CFB DFS: Week 4 – Saturday Night Slate

Miami vs. South Florida

Point-Spread: UM -17

O/U Total: 65

Implied Score: UM 41 – USF 24

Weather: 84 degrees / 8% rain / 4 mph winds

 

Miami:

Top Play(s) – QB Cam Ward ($10,000) I’ve never much been a big proponent of spending up at quarterback, but I think it’s warranted here with Ward as Miami is second in the country, averaging over 400 yards per game through the air. I love the pairing with 

 WR Xavier Restrepo ($7,000), his top receiving option in the slot, but the Hurricanes have a plethora of receiving options that Ward is more of a guarantee. Obviously, can’t go wrong with either player. 

Fade – RB Damien Martinez ($6,000) Martinez can be productive against this USF defense, but we question the volume…and more importantly, the volume Martinez gets in the red area. A grand total of three rushing attempts against Ball State really isn’t much of a red flag considering the game was 62-0. But the gaining confidence the coaching staff has in a healthy RB Mark Fletcher ($5,500) and a talented true freshman in RB Jordan Lyle ($3,000) is the concern. It doesn’t feel like Miami will have a bell cow this season with the surplus of depth in the backfield.  

Bargain Bin – RB Jordan Lyle ($3,000) Should this be another double-digit victory for the Hurricanes, you can anticipate you’ll see the 4-star freshman getting run in the second half. Double-digit fantasy points in each of the last two games. While Lyle may have the brightest long-term outlook of any Miami running back, the concern would be that this game is relatively close like the USF-Alabama game was two weeks ago, and Lyle is a non-factor behind three veterans.  

Pivot Play – TE Elijah Arroyo ($3,400) Amidst all the talent at wide receiver, Arroyo is becoming a consistent factor in the passing game with seven receptions and two touchdowns. USF struggled to defend the tight end position last week, allowing 13 fantasy points to Southern Miss TE Kyrin Heath.  

Best of the Rest – WRs Not Named Restrepo. They’re all bunched together with little separation. WR Samuel Brown ($4,800) does lead the team in targets (19) but might be the least appealing of the bunch, averaging just 8 yards per reception with a team-high three drops. WR Jacolby George ($5,300) and WR Isaiah Horton ($4,100) have 15 targets a piece and are both averaging over 15 yards per reception. Stacking one of these options with Restrepo can be viable in GPP. 

Injury Notes – n/a    

 

South Florida:

Top Play(s) – QB Byrum Brown ($6,700) Brown’s rushing volume keeps him in the QB pool for this slate with 38 carries over the last two games, including 20 against Alabama in Week 2. Don’t forget – Brown was just one of two players last season to post 3,000 passing yards and 800 rushing yards, alongside Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels. No need to pair Brown with any USF wide receiver as the USF passing game has been non-existent, averaging just 5.3 yards per attempt.  

Fade – RB Kelly Joiner ($4,500) Truthfully we should probably just fade the entire backfield but will list Joiner here first as he’s the highest priced. Despite topping 100 yards last week, Joiner only plays around 30% of the team’s offensive snaps as USF will rotate between him, Nay’Quan Wright and Ta’Ron Keith. Outside of one long Montrell Johnson run in Week 1, the Miami defense has been very good against the run, allowing just 2.7 yards per carry. 

Bargain Bin – WR Sean Atkins ($4,300) Atkins doesn’t generate any explosive plays as indicated by USF’s struggles in the passing game, but is still averaging 7.6 targets per game and is a former 1,000-yard receiver so we know talent is there. Should be prioritized on DK over FD with the scoring settings. Still too cheap a price for a receiver of his caliber.  

Pivot Play – WR Michael Brown Stephens ($3,800) At some point USF will need to get some explosive plays out of the passing game. If not Atkins, MBS has as good a shot as any. Third in routes run, but his average depth of target for the season is now over 20 yards. Need Byrum Brown to connect on one of these deep shots, but it would be Brown-Stephens as the recipient most likely if he does.  

Best of the Rest – WR Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen ($3,500) The Purdue transfer hasn’t made a huge impact just yet but is second on the team behind Atkins in routes run and targets (13). USF isn’t rotating much at receiver, so you’re only looking at Atkins, Yaseen or Brown Stephens as options.  

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

California vs. Florida State

Point-Spread: FSU -2.5

O/U Total: 44.5

Implied Score: FSU 23.5 – Cal 21

Weather: 85 degrees / 0% rain / 3 mph winds

 

California:

Top Play(s) – Whoever Starts At RB. Cal’s beat writer expects Ott to play this week. He was also dressed in uniform at one point a week ago, and didn’t play a single snap. In his place, former Old Dominion transfer RB Jaivian Thomas ($5,000) had a career day with 169 yards on 17 carries in the win over San Diego State. The wrong team is favored here, regardless of if Ott plays or not. Five different running backs have already scored double-digit fantasy points against FSU this season, including two 20-point performances from the Boston College duo of Treshaun Ward and Kye Robichaux.  

Fade – QB Fernando Mendoza ($7,200) There are nine quarterbacks I’d rank ahead of Mendoza here with just a 15-point projection. FSU grades out terribly against the pass, ranked 122nd in pass D success rate, but have fared well from a fantasy perspective, holding Seth Henigan last week to just 17 fantasy points. Thomas Castellanos scored 25 fantasy points against the Seminoles but did a lot of his work on the ground. Mendoza has a grand total of 12 rushing yards.  

Bargain Bin – TE Corey Dyches ($3,100) The Maryland transfer had a season-best five targets with a touchdown last week. Florida State struggled to defend Memphis tight end Anthony Landphere last Saturday, allowing 17 fantasy points. WR Mavin Anderson ($3,800) also gets a nod here, playing at least 61% of the team’s offensive snaps in all three games this season – most of any Cal wideout. 

Pivot Play – WR Nyziah Hunter ($5,000) From a target standpoint, Cal does not have a “target hog” at just 15% of the share. But Hunter is a name we need to get to know, now with four receptions in all three games to start the season with four of Cal’s five receiving touchdowns on the year. As it stands, Hunter plays just 50% of the team’s offensive snaps. I think that needs to change, Justin Wilcox. 

Best of the Rest – WR Hodgepodge. There is no clear WR1 for Cal just yet based on playing time. New Mexico State transfer Jonathan Brady leads all California wideouts in routes run. Mikey Matthews is third in targets (11). Trond Grizzell was the projected WR1 for the Bears yet hasn’t had more than 30 yards in a game this season. No reason to roster anyone here outside of Hunter. FWIW, Tobias Merriweather and Kiyon Grayes are expected to be out again this week.  

Injury Notes – RB Jaydn Ott ($8,800) If you’re new to CFB DFS, last week’s situation with Ott was the game in a nutshell. Dressed in uniform with evidence on Twitter yet wound up not playing a single snap in Cal’s win over San Diego State. The expectation from the California beat writer is that Ott will play on Saturday. But that price tag is a huge risk.     

 

Florida State:

Top Play(s) – WR Malik Benson ($4,800) Benson was the one bright spot last week vs. Memphis, targeted nine times for 99 yards, a lot of which came in the second half. He leads all FSU receivers by a decent margin in targets and routes run. 

Fade – QB DJ Uiagalelei ($6,100) Right now if you go to the FSU message boards, there is a poll at the top with the title of the thread being “Who will start on Saturday.” It’s probably still DJU, but my prediction right now is that this is the week a change happens, and Brock Glenn will see the field. RB Roydell Williams ($5,000) also gets a nod here as he saw his playing time slip dramatically, playing just 28% of the snaps.  

Bargain Bin – TE Kyle Morlock ($3,300) Going to continue to put Morlock here as long as he’s cheap and on the field all the time. 75% of snaps played in the Week 3 loss to Memphis with a season-high 54 yards on four targets.  

Pivot Play – WR Hykeem Williams ($3,400) First appearance of the season for the former 4-star recruit and had an immediate impact with three catches on first targets. Williams looks to be the primary outside option now opposite Benson, replacing an ineffective Jalen Brown and Kentron Poitier. 

Best of the Rest – n/a. Just filling space here trying to put some analysis around another FSU player. In the Florida State game preview, five of the six predictors had the Seminoles scoring fewer than 14 points on Saturday. There likely will not be a Florida State player in the winning lineup.   

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

Northwestern vs. Washington

Point-Spread: UW -11.5

O/U Total: 43.5

Implied Score: UW 27.5 – NW 16

Weather: 69 degrees / 0% rain / 6 mph winds

 

Northwestern:

Top Play(s) – WR AJ Henning ($5,800) They don’t go very far – just a 5.8 aDOT – but Henning is seeing a high volume of targets, averaging 7.6 per game through three weeks. That means he’s far more of a priority on DK vs. FD. Washington just allowed 24 fantasy points this past week to another slot receiver in Washington State’s Joshua Meredith. 

Fade – Anyone Beyond the Top 4. Dominant target share amongst the top 2 receivers. Cam Porter has over 40% of the team’s rushing attempts. And Jack Lausch could be a sleeper QB this week. Centralized production for Northwestern’s offense amongst that group. 

Bargain Bin – n/a. Nobody under $5k.  

Pivot Play – RB Cam Porter ($5,200) Washington has yet to allow a running back to score more than eight fantasy points against them this season. Doesn’t seem like that bodes well for Porter, who is having a better 2024 than he did a year ago, averaging over five yards per attempt. The advanced stats show that Washington is far worse defending the run than the pass, though, ranking 61st in rush D success rate and 79th in EPA/rush. 

Best of the Rest – QB Jack Lausch ($7,400) Not so much interested in Lausch the passer. But he can run, as displayed last week with 60+ on the ground vs. Eastern Illinois. This is a system under OC Zach Lujan that heavily deploys the QB in the run game. South Dakota State QB Mark Gronowski rushed for over 20 touchdowns combined in 2022-23.  

Injury Notes – WR Bryce Kirtz ($5,500) Over 50% of Northwestern’s target share belongs to Kirtz and Henning. If there’s a deep shot down the field, it’ll more than likely be Kirtz with a 16.5 aDOT and averaging over 12 yards per reception. Just doesn’t have a high catch rate at just 55% compared to 72% for Henning.     

 

Washington:

Top Play(s) – WR Giles Jackson ($7,100) We were so focused on Jeremiah Hunter and Denzel Boston in the offseason that we forgot there is a track record of slot receivers hitting 100 targets in Jedd Fisch’s offenses. 24 targets, 24 receptions this season for Jackson, having his best performance of the year with 152 yards against Washington State. 

Fade – n/a. Everyone priced appropriately. 

Bargain Bin – TE Keleki Latu ($3,000) The receivers are the main attraction for Washington, but Latu does have eight targets and has played 99% of the team’s snaps in the last two weeks alone. His counterpart TE Decker DeGraff ($3,400) plays to a lesser extent, but also has two receiving touchdowns.  

Pivot Play – WR Denzel Boston ($5,800) There’s a chance multiple UW receivers go off this week as Northwestern’s secondary has struggled to begin the year. NW ranks 90th in pass D success rate and three different wideouts have scored 15 fantasy points or more already against the Wildcats, including 30 from Duke’s Jordan Moore. Boston is second in targets (23) and first in routes run.  

Best of the Rest – RB Jonah Coleman ($7,400) Tough to gauge how good the Northwestern run defense has been given they’ve faced inept rush offenses like Miami (Ohio) and Eastern Illinois. Coleman has nearly 50% of the backfield market share, though. QB Will Rogers ($8,400) has played well with a 75% completion rate with six touchdowns and zero interceptions. He must do all his work through the air, though, as a non-runner and I don’t love that they’re bringing in Demond Williams as a change of pace like they did last week vs. Wazzu. That lowers our interest in Rogers. WR Jeremiah Hunter ($4,700) is a distant third in targets (10) but did have a 72-yard performance against EMU in Week 2.   

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

Tennessee vs. Oklahoma 

Point-Spread: UT -6.5

O/U Total: 57.5

Implied Score: UT 32 – OU 25.5

Weather: 93 degrees / 2% rain / 11 mph winds

 

Tennessee:

Top Play(s) – RB Dylan Sampson ($8,600) Crazy to think with the highest scoring offense in college football, averaging over 60 points per game, that we have just two players projected to score more than nine fantasy points this week. We’ll get to that in a bit. Sampson gets top billing here as he’s the third highest scoring running back in college fantasy football at the moment with nine rushing TDs. OU’s defense is stout but running backs have found some level of success with Tulane’s Makhi Hughes scoring 16 fantasy points last week.  

Fade – WR Squirrel White ($5,200) Tough to tell if this is the level of production to expect from Squirrel White all year, or will we see more in competitive matchups like this one. We’ll fade for now as the targets are spread out with no receiver having more than 18% target share. White is essentially splitting time in the slot with Chas Nimrod.  

Bargain Bin – WR Bru McCoy ($3,300) I do enjoy reading the game previews and some of the bold predictions from college beat writers who cover their team on a day-to-day basis. And multiple writers on the Tennessee beat predicted a big game from Bru McCoy this week, with their bold prediction being that he’ll catch at least six passes. He’s cheap and still leads the Vols in targets (16).

Pivot Play – QB Nico Iamaleava ($8,500) The advanced stats paint a rosier picture for Iamaleava to find success Saturday against this OU defense as the Sooners are 85th in pass D success rate. On the other hand, they’ve allowed just 8.9 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks in the early going. None of which compare to the former 5-star and Heisman candidate, but we’ve got several other QB options on the slate that are attractive too.  

Best of the Rest – WR Chris Brazzell ($4,800) The Tulane transfer is second in targets (15), first in receptions (10) and first in routes run. WR Dont’e Thornton ($4,700) has faded into the background since his offensive explosion in Week 1. Ran just eight routes against both NC State and Kent State. RB Desean Bishop ($4,500) has emerged as a reliable No. 2 behind Sampson, now averaging over 10 yards per carry for the year.  

Injury Notes – n/a    

 

Oklahoma:

Top Play(s) – WR Deion Burks ($7,700) OU’s passing game will be the deciding factor in Saturday’s outcome. The offensive line for the Sooners won’t create many running lanes against this Tennessee defensive front. The dynamic of the OU passing game will change now with Nic Anderson back healthy, but Burks remains the key cog with 40% of the team’s receptions and 34% of the receiving yards.  

Fade – RB Gavin Sawchuk ($5,200) Copy / paste our blurb on Sawchuk from last week. Maybe he gets things turned around at some point, but Sawchuk looks to be the RB3 at this point behind Jovantae Barnes and Taylor Tatum. Collectively, we’re fading all of the OU running backs to be frank. The Sooners are 97th in rush success rate offensively with the leading rusher being their quarterback.   

Bargain Bin – TE Bauer Sharp ($3,900) The FCS transfer is now tied for second on the team with 12 targets and has played over 80% of the offensive snaps in each of the last two games.  

Pivot Play – Jackson Arnold ($9,000) Tough to see a path here for Arnold. The OU passing game has struggled to date, ranking 116th in pass success rate. And the Tennessee defense has yet to allow a quarterback to score more than 6 fantasy points in a game all year long. Strangely, the advanced stats paint a slightly different picture, ranking the Vols 100th in pass D success rate. Perhaps Arnold’s season takes a turn with Nic Anderson back in the lineup. And we already mentioned he’s the team’s leading rusher to this point. 

Best of the Rest – WR Nic Anderson ($5,200) Anderson looked healthy on the sidelines last week, but the coaching staff decided to hold him out for precautionary reasons, likely feeling confident they could beat Tulane without his services. His return to the lineup hopefully changes the entire dynamic of the OU offense to where they can finally stretch defenses vertically, averaging over 20 yards per catch as a freshman. 

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

Iowa vs. Minnesota

Point-Spread: Iowa -2.5

O/U Total: 34.5

Implied Score: Iowa 18.5 – Minn 16

Weather: 74 degrees / 19% rain / 10 mph winds

 

Iowa:

Love / hate relationship when Iowa is on the slate. On one hand, it’d be a helluva lot more fun with a game total not in the 30s – which most Iowa games usually are. On the flipside, Iowa being on the slate saves me a ton of time because we have two options max. RB Kaleb Johnson ($7,900) leads all P4 running backs with 479 rushing yards, and his six rushing TDs are tied for second most. This is all while being suspended for the first half in Week 1. Minnesota is 27th in rush D success rate, but we also saw Omarion Hampton hit 100 rushing yards against this same Gopher defense. 

 

Minnesota:

Same story on the Minnesota side with RB Darius Taylor ($8,100) being the only option. But there’s two sides to said story. Working in favor of Taylor is the uptick in receiving work this season, now a perfect 9-for-9 in the passing game with a touchdown. All reports indicate this Iowa game was Taylor’s anticipated return, so expect an increase in volume this week as well. Now for the downside. (1) Minnesota hasn’t really found itself in the running game just yet, ranked 86th in success rate. (2) Iowa usually has a game plan to stop one dimensional offenses like this. The Gophers averaged just 3.6 yards per carry in their matchup with the Hawkeyes last year. WRs Daniel Jackson ($5,300) and Isaiah Spencer ($4,700) have 41% of the team’s target share and are the only viable options in the passing game. 

 

Baylor vs. Colorado

Point-Spread: Col -1.5

O/U Total: 51.5

Implied Score: Col 26.5 – Bayl 25

Weather: 58 degrees / 83% rain / 10 mph winds

 

Baylor:

Top Play(s) – RB Bryson Washington ($3,900) We hit this one a week ago, singling out Washington as the top bargain bin option for the Bears. All the redshirt freshman did was rush for 100+ with a touchdown in the blowout win over Air Force. This Baylor backfield will still be a “ride the hot hand” approach each week, but for now, Washington is your RB1.  

Fade – RB Dawson Pendergrass ($4,200) We’ll see if this is confirmed this week, but I think Pendergrass lost his spot in the rotation last week, playing just 22% of the snaps. His role as the hammer in the Baylor running game is duplicated by Dom Richardson and Bryson Washington to where he’s probably 3rd or 4th in the rotation now.  

Bargain Bin – TE Michael Trigg ($3,500) Strong start to the year for the former USC and Ole Miss transfer, now with 10 receptions on 14 targets which actually leads the team.  

Pivot Play – QB Sawyer Robertson ($5,100) Not sure Baylor is going back to Dequan Finn as the Baylor offense looked the best it has all year long with Robertson under center. The former Miss State transfer completed 18 of 24 passes for 248 yards with a rushing touchdown. The Colorado defense also looked the best it has all year last week, allowing just six fantasy points to Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi. The Buffs rank 75th in pass D success rate.   

Best of the Rest – WRs. It’s not worth our salt to dive into the mess that is the Baylor receiver situation. WR Josh Cameron ($4,300) led all Baylor wideouts with seven targets vs. Air Force. He and WR Ketron Jackson Jr. ($4,200) played over 80% of the snaps last Saturday, whereas it was a rotation between Ashtyn Hawkins, Monaray Baldwin and Jamaal Bell in the slot. 

Injury Notes – n/a    

 

Colorado:

Top Play(s) – WR Travis Hunter ($9,900) Going to skim through Colorado here because I think they’ve been on every slate thus far. Hunter’s 34 targets this season have him tied for 9th nationally. And the 88% catch rate is just absurd at that level of volume.  

Fade – RBs. Credit to Colorado for at least attempting to run the football last week, averaging over six yards a carry on 17 attempts. RB Micah Welch ($3,700) gave the run game a spark with 65 yards on nine carries and is probably the future at the position for the Buffs. Playing a Baylor defense that is top 10 in rush D success rate now with Dave Aranda calling plays is a different story than facing Colorado State, though. 

Bargain Bin – WR Will Sheppard ($4,000) A breakout performance will happen sooner or later for the Vanderbilt transfer who continues to play heavy minutes with well over 80% of the snaps played.   

Pivot Play – QB Shedeur Sanders ($9,000) Another situation where we need to see more of the Baylor defense to grasp how good they are. But the small sample size looks good, allowing just 8 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks and are 7th in pass D success rate. But that includes Air Force, who doesn’t throw, and a matchup with Utah where Cam Rising was injured. 

Best of the Rest – WR LaJohntay Wester ($6,300) The FAU transfer is starting to find that chemistry with Sanders, now with at least seven targets in all three games, and three receiving touchdowns in the last two weeks. Meanwhile, WR Jimmy Horn Jr. ($6,500) has reverted back to his 2023 form with a combined 48 receiving yards after his 197-yard explosion in Week 1. Playing time for Horn hasn’t diminished though, just the production. 

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

Michigan State vs. Boston College

Point-Spread: BC -6.5

O/U Total: 45.5

Implied Score: BC 26 – MSU 19.5

Weather: 60 degrees /34% rain / 13 mph winds

 

Michigan State:

Top Play(s) – WR Montorie Foster ($4,500) Who else is left to catch passes with Sparty now two starters down at receiver? Foster was already the clear WR1 for MSU with a team-high 24 targets and the game script here dictates the Spartans will probably need to throw a bit as a touchdown underdog.  

Fade – QB Aidan Chiles ($7,000) The 53rd ranked pass offense, on the road in potential rainy conditions, without two starters at receiver are not things you want to read when considering a quarterback for CFB DFS. This game will be on the lower scoring side tonight. BC is allowing just 17 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks this season.  

Bargain Bin – TE Jack Velling ($3,500) Really surprised that Velling hasn’t made more of an impact this season for Sparty given he knows the offense coming over from Oregon State and the lack of weapons at receiver. Second on the team behind Foster in routes run, but just 10 targets with zero touchdowns through three games. 

Pivot Play – WR Aziah Johnson ($3,700) Johnson ran a season-high 12 routes last week against Prairie View and was rewarded with 50 yards and a touchdown on two targets. I would imagine Johnson will start in the slot and Foster will kick out wide with the limited numbers at receiver this week. 

Best of the Rest – RBs. This was the exact concern coming into the year with the MSU backfield once Kayron Lynch-Adams transferred in from UMass. This is a 50-50 split between him and Nate Carter with very little separation right now. BC has also been very strong defending the run to this point, allowing just 19 fantasy points per game to RBs and 10th in rush D success rate.  

Injury Notes – WRs Nick Marsh and Jaron Glover are confirmed OUT.    

 

Boston College:

Top Play(s) – QB Thomas Castellanos ($8,800) Castellanos had a below average performance last week on the road at Missouri and still had 21 fantasy points on the day. The rushing volume keeps him in the player pool every week, and really hasn’t diminished much this season under new head coach Bill O’Brien. And we’re seeing some progress made in the passing game, despite the ugly interception last week. 20 points is the floor for Castellanos each week.  

Fade – WR Jerand Bradley ($4,100) The Texas Tech transfer is a non-factor as BC employs a ton of two-tight end sets each week. So, the third wideout is not typically on the field, with Bradley playing just 32% of the offensive snaps with only three targets on the year. 

Bargain Bin – TEs. Can go back to all of Bill O’Brien’s previous stops with Penn State, Alabama and the New England Patriots. Multiple tight ends see heavy usage, and that applies this year with Kamari Morales and Reed Harris who have four receiving touchdowns between them.  

Pivot Play – WR Lewis Bond ($4,500) or WR Jaedn Skeete ($4,000) Top two receivers have dominated the target share so far with 25 of the 56 targets. Next closest wide receiver has just three targets.  

Best of the Rest – RBs Treshaun Ward ($5,100) or Kye Robichaux ($4,700) Throw out the last two games as you had a Missouri matchup where BC was forced to throw, and then a 56-0 blowout of Duquesne. Neither game script leads to good fantasy production. Week 1 is our reference point where we saw the backfield duo go for 150 and a score. Michigan State is stout up front on defense, tied for 17th in rush D success rate, so we favor just playing Castellanos over the BC running backs. 

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

Purdue vs. Oregon State

Point-Spread: OSU -3.5

O/U Total: 49.5

Implied Score: OSU 26.5 – Purd 23

Weather: 75 degrees / 0% rain / 10 mph winds

 

Purdue:

Top Play(s) – RB Devin Mockobee ($4,000) Mockobee is going to be chalk because of this pricing and I’m still not firmly sure he’s worth it, splitting time in the backfield with Illinois transfer RB Reggie Love III ($3,800). But the Oregon State run defense has been abysmal so far, ranked 117th in rush D success rate and allowing three different Oregon running backs to score double-digit fantasy points last week. On that note, Love might be a savvy pivot off of Mockobee to still get exposure to the Purdue backfield. Love out-carried Mockobee last week in the blowout loss to Notre Dame and we’ve seen Purdue do funky RB rotations in the past. 

Fade – n/a. Everyone is priced appropriately. 

Bargain Bin – TE Max Klare ($3,900) Finding Purdue information is like pulling teeth, unless you want to pay a monthly fee for the Rivals Purdue site (who does that unless you live in West Lafayette?). Klare has been the team’s most consistent performer, ranked second on the team in routes run and first in targets (11) and receptions (8). 

Pivot Play – WR Jahmal Edrine ($4,000) There will be a breakout at some point for Purdue’s WR1. Edrine is second in targets (10) and leads Purdue receivers in routes run.  

Best of the Rest – QB Hudson Card ($5,700) The Oregon State secondary was torched by Dillon Gabriel last week to the tune of 32 fantasy points. Who knows what to make of this Purdue passing game just yet with a two-game sample size, but Card is cheap enough to consider here. WR De’Nylon Morrissette ($3,300) – is he related to Alanis? – has now caught a touchdown in both games to start the year. WR Jaron Tibbs ($3,300) is third on the team in routes run behind Klare and Edrine.  

Injury Notes – n/a    

 

Oregon State:

Top Play(s) – WR Trent Walker ($4,300) Still underpriced with Walker’s level of production, now with 30 targets over three games, with 23 coming in the last two. No receiver on the team has more than 12.  

Fade – QB Gevani McCoy ($5,500) Oregon State prefers to keep the ball on the ground if they can. The Beavers are 98th in pass play rate at just 43%. Even with a pass-heavy game script last week, McCoy managed just 12 fantasy points in the loss to Oregon. 

Bargain Bin – WR Taz Reddicks ($3,300) With Darrius Clemons out of the lineup, Reddicks has functioned as the WR2 opposite Walker, now second on the team in targets (12) and routes run. Reddicks and WR Jeremiah Noga ($3,500) played over 67% of the offensive snaps last Saturday.  

Pivot Play – RBs. You know the gif of the fat kid trying to decide between two cookies? That’s what it feels like trying to select the correct Oregon State running back for that given week between Anthony Hankerson and Jamious Griffin. Last week, it was Hankerson with two rushing touchdowns, though both averaged under four yards a carry. Maybe Vegas can help us? Hankerson is the only RB listed for Oregon State right now FWIW. Regardless of the choice – Oregon State should be able to run the football on Purdue tonight so having one in your lineups is wise.   

Best of the Rest – n/a. We’re really only interested in the Oregon State backfield and Trent Walker on the Oregon State side of things.  

Injury Notes – n/a  

 

 

 

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