LSU vs. Texas A&M
Point-Spread: LSU -9.5
O/U Total: 47.5
Implied Score: LSU 28.5 – A&M 19
Weather: 49 degrees / 43% rain / 10 mph winds
Texas A&M:
Top Play(s) – RB Devon Achane ($7,000) Yes, you’re reading that correctly. I have no idea what to expect here as I thought Achane was shutting it down for the year. But Jimbo Fisher came out this week saying he’s “very, very opitimistic” that Achane was coming back this week? If I were his agent, that would be a HELL NO from me. So, we’ll see here. GPP play only.
Fade – QB Conner Weigman ($5,700) The only way you play Weigman is in a game stack, thinking this game shoots out with two teams not giving a damn. I don’t see this game playing out that way. LSU has the SEC title game appearance locked up but need to show well with an outside shot at the College Football Playoff. Based on A&M scoring 20 points against UMass last week, I’m assuming this is an Aggies roster that is ready to pack it in for the year. LSU’s pass rush will get after Weigman, and the secondary is 18th in pass play success rate this season, allowing just 19.2 FPPG to opposing QBs. Not a good spot for a freshman.
Bargain Bin – TE Donovan Green ($3,000) Dependent on whether or not Max Wright suits up. 13 of his 23 targets this season have come in the last three weeks.
Pivot Play – WR Evan Stewart ($5,900) Same situation for Stewart as it is for Achane. Jimbo is optimistic the 5-star freshman will play as well. The BIG difference between Achane and Stewart? Achane has his NFL future to think about. Stewart could be putting together a highlight reel for his next employer – already transfer rumors floating around. And I used the term “employer” intently here too. Aside from the Auburn debacle two weeks back, Stewart had been one of the most consistent fantasy performers at wide receiver in the country.
Best of the Rest – WR Moose Muhammad ($5,300) We’ll have to just make sure in the pregame warmups that MMIII isn’t wearing sleeves so he’s not held out unexpectedly again. Slight downgrade here if Stewart does play, but Muhammad has been productive even with his counterpart in the lineup, averaging 8.8 targets per game over the last six weeks. Folks might be higher on RB Le’Veon Moss ($3,400) than they are Amari Daniels ($3,600) but fact of the matter is that the latter held a significant edge in carries last week (17-11) and a 40-18 advantage in offensive snaps. Daniels is the preferred option.
Injury Notes – Stayed tuned to Devon Achane and Evan Stewart to see if Jimbo is correct or not on them playing.
LSU:
Top Play(s) – RB Noah Cain ($4,800) HC Brian Kelly was very complimentary of Cain this week after rushing for three touchdowns in the win over UAB. It was also a subtle dig at John Emery ($4,400) who fumbled twice. Game previews from LSU beat writers stated that we should expect Cain to be a heavy part of the offense regardless of if Josh Williams (more on that below) plays or not. RB1s are averaging 16.2 FPPG against the Aggies this season.
Fade – WRs. Just one single receiver has scored more than 20 fantasy points all year vs. the Aggies.
Bargain Bin – n/a
Pivot Play – QB Jayden Daniels ($8,400) Don’t think we’ll see much Daniels exposure in larger GPPs as the LSU quarterback is facing an elite A&M secondary that is 11th in success rate. There are so many other QBs on the slate at cheaper salaries that I can’t see myself spending up to Daniels. With that said, we have a healthy 28-point projection, facing a defense that could let up if the Aggies start to fall behind with the season in the dumpster. No need to pair Daniels with any receivers. Three highest scoring QBs to face the Aggies this season – Anthony Richardson (42 fantasy points), KJ Jefferson (36 fantasy points) and Jaxson Dart (35 fantasy points) – all dual threats.
Best of the Rest – n/a. It’s Jayden Daniels and Noah Cain. Those are the options. All of the LSU receivers would be dart throws.
Injury Notes – RB Josh Williams ($5,000) LSU’s RB1 is questionable as he recovers from a knee sprain. With the Tigers locked into the SEC title game, it would make sense to rest Williams.
Central Florida vs. South Florida
Point-Spread: UCF -20.5
O/U Total: 68.5
Implied Score: UCF 44.5 – USF 24
Weather: 71 degrees / 95% rain / 3 mph winds
Central Florida:
Top Play(s) – RB RJ Harvey ($5,300) RB1s are averaging 26.1 FPPG against USF this season – by FAR the most in the country. Bounce back spot here for the Knights after the embarrassing performance a week ago. Harvey will split time in the backfield but is the best running back on the UCF roster. 75 yards and a touchdown feels like the floor.
Fade – QB John Rhys Plumlee ($7,900) UCF is already locked into the AAC title game and with the Tulane win on Friday, it will be at Tulane. So there really isn’t anything for the Knights to play for this weekend. JRP had a sore shoulder in the loss to Navy last week, hence why HC Gus Malzahn turned to Mikey Keene in the second half. As of Friday, I’m not sure who gets the nod here, but JRP being less than 100% on a team with nothing to play for would give me hesitation in playing him.
Bargain Bin – n/a.
Pivot Play – RB Isaiah Bowser ($5,800) Harvey is going to be the popular play of the two on Saturday as he’s been more productive than Bowser over the last month or so and is cheaper. That said, Bowser still holds the slight advantage here in offensive snaps played and rushing attempts. My dilemma…can we play two UCF running backs together against this abysmal rush defense?
Best of the Rest – QB Mikey Keene ($7,600) I am not a fan of Keene’s game, but he’s got plenty of starting experience should he need to fill in for an injured JRP. And would be facing a USF defense that is allowing the most FPPG to opposing quarterbacks in the country. That said, my concern would be that UCF can ram it down South Florida’s throat in the running game and not have a need to throw the football. This isn’t Tulsa of last week where we have a game of back and forth with two inept defenses. UCF is second in the AAC in scoring defense and this could turn into a blowout very quickly. All three starting WRs between Ryan O’Keefe ($6,400), Javon Baker ($6,100) and Kobe Hudson ($5,700) are viable options, with Baker being the hot hand lately with a touchdown in each of the last three games.
Injury Notes – n/a
South Florida:
Top Play(s) – n/a. Don’t think there is a necessity to have a USF player in our lineups this week. Showed well against Tulsa, but that was sub-30-degree temps against a lackluster defense. Not the case Saturday.
Fade – QB Byrum Brown ($5,400) USF is in the midst of a coaching search and wouldn’t be surprised if the coaches had to follow up with the athletic directors after watching that performance from Brown last week in his first career start. 300+ yards of total offense with four touchdowns. A dual threat that displayed poise, accuracy and throws a very catchable football. I’m not buying it this week now that UCF has game tape on him. Big difference between a defense allowing 19 PPG in UCF vs. whatever product Tulsa puts on the field each week.
Bargain Bin – WR Holden Willis ($3,200) This is not a play I can realistically tout to anyone as Willis had just one reception on three targets in a shootout against Tulsa. On the other hand, Willis did play 65 of the 69 offensive snaps which is more than you can ask for normally from a $3.2k player this time of year.
Pivot Play – WR Sean Atkins ($4,700) Everyone playing DFS Saturday night will try and be savvy with Willis as the min priced play. Fade that and go with Atkins was led the Bulls with nine targets last week against Tulsa, converting on all of them for 115 yards and a touchdown. Atkins only played 47 of the 69 available offensive snaps but was clearly the most effective USF receiver.
Best of the Rest – RB Brian Battie ($6,600) Battie has been sensational the last month and a half, now with four straight 100-yard rushing performances. I just don’t know that it can continue against this UCF defense that has been dominant against the run in 2022. Just one running back has surpassed 15 fantasy points against UCF this season, and the Knights are 29th in rush play success rate and 23rd in explosiveness allowed.
Injury Notes – WR Xavier Weaver ($6,600) Weaver was announced out on Friday, and it was mentioned that it wasn’t injury related. Expect to see Weaver in the transfer portal when it opens officially on December 5th.
Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt
Point-Spread: Tenn -13.5
O/U Total: 63.5
Implied Score: Tenn 38.5 – Vandy 25
Weather: 58 degrees / 19% rain / 4 mph winds
Tennessee:
Top Play(s) – WR Jalin Hyatt ($7,400) Despite our concerns about the QB (below), Hyatt is probably our lock of the slate. Hyatt is the only starting receiver right now that is 100% healthy. Vanderbilt is allowing 25 FPPG this season to opposing WR1s – second most in the country. Eight different receivers have scored 24 fantasy points or more against Vandy.
Fade – QB Joe Milton ($7,700) Conviction play that I could very well get burned for, but I am out on Joe Milton being the Tennessee QB1 for 2023 and will be fading this week. Howitzer of an arm but have no clue if that ball will be on target. On the positive side, Milton does have the belief of his teammates from all accounts, has been in the system now for two years and is facing a defense that is allowing 26 FPPG to opposing QBs – coincidentally that being our projection for Milton this week. With Vanderbilt being on the verge of bowl eligibility, I also think we could get in a bit of a back-and-forth affair. So, it’s not an outright fade, just don’t believe he’ll live up to expectations that some have for this week.
Bargain Bin – WR Ramel Keyton ($4,500) With the two outside receivers ailing with injuries, Tennessee is lucky to have a trusted veteran as the primary backup in Keyton who played 32 snaps in the second half last week in play of Bru McCoy. When called into action, Keyton has performed well – 5-77-2 in place of Tillman against Tennessee-Martin in Week 8. 2-60-1 in place of Tillman again in Week 11 vs. Missouri. His viability this week is dependent on the status of Tillman/McCoy.
Pivot Play – RB Jabari Small ($5,700) We focus on the passing game, which is understandable for a Josh Heupel led squad, but Tennessee could do what most teams do with a backup QB and lean on the ground game. Small has scored a touchdown in all but three games played this season, though this Vandy defense is no slouch when it comes to stopping the run. Just 15.3 FPPG average for RB1s vs. the Dores, and Vandy is 38th nationally in rush play success rate.
Best of the Rest – TE Princeton Fant ($4,600) Double-digit fantasy points in each of the last two games for Fant with three receiving touchdowns. Should the Vols get inside the 5, Fant also has four rushing scores as a battering ram.
Injury Notes – WR Cedric Tillman ($7,300) Didn’t think there was any doubt Tillman would play this week after being targeted 19 times vs. South Carolina. But he’s listed on the injury report by a team beat writer, stating “the ESPN broadcast crew expressed surprise that he played and some in the program also were unsure that he would play.” A must-monitor during pregame that I’d probably just stay away from. WR Bru McCoy ($6,300) barely played in the second half last week after getting injured in the midsection. He’s also deemed questionable.
Vanderbilt:
Top Play(s) – RB Ray Davis ($6,700) Three-straight 100-yard rushing performances for Davis who is averaging 25.6 attempts per game in that span. Trouble here is facing a Tennessee rush defense that is 26th in success rate and allowed just two opposing running backs to score 20 fantasy points against them. A little bit of let-up from the Vols, though, recently as the last two opponents have both averaged over four yards a carry.
Fade – WR Jayden McGowan ($6,900) Uhhh, where did this salary come from? Is Jayden McGowan the new Theo Wease? Averaging just 10 FPPG and scored double-digit fantasy points just once in the last five games played. Talented player with a ton of speed, but bang is not worth the buck.
Bargain Bin – WR Quincy Skinner ($3,100) Vanderbilt often features two tight end sets to aid the running game, so we’re likely out on any wideouts not named Will Sheppard. Skinner does play around 66% of the team’s offensive snaps each week and has been targeted at least five times in three of the last four games.
Pivot Play – WR Will Sheppard ($5,700) Don’t love the Vanderbilt passing game, but figure they’ll have to throw some to keep up with this Tennessee offense. Sheppard leads the team with 35% target share and nine of the team’s 22 receiving touchdowns. He’s leaned on typically in big spots.
Best of the Rest – QB Mike Wright ($6,000) Tennessee’s struggles defending the pass are well-documented at this point. The Vols are allowing 28.3 FPPG to opposing QB1s and 96th in pass play success rate. I’m not confident in Wright as a thrower, but he should be able to find some success through the air against this secondary. And any QB at $6k that can easily hit 100 yards rushing is worthy of consideration. TE Ben Bresnahan ($3,400) has only been targeted 23 times this season but wanted to give a mention as Tennessee is allowing the most fantasy points in the country to opposing tight ends.
Injury Notes – n/a
Notre Dame vs. USC
Point-Spread: USC -4.5
O/U Total: 64.5
Implied Score: USC 34.5 – ND 30
Weather: 66 degrees / 0% rain / 6 mph winds
Notre Dame:
Top Play(s) – TE Michael Mayer ($6,200) We’ve faded Mayer on main slates the last few weeks and have benefitted from that as the Notre Dame TE1 has failed to score 20 fantasy points in the last four games. Feels like a spot where the Irish will need to depend on their star player a bit more with USC likely putting 8-9 defenders in the box to load up on the run. The Trojans are allowing 10.1 FPPG this season to opposing tight ends, including last week’s three-touchdown performance from UCLA’s Michael Ezeike. USC also gave up 42 fantasy points to Dalton Kincaid earlier in the year.
Fade – RB Chris Tyree ($4,800) It’s not a total surprise that Tyree fell to third on the depth chart and is not seeing many rushing attempts, but the fact he’s only been targeted 23 times this season is still a bit baffling to me – especially considering all the issues ND has at receiver.
Bargain Bin – n/a.
Pivot Play – RBs. Massive strength vs. massive weakness. USC can’t stop the run and Notre Dame has rushed for 200+ yards as a team in five of the last six games. Don’t really see how the Trojans can stop Notre Dame on the ground unless they completely sell out and load the box. Pick your choice between Audric Estime ($5,600) or Logan Diggs ($5,200).
Best of the Rest – QB Drew Pyne ($6,400) Notre Dame has won four of its last five games by double-digit points as the running game continues to churn out yardage. In the lone competitive matchup against Navy, Pyne threw for 269 yards and four touchdowns. I won’t have any exposure to Pyne on the night slate, but we must assume this will be a competitive game with the Trojans, so the passing game will need to make plays.
Injury Notes – n/a
USC:
Top Play(s) – RB Austin Jones ($6,000) I thought we might see a bit more Darwin Barlow or Raleek Brown, but the Trojans entrusted Jones with a Travis Dye-like workload, rushing the ball 21 times for 120 yards and two scores last week. Jones is also very Dye-like in that he’s an exceptional pass-catcher out of the backfield, now with eight receptions on nine targets in the last two weeks. Notre Dame can be run on, ranked 76th in success rate and allowing 16.0 FPPG to opposing RB1s. Five different running backs have scored 19 or more fantasy points this season vs. the Irish.
Fade – WR Mario Williams ($5,600) Remember the game against Colorado where Jordan Addison returned from injury, but only played half the offensive snaps and was relatively unproductive? And we all saw what Addison did a week later vs. UCLA. That is my lone concern here with suggesting fading Williams. Was the coaching staff just ramping Williams up for this week? Just too risky a play for me as the sophomore receiver ran just 17 routes vs. UCLA – fifth most among USC receivers.
Bargain Bin – WR Kyle Ford ($4,500) Ford ran the fourth most routes among USC receivers against UCLA on Saturday and posted an identical stat-line of three catches for 73 yards in consecutive weeks. Sounds like Ford is playing with more confidence right now.
Pivot Play – WR Jordan Addison ($7,800) I’ll have very little exposure to Caleb Williams, but we saw how he leaned on his WR1 in a game of significant importance last week. 11-178-1 on a team-high 13 targets vs. UCLA. And guess what…this is another massive spot for Williams, Addison and the Trojans. I’ll have some lineups playing Addison naked here as double-digit targets feels likely again.
Best of the Rest – QB Caleb Williams ($9,100) This is probably a fade spot as there are cheaper options at the quarterback position that might even have higher ceilings this week. There’s a possibility of Notre Dame really slowing this game down if the running game is successful, and the Irish secondary has been playing very well the second half of the year, ranking 8th in success rate and allowing 19 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks.
Injury Notes – n/a
Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech
Point-Spread: OU -2.5
O/U Total: 64.5
Implied Score: OU 33.5 – Tx Tech 31
Weather: 41 degrees / 57% rain / 5 mph winds
Oklahoma:
Top Play(s) – RB Eric Gray ($7,400) Tough game to get a read on here as I could see a shootout or a defensive battle. Both teams have played slightly above expectations defensively, and well below expectations offensively. In these scenarios, I’ll lean towards the tried-and-true plays with Eric Gray who has carried the rock 20+ times in each of the last five games. Last time Gray failed to score 20 fantasy points in a game was all the way back in Week 6. Opposing RB1s are averaging 20.6 FPPG against the Red Raiders in 2022, 12th most in the country.
Fade – WR Theo Wease ($5,200) It’s the last week of the regular season – only fair that we include Wease as a fade one final time. Played just 27 snaps last week against Oklahoma State. Can’t wait to find out where Wease lands once he enters the transfer portal so I can fade him again next year.
Bargain Bin – TE Brayden Willis ($4,200) Fourth on the team in targets (45), first in touchdowns (5) and second in routes run. We know Willis is always on the field so there’s always a chance at him finding paydirt at some point.
Pivot Play – QB Dillon Gabriel ($7,800) and WR Marvin Mims ($7,200) I cannot tell you how much money this pairing has cost me this year, and the missed opportunities I’ve had over the years by rostering Mims. If you play them, you stack them, that’s the way to both win and lose a GPP. Texas Tech is 101st in the country in pass play explosiveness defensively, having allowed 25 pass plays of over 25 yards this season. I’ve just been burned too many times over the years to play either of them.
Best of the Rest – WR Drake Stoops ($5,000) I turned away from this game last week once OU was up four touchdowns in the first quarter so I don’t know for certain if Stoops’ 10 targes were a result of garbage time or is this something that can continue. What we do know is Stoops is now fourth on the team in routes run as he’s taken Wease’s spot in the starting lineup.
Injury Notes – n/a
Texas Tech:
Top Play(s) – QB Tyler Shough ($6,200) So, Shough projects very well this week for a $6.2k quarterback at over 25 fantasy points. Reading up on this matchup, though, and it’s very evident that the belief is Tech will employ a similar strategy as they have the past two weeks which is run the football. While that is not great news for Shough, it should be considered the Tech QB1 is also part of the equation with 26 carries and 110 rushing yards over the last two games. He’ll be in the mix.
Fade – WRs. We’re done playing Texas Tech wide receivers for the season. Don’t have anyone projected at over 10 fantasy points, and nobody worth considering is below $5k. FWIW – we did see less rotation last week vs. Iowa State with Jerand Bradley and Myles Price playing over 55% of the offensive snaps. If you’re intent on playing a Tech wide receiver, I’d start there.
Bargain Bin – n/a
Pivot Play – RBs. We know the situation by now – Tech will ride the hot hand in the backfield, whether that be Tahj Brooks, SaRodorick Thompson or now even Cam’Ron Valdez. I do think it is notable that Brooks has doubled Thompson’s offensive snap counts in each of the last two games, so he’s the preferred choice of the two. Oklahoma is 106th in rush play success rate.
Best of the Rest – n/a
Injury Notes – n/a
Tulsa vs. Houston
Point-Spread: Hou -12.5
O/U Total: 66.5
Implied Score: Hou 39.5 – Tulsa 27
Weather: 56 degrees / 5% rain / 10 mph winds
Tulsa:
Top Play(s) – WR Keylon Stokes ($7,500) Will be rooting for Stokes at the pro level after one helluva career with the Golden Hurricane, surpassing the 1,000-yard mark for the second time in his six-year collegiate career against USF last week. Leads the team in nearly every receiving category.
Fade – RB Steven Anderson ($5,200) Anderson has the Theo Wease glitch on DraftKings…always overpriced. Did score a touchdown last week vs. USF, but his carries have diminished since Deneric Prince returned to the lineup.
Bargain Bin – n/a
Pivot Play – QB Braylon Braxton ($7,400) Last game of the season with nothing to play for…I’d assume we get another start from Braxton if Davis Brin is still less than 100%. Played very well a week ago, completing 74% of his passes for 302 yards and three total touchdowns. That was against the worst defense in the country, though. Houston runs hot and cold defensively, and I’m tentative here because of how they completely shut down ECU last week. But for the season, the Cougars are allowing 32.9 FPPG to opposing QB1s – third worst in the country.
Best of the Rest – RB Deneric Prince ($6,900) Middle of the road Houston run defense that is 83rd in rush play success rate and allowing 17.9 FPPG to opposing RB1s. Should be very low owned at his pricing because his performances have been so unpredictable this season. 150 rushing yards one game and 50 yards the next. WR JuanCarlos Santana ($6,500) should also see low ownership and is a GPP play, ranked second on the team in targets (82) and first in routes run.
Injury Notes – Stay tuned to the QB situation.
Houston:
Top Play(s) – WR Nathaniel Dell ($7,600) Nothing more needs to be said. At minimum a top three fantasy WR in the country. I’d argue a top one. Last time Dell played a game in which he did not score a touchdown, it was September. WR1s are averaging 21.6 FPPG against this Tulsa secondary.
Fade – RB Ta’Zhawn Henry ($5,900) As long as Stacy Sneed is a go, we’re out on Henry who is best served as a third-down option. See below on Sneed.
Bargain Bin – n/a
Pivot Play – RB Stacy Sneed ($3,800) We’ll do some more digging on this one as it gets closer to game time because we would like to play a Houston running back against this horrid Tulsa run defense. Looking back, though, at Week 11 when both were healthy, Sneed held the edge in rushing attempts and snap counts. We’re in at his pricing, facing a Tulsa defense that is allowing 17.5 FPPG to opposing RB1s.
Best of the Rest – QB Clayton Tune ($8,000) Too cheap a price for our highest-projected QB on the night slate that is not named Caleb Williams. Absolutely rolling opponents the last six weeks with 30+ fantasy points in every game, completing well over 70% of his passes. Should have his full complement of receivers today too unless we’re all surprised again with a late WR Sam Brown ($4,500) scratch. HC Dana Holgorsen said Brown is expected to play Saturday. WR Matthew Golden ($5,400) is looking every bit the highly-touted 4-star prospect with four touchdowns and two 100-yard performances in the last three weeks.
Injury Notes – n/a….as far as we know.
Kansas vs. Kansas State
Point-Spread: KSU -11.5
O/U Total: 62.5
Implied Score: KSU 37 – KU 25.5
Weather: 46 degrees / 100% rain / 4 mph winds
Kansas:
Just two options on the KU side for me with QB Jalon Daniels ($7,500) or RB Devin Neal ($6,300). We don’t have any other Jayhawks projected at over 10 fantasy points. Of the two options, I probably like Daniels here the most of the two. Kansas was playing from behind last week, so Neal’s 13 rushing attempts make sense from a game script standpoint. But that’s the same amount of carries we saw from Neal earlier in the season when Daniels was the QB under center. Makes you wonder if Neal’s touches per game are dependent on which quarterback is starting. Kansas State is 42nd in rush play success rate and allowing just 13.5 FPPG to opposing RB1s for the year. Four quarterbacks have scored 30+ fantasy points this season against the Kansas State secondary, most recently West Virginia’s Garrett Greene. He’s in play for me, but not a quarterback I’m heavily targeting on the slate.
Kansas State:
Top Play(s) – RB Deuce Vaughn ($7,200) Teams are running up, down, left and right all over the Kansas defense lately, allowing over five yards a carry the last six weeks. In the last two games alone, Texas Tech and Texas have combined for 10 rushing touchdowns. Deuce must be licking his chops. Opposing RB1s are averaging 19.7 FPPG against the Jayhawks this season.
Fade – WR Philip Brooks ($4,800) Snap counts haven’t changed, and targets have been relatively consistent over the course of the year, but the production just hasn’t been there. And with a game script that could be very run-heavy, I’d only look towards Malik Knowles in this spot. Under 50 yards receiving in six of the last eight games.
Bargain Bin – TE Ben Sinnott ($3,700) 45 fantasy points in the last two weeks as Sinnott has found the end-zone three times in that span. 49% of his receiving yards for the season have come in the last two weeks alone.
Pivot Play – RB D.J. Giddens ($4,200) This play is interesting for me given the way team’s have shredded the Jayhawks run defense lately. This isn’t to take away from Vaughn, but we’ve seen Giddens get more run the last four games, and done well with the opportunity, averaging over five yards a carry with three touchdowns. For those that play CFF dynasty, he appears to be the RB1 for next season if Vaughn heads off to the NFL. I wouldn’t mind pairing both Giddens and Vaughn in a lineup together.
Best of the Rest – QB Will Howard ($6,600) Maybe Kansas State should’ve started Will Howard from the get-go? 30+ fantasy points in three of the four games started this season and will cap the year against a Kansas defense that is allowing 29 FPPG to opposing QBs this season. Only concern here is that Kansas State dominates the Jayhawks on the ground, as opponents have done recently, to where Howard isn’t needed as much.
Injury Notes – n/a
Pittsburgh vs. Miami
Point-Spread: Pitt -6.5
O/U Total: 43.5
Implied Score: Pitt 25 – Mia 18.5
Weather: 74 degrees / 10% rain / 4 mph winds
Pitt:
We’re monitoring the running back position here – that’s it. RB Izzy Abanikanda ($7,900) is obviously the top play for Pitt here, but he did come off the field late last week in the win over Duke, giving way to Rodney Hammond ($5,500). We’ve already seen this season that if Izzy isn’t 100%, he’ll dress but sit out. Risky GPP play only for me with Abanikanda. I suppose a dart throw on WR Jared Wayne ($6,000) isn’t the worst play either. Double-digit fantasy points in three of the last four games, including two 100-yard receiving performances.
Miami:
Imagine writing up CFB DFS for 13 weeks during the regular season and the last team you must analyze is the Miami Hurricane’s offense. How much motivation would you have? You can’t even find a game preview as the beat writers have essentially turned their focus to 2023 recruiting and the transfer portal, despite Miami being a win away from bowl eligibility. If QB Tyler Van Dyke ($5,600) gets the starting nod, maybe we’ll have some interest in TE Will Mallory ($3,500) or WR Colbie Young ($4,100) but that is the extent of it.