expecting to see Tez Johnson until at least the B1G championship game.
Wisconsin:
Top Play(s) – WR Will Pauling ($4,100) Pauling gets top billing here simply because we expect Wisconsin to be in a passing game script as a two-touchdown underdog. Wisconsin’s slot receiver has double the number of targets as the next closest Wisconsin wideout.
Fade – QB Braedyn Locke ($4,700) You know the drill by now. Bet the over on Locke’s 0.5 interception prop and NEVER include him in your DFS lineup no matter the cost.
Bargain Bin – WR Vinny Anthony ($3,300) Don’t expect Wisconsin to be able to dink and dunk methodically down the field against this Oregon defense. If this upset were to occur, chunk plays would be a necessity for the Badgers. And Anthony is the best candidate to provide those, ranked second on the team in targets (36), receptions (24) and leads the team with an 18.5 YPC average.
Pivot Play – RB Tawee Walker ($6,100) The high-level numbers for the Oregon run defense are solid but dig a little deeper and you see some cracks. The Ducks are 75th in rush D success rate and 92nd in EPA per run play. Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty and Oregon State’s Anthony Hankerson, two bell-cows just like Walker, combined for 67 fantasy points in their respective matchups with the Ducks. We say pass-happy game script as a heavy underdog, but Wisconsin doesn’t want to throw the ball 30+ times with a quarterback that should be playing in the MAC. Walker is the best option for Wisconsin offensively and the only way for the Badgers to win on Saturday is for the RB1 to have a career day. Maybe they feed him 30 times?
Best of the Rest – WR CJ Williams ($3,000) The former 5-star has been more of a factor the last two weeks, targeted a combined 12 times vs. Penn State and Iowa, playing over 60% of the team’s offensive snaps.
Injury Notes – n/a.
UAB vs. Memphis
Point-Spread: Mem -13.5
O/U Total: 62.5
Implied Score: Mem 38 – UAB 24.5
Weather: 55 degrees / 0% rain / 3 mph winds
UAB:
Top Play(s) – RB Lee Beebe ($4,200) Even with UAB trailing in most games, Beebe continues to see volume with double-digit carries in each of the last three contest, hitting 100 yards for the first time this season against Connecticut. Beebe is the last man standing in the UAB backfield that was expected to be a committee with Isaiah Jacobs and Armoni Goodwin. The sophomore running back is also and adept pass-catcher out of the backfield with 24 receptions on 32 targets. Beebe will have high ownership this week.
Fade – RB Armoni Goodwin ($3,200) The LSU transfer and former 4-star will probably seek a third destination after this season. Goodwin has not played more than four snaps in a game all year.
Bargain Bin – WR Corri Milliner ($3,000) Played over 50% of the team’s offensive snaps in each of the last two games, targeted five times in each contest, and found the end-zone last week.
Pivot Play – WR Amare Thomas ($5,300) and WR Kam Shanks ($5,000) I’d personally probably not stack both UAB receivers together, but there is an argument for it. Since assuming the starting QB1 job, Jalen Kitna is averaging over 40 pass attempts per game so the volume will be there. Thomas / Shanks account for 12 of the team’s 18 receiving touchdowns and 45% of the target share. At least one of the two should be in every lineup you construct in my opinion.
Best of the Rest – QB Jalen Kitna ($6,300) I’d say most DFS players care about money / winning over all else, but you’ll have to debate your morals if wanting to roster Jalen Kitna (go ahead and just google what I mean by that). The matchup is fine – Memphis is allowing 22.4 FPPG to quarterbacks and are just 58th in EPA per pass play defensively.
Injury Notes – n/a
Memphis:
Top Play(s) – RB Mario Anderson ($9,500) Memphis did get back some RB depth last week with both Greg Desrosiers and Brandon Thomas now healthy, but the Tigers continued to feed their workhorse running back, rushing for 144 yards on 25 attempts against Rice. UAB is horrendous at stopping the run, ranked 115th in rush D success rate and allowing 38 FPPG to opposing backfields with five running backs scoring at least 20 fantasy points against the Blazers.
Fade – RB Brandon Thomas ($4,200) This is my personal bias showing against Brandon Thomas who is simply a running back that comes in when Memphis is within five yards of the end-zone. That’s his role, and to his credit, he does it well. But I’m not banking on a player that had just six rushing attempts and played 11% of the team’s snaps. Rostering Thomas is you banking on him finding the end-zone.
Bargain Bin – WR Koby Drake ($3,700) Uptick in volume the last two games for Drake who has been targeted 16 times in that span and playing over 93% of the team’s offensive snaps. Against UTSA made sense given the injury to WR DeMeer Blankumsee ($5,600). But Blankumsee played nearly the entire game last week too and Drake was still relatively productive.
Pivot Play – WR Roc Taylor ($6,300) Double-digit targets for Taylor in four of the last six games, including the past two weeks. Four wide receivers, including three AAC receivers, have scored over 20 fantasy points against UAB this season. None of which are high-profile names like Roc Taylor, so we expect the UAB secondary to have their hands full with Memphis’ WR1.
Best of the Rest – QB Seth Henigan ($8,400) Henigan might see higher ownership than he should have this week with just a 20-point projection. Just three quarterbacks this season have scored more than 16 fantasy points against UAB this season, two of which were triple-option QBs. I do believe UAB’s pass defense numbers are a bit inflated by facing multiple Service Academy teams, but the Blazers do rank 13th in pass D success. If Henigan is going to see high ownership, I have no issue going elsewhere at QB.
Injury Notes – n/a.
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State
Point-Spread: ISU -9.5
O/U Total: 53.5
Implied Score: ISU 31.5 – Cin 22
Weather: 51 degrees / 5% rain / 10 mph winds
Cincinnati:
Top Play(s) – RB Corey Kiner ($5,400) Don’t love any player on the Cincinnati side for this slate or in this matchup at night in Ames. Kiner gets the nod for me simply because of the guaranteed volume with 17 or more carries in each of the last four games. The Cyclones haven’t allowed a ton of fantasy points to opposing running backs this season but are still 15th of 16 Big 12 teams in yards allowed per game on the ground and 108th in rush D success rate.
Fade – RB Manny Covey ($3,700) I’m cheating here because I’m fading a player that hasn’t played a single snap since Week 5 and doesn’t have an injury designation. All Cincy players are priced appropriately for the most part.
Bargain Bin – TE Joe Royer ($3,900) Second on the team in targets (58), receptions (40) and touchdowns (3). The Ohio State transfer rarely leaves the field, playing over 80% of the offensive snaps every week. Cincinnati also does not rotate at all at wide receiver since about the start of October, so both WR Tony Johnson ($3,600) and WR Jamoi Mayes ($3,100) are possible options. Lastly, while Kiner dominates the backfield volume share, RB Evan Pryor ($4,000) continues to perform well with limited snaps, scoring double-digit fantasy points in four of the last five games. Cincinnati needs to get him more reps because Pryor is averaging three yards a carry more than Kiner this season.
Pivot Play – QB Brendan Sorsby ($7,100) By no means will I have much exposure to Sorsby this week but want to offer a glimmer of hope in case you do want to start him as one of your QBs. Three quarterbacks have scored 23 or more fantasy points against Iowa State this season. UCF’s Jacurri Brown who ran for 100+. Jalon Daniels this past week who had 68 yards and a score on the ground. And then Sawyer Robertson who averaged eight yards per carry. Sorsby has been plagued by a foot injury this season but has shown signs of life on the ground lately with 48 yards in each of the last two games.
Best of the Rest – WR Xzavier Henderson ($6,100) Team leader in every receiving category, averaging 5.5 receptions on 8.9 targets per game. Just two wide receivers this season have scored more than 20 fantasy points vs. Iowa State’s secondary.
Injury Notes – n/a
Iowa State:
Top Play(s) – WR Jaylin Noel ($6,800) and / or WR Jayden Higgins ($7,000) Copy + Paste the same writeup from last week regarding Noel and Higgins. Once again, the dynamic duo dominated the target share with 23 of the 32 targets that went to Iowa State pass-catchers. For the season now Higgins and Noel combine for 64% of Iowa State’s target share with 75% of the team’s receiving touchdowns. Could roster one, could roster both, either work.
Fade – RB Jaylon Jackson ($3,400) I’m good personally with just fading the entire Iowa State backfield, but Jackson has sunk to RB3 in recent weeks averaging fewer than two yards per carry in each of the last four games. Yikes.
Bargain Bin – RB Carson Hansen ($3,800) Hansen has been the most consistent of the three Iowa State running backs with five rushing touchdowns in the last four games and has averaged over four yards a carry in each of the last seven games.
Pivot Play – QB Rocco Becht ($6,900) Volume is up the last three weeks, throwing 47, 38 and 38 passes over the past three games as Iowa State has struggled to run the football consistently. Cincinnati is allowing just 19.5 FPPG to quarterbacks this season, but those same QBs are averaging 20% more fantasy points than their seasonal total when facing the Bearcats.
Best of the Rest – TE Gabe Burkle ($3,000) Burkle has started in place of Ben Brahmer and is playing over 77% of the team’s snaps in the last seven games. Eight of Burkle’s 13 targets this season have come in the last two games.
Injury Notes – n/a.
Wake Forest vs. North Carolina
Point-Spread: UNC -11
O/U Total: 64
Implied Score: UNC 37.5 – WF 26.5
Weather: 50 degrees / 0% rain / 2 mph winds
Wake Forest:
Top Play(s) – RB Demond Claiborne ($7,100) Not exactly the Kenneth Walker-type season that we saw a few years ago, but Claiborne is finally breaking the mold of Wake Forest consistently utilizing an RBBC in the backfield. 51% of the team’s rushing attempts, nine of Wake Forest’s 15 rushing touchdowns, and has hit 20 or more fantasy points in 6-of-9 games played this season. North Carolina isn’t dreadful against the run – 66th in rush play success rate – but have allowed some monster fantasy performances to ACC running backs with three players scoring over 30 fantasy points against the Heels.
Fade – WR Micah Mays ($3,000) Seems strange to list a min-priced player under the Fade section, but Mays is downgraded now that WR Donavon Greene ($4,700) is back in the lineup. The two split reps last week vs. Wake Forest, but Mays was shut out of the box score and was not targeted a single time. Meanwhile, Greene made his presence felt with a 45-yard receiving touchdown. Would imagine Greene gets the nod over Mays so long as he’s healthy.
Bargain Bin – WR Horatio Fields ($3,500) and Deuce Alexander ($3,200) The two receivers, along with Taylor Morin, whose roles do not change with Greene back in the lineup. Mays is the only one impacted by that. Just 44 yards receiving between Fields and Alexander against Cal last Friday, but also combined for 10 targets.
Pivot Play – QB Hank Bachmeier ($6,500) Can’t bring myself to advocate for Bachmeier, but he’s not eliminated from contention this week given this could be an offensive track meet. The Heels are allowing 23.4 FPPG to quarterbacks this season, who are scoring 20% more than their seasonal average when facing the Tar Heels. It should be noted that UNC is not bad analytically against the pass, ranking 24th in pass D success rate and 39th in EPA per pass play.
Best of the Rest – WR Taylor Morin ($4,800) Double-digit fantasy performances in each of the last three games for Morin who has multiple 100-yard efforts in that stretch. Caught a season-high nine passes on 12 targets last week. Multiple Wake receivers in a lineup is a risk, but also feasible.
Injury Notes – n/a
North Carolina:
Top Play(s) – RB Omarion Hampton ($9,100) You know the 3 AM infomercial for the old Rotisserie Oven where the host says, “Just set it…AND FORGET IT.” Feels like that applies here to Hampton who has hit 100+ rushing yards in each of the last seven games and in eight of nine games played this season. Wake Forest is far worse defending the pass this season, but aren’t great against the run either, ranked 101st in rush D success rate. With UNC one win away from bowl game eligibility, we don’t see Hampton bowing out this week. We’ll cross that bridge when it comes time.
Fade – WR Jordan Shipp ($3,500) Shipp is going to be UNC’s WR1 next year, barring a transfer portal addition, but played just nine snaps in Week 10 as the Tar Heels continue to primarily play their veteran receivers. If North Carolina makes a bowl game, then we’ll consider Shipp with potential opt-outs.
Bargain Bin – TE John Copenhaver ($3,200) Bryson Nesbit is likely out, so Copenhaver will garner most of the tight end snaps on Saturday. Maybe not the athlete that Nesbit it, but Copenhaver would start for many P4 teams around the country, with four receptions in three of his last four games played. Wake Forest is allowing 14.2 FPPG to opposing tight ends this season. That’s a LOT.
Pivot Play – WR JJ Jones ($4,700) Jones cost a few folks a college fantasy playoff spot unfortunately after his dud in Week 10 as he was held out of the box score. Jones still played the most snaps of any UNC wideout that week and was a product of game script with Hampton rushing for four touchdowns on the day.
Best of the Rest – QB Jacolby Criswell ($8,000) It is well known at this point that the Wake Forest pass defense is the worst in the country among P4 teams, ranked dead last in pass D success rate and 127th in EPA per pass play. I would choose either side of the coin with the UNC offense this week. Either Hampton or stack the UNC passing game. And both sides of the coin are very viable. WR Kobe Prentice ($4,500) or WR Nate McCollum ($4,300) can be played separately or stacked with JJ Jones as Wake Forest allows the most fantasy points to wide receivers of any team in the country at 56 FPPG. Truly, this secondary is the worst in the country, along with Tulsa.
Injury Notes – TE Bryson Nesbit ($3,900) Nesbit was back at practice after missing the last few games but was not in pads so there’s almost no chance of him playing Saturday in our eyes.
