Washington State vs. Fresno State
Point-Spread: WSU -3.5
O/U Total: 60.5
Implied Score: WSU 32 – Fres St 28.5
Weather: 81 degrees / 0% rain / 7 mph winds
Washington State:
Top Play(s) – QB John Mateer ($10,400) Our No. 1 ranked player on the night slate and No. 3 player overall in college fantasy for the week. Will sound like a broken record here, but there’s not a lot of paths for Mateer to not hit value aside from injury. Fresno State stacks the box and Wazzu chucks it around, ranked 18th in yards per game through the air. Fresno plays prevent and Mateer will get ya on the ground, averaging 18 carries per game over the last month. The Bulldogs are 61st in pass D success rate and only giving up 20.4 FPPG to opposing QBs, but they’ve been dominated the last two games, allowing 60 combined points to Hajj Malik-Williams and Devon Dampier.
Fade – RB Leo Pulalasi ($3,500) Only received carries in garbage time last week vs. Boise State. This is RB Wayshawn Parker’s ($4,800) job. With that said, the Fresno State defense is above average against the run, allowing just 18 FPPG to opposing backfields with one running back scoring over 11 fantasy points all season. That was New Mexico’s Javen Jacobs who only had 41 yards on the ground and was aided by six receptions. This is a good Fresno State run defense.
Bargain Bin – WR Carlos Hernandez ($3,000) The sophomore receiver is expected to make his season debut this week and was arguably the team’s top performer in spring / fall camp. Big risk any time a player returns from injury in his first game back, but Hernandez is a talented enough player to consider.
Pivot Play – TE Cooper Mathers ($3,500) All Mathers does is catch touchdowns. Three receptions, three scores. Playing time has steadily increased over the last three weeks, playing over 60% of the offensive snaps and all four of his targets have come in the last two games. Low floor, low ceiling play.
Best of the Rest – WRs. Wazzu doesn’t rotate much at all at receiver so take your choice between Josh Meredith, Kyle Williams and Kris Hutson. Williams and Mateer are starting to find a strong connection of late after a slow start, now with back-to-back 100-yard receiving performances with 12 targets in each of the last two games. Fresno State has been torched by opposing WR1s in the last two games, allowing a combined 60 fantasy points to Ricky White and Luke Wysong. Stacking multiple Wazzu receivers together in a lineup isn’t out of the question.
Injury Notes – n/a
Fresno St:
Top Play(s) – WR Raylen Sharpe ($4,400) The Missouri State transfer has seen his playing time increase with each passing week and is now a full-time starter in the slot with 27 targets over the last three games. Sharpe ascending to Fresno State’s WR1 is not out of the question in our opinion.
Fade – See injury report.
Bargain Bin – RB Elijah Gilliam ($3,800) If Sherrod sits, which seems very likely at this point, Gilliam will be next in line to assume the RB1 role. Fresno State has been putrid running the football in 2024, ranked 119th in success rate, but Gilliam is cheap enough that he won’t kill your lineup and should get the bulk of the carries. Wazzu is just 93rd in EPA per rush play defensively.
Pivot Play – QB Mikey Keene ($8,100) Rarely a Mikey Keene advocate, but situation kind of sets up for him to be a contrarian play. Fresno is likely down its RB1 and already a team that doesn’t run the football all that well. Washington State is allowing 22.4 FPPG to opposing QBs, and this is a narrow spread with a high game total. I’d look to have Keene in game stack lineups.
Best of the Rest – WR Mac Dalena ($6,000) or WR Jalen Moss ($5,200) Dalena and Moss ranked first and second on the team in routes run and receiving yards, with four of the seven touchdowns for Fresno State. Beyond the top three of Dalena, Moss and Sharpe, the next closest Bulldog receiver has all of eight targets. Very similar situation to Washington State at wideout.
Injury Notes – RB Malik Sherrod ($5,100) Fresno State beat writer posted a practice update on Friday evening and listed Sherrod as “doubtful.” We’ll see if Sherrod gets the injury tag eventually on DK, because as of Friday he does not have it.
Florida vs. Tennessee
Point-Spread: Tenn -14
O/U Total: 57
Implied Score: Tenn 35.5 – UF 21.5
Weather: 68 degrees / 0% rain / 3 mph winds
Florida:
Top Play(s) – RB Montell Johnson ($4,500) I dislike Montrell Johnson as Florida’s top play, but the pricing and projection make that the case. Johnson’s volume continues to decrease slightly with each passing week as Florida gets 4-star freshman Jadan Baugh more involved in the run game. This is also the No. 1 run defense in terms of success rate. The last two running backs to face Tennessee – Jovantae Barnes and Ja’Quinden Jackson – are of a similar talent level to Johnson, though, and combined for 32 fantasy points vs. the Vols.
Fade – QBs. Unless Billy Napier commits to one option, quarterbacks for Florida are eliminated from the player pool as DJ Lagway continues to get a few sporadic series throughout the game. Not the matchup to risk that against a Vols defense that is giving up just 9.5 FPPG to quarterbacks this season.
Bargain Bin – WR Chimere Dike ($4,000) We thought of including freshman WR Tank Hawkins ($3,000) as bargain option with Florida implementing more and more first-year players on offense each week, but he likely fades into the background with both Eugune Wilson and Aidan Mizell returning from injury. So, we’ll lean Dike who has played over 90% of the team’s offensive snaps each of the last two games.
Pivot Play – WR Eugene Wilson ($6,000) Despite playing in just two games, Wilson still ranks third on the team in targets and receptions, as he was averaging 8.0 targets and 6.5 receptions per. We don’t expect Florida to run the football with much success against the Vols, and with the strong pass rush, expect a lot of quick short passes from Mertz/Lagway which plays right into Wilson’s hands for high volume.
Best of the Rest – WR Elijah Badger ($5,000) Team leader in targets (24), receptions (17) and receiving yards. Badger is Florida’s top deep threat, averaging over 20 yards per reception with a 17.1 aDOT. Barring a surprise, the Gators will have to throw to win on Saturday.
Injury Notes – n/a
Tennessee:
Top Play(s) – RB Dylan Sampson ($9,200) With Tennessee’s passing game in shambles, it’s time to lean on the best player the Vols have on offense in Sampson with a plus matchup. Florida is 92nd in success rate, 95th in EPA per rush play defensively and have allowed four running backs to score at least 13 fantasy points this season.
Fade – QB Nico Iamaleava ($8,500) Wouldn’t outright fade Iamaleava in GPPs but this is too steep a price for a player that hasn’t thrown for over 200 yards in three weeks. Not to mention Tennessee spent a portion of this week with three rotational receivers being questionable for Saturday with Squirrel White, Bru McCoy and Dont’e Thornton. Both Cam Ward and Marcel Reed scored 29 fantasy points against Florida this season. FWIW – bold prediction from the Tennessee writers was that the coaching staff might unleash Nico in the run game to spark the offense.
Bargain Bin – WR Chris Brazzell ($3,800) The Tulane transfer now leads the team in targets (26) and routes run, and second in aDOT, averaging 16.1 yards per target. The biggest reason why Brazzell is under consideration – he was the only healthy Tennessee starting receiver the entire week.
Pivot Play – RB DeSean Bishop ($3,800) Two ways this game goes for Tennessee. The coaching staff attempts to work out the kinks with the passing game. Or, more likely, the Vols lean on their two top running backs who are averaging seven yards a carry this season. We’ll side with the latter.
Best of the Rest – WR Squirrel White ($4,000) Message board rumors all week that White had a broken collar bone, but the rumors appear to be unsubstantiated as he’s now probable and expected to play. Season-high 10 targets for White last week, though minimal production with an aDOT of just 9.0 yards and a 10.6 YPC average.
Injury Notes – n/a
Ole Miss vs. LSU
Point-Spread: Ole Miss -3.5
O/U Total: 61.5
Implied Score: Miss 32.5 – LSU 29
Weather: 79 degrees / 0% rain / 2 mph winds
Ole Miss:
Top Play(s) – QB Jaxson Dart ($9,600) Frustrating being a Jaxson Dart fantasy owner this season. And Dart isn’t even much at fault. But countless times over the last few weeks Dart has led the offense down the field with the pass, only for Henry Parrish or defensive linemen JJ Pegues (Yes, you read that correctly) to cash in the drive with the TD. Dart will have his full complement of receivers available on Saturday, and while LSU isn’t allowing a ton of fantasy points to opposing QBs this season, the pass defense is still the weak link on that side. 120th in pass D success rate and 104th in EPA.
Fade – WR Ayden Williams ($3,500) The only player for Ole Miss not priced appropriately, playing a combined nine snaps over the last four games. In competitive games with a fully healthy WR room, Williams won’t see the field.
Bargain Bin – Pass-catchers Not Named Tre Harris. Everyone outside of Harris is inexpensive and reasonable. And could be bigger factors than normal if Harris is still banged up, because Lane Kiffin had said earlier in the week that the staff wasn’t even close to putting Harris back in the game vs. South Carolina. Jordan Watkins is most intriguing of the bunch, coming off his best performance of the year with 72 yards on seven targets.
Pivot Play – RB Ulysses Bentley IV ($3,700) Longest of longshot plays, but Bentley moves into the RB2 role with Matt Jones officially out. Henry Parrish looks set to start again on Saturday, but even he’s been banged up over the last few weeks. Jones was averaging around eight touches per game so the RB2 will be on the field some.
Best of the Rest – RB Henry Parrish ($6,500) Parrish and Matt Jones sat out the last handful of drives last week vs. South Carolina, but the RB1 appears set to go vs. LSU, now having found the end-zone at least once in each of the last five games. If injuries aren’t a problem, the only downside to Parrish is Ole Miss giving red-zone carries to a 300-pound defensive linemen. WR Tre Harris ($9,100) is a high upside, low floor play as he was ‘very’ questionable throughout the week. For as bad as LSU is defensively against the pass, they haven’t allowed a receiver to score more than 20 fantasy points this season.
Injury Notes – RB Matt Jones ($3,400) Ole Miss’ RB2 is officially out for Saturday.
LSU:
Top Play(s) – WR Aaron Anderson ($4,200) The Alabama transfer has arguably been the team’s best receiver this season with an 82% catch rate and at least five receptions in every game. His value is boosted more now with multiple injuries for the Tigahs at receiver. Price per production, the argument could be made that Anderson is the best wide receiver option of the slate.
Fade – RB Kaleb Jackson ($3,400) Jackson is still getting 7-8 touches per game, but is doing nothing with them, averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. All that muscle mass gained over the offseason did not help him become better at football.
Bargain Bin – WR Zavion Thomas ($3,500) I’m sure LSU will need to deploy some of its freshman receivers for depth, but expect the Tigers to roll primarily with Lacy, Anderson and Thomas as the top three wideouts due to the surplus of injuries. The former Mississippi State transfer fell down the depth chart, but was productive with extended opportunities, catching 50 yards and a TD earlier in the year vs. Nicholls.
Pivot Play – TE Mason Taylor ($4,200) Instead of looking at backup LSU receivers to fill in lineup gaps, why not roll with the player that is first on the team in receptions, second in targets and second in routes run. Ole Miss has struggled somewhat to defend the tight end position, allowing season-highs last week to Josh Simon and 17 fantasy points earlier in the year to Holden Willis.
Best of the Rest – QB Garrett Nussmeier ($8,400) One of the safest QBs in the country from a fantasy perspective, scoring 20 or more fantasy points in all but one game this season. Mississippi is only allowing 9.7 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks, though, and are 21st in pass D success rate. RB Caden Durham ($5,000) is the most talented backfield option, but Brian Kelly has tended to lean on the veterans like RB Josh Williams ($4,200) in high profile spots like this. Ole Miss is No. 3 nationally in rush D success rate so there’s not a need to have any LSU running back in your lineups. WR Kyren Lacy ($7,100) is the team leader in targets (43) with 33% of the team’s receiving touchdowns.
Injury Notes – WRs Chris Hilton and CJ Daniels were downgraded to doubtful, meaning they’re unlikely to play. Kyle Parker suffered a season-ending injury.
Ohio State vs. Oregon
Point-Spread: OSU -3.5
O/U Total: 53.5
Implied Score: OSU 28.5 – Oreg 25
Weather: 72 degrees / 3% rain / 5 mph winds
Ohio State:
Top Play(s) – WR Emeka Egbuka ($6,900) Look for OSU to lean on its veteran receiver who has been a constant fantasy producer despite being overshadowed by the 5-star freshman. Five touchdowns in the last three weeks with 22 targets combined vs. B1G opponents.
Fade – RB James Peoples ($3,800) This will not be a game for backups. Even in a blowout of Iowa last week, the freshman running back had just three rushing attempts.
Bargain Bin – WR Carnell Tate ($3,500) Tate had a good week of practice according to HC Ryan Day with video that the sophomore receiver was in pads. The clear WR3, but Tate was leading the team in routes run prior to missing last week’s contest vs. Iowa.
Pivot Play – RB Quinshon Judkins ($7,500) or RB TreVeyon Henderson ($6,300) Wouldn’t stack both together in a lineup, but I want one as Oregon’s run defense is the weaker of the two components on that side of the ball, ranked 96th in EPA and 70th in rush D success rate. Against two elite fantasy running backs, the Ducks allowed a combined 67 fantasy points to Anthony Hankerson and Ashton Jeanty.
Best of the Rest – WR Jeremiah Smith ($7,100) Needs no introduction, just a matter if he adds to his highlight reel collection with another one-handed grab. I think I prefer Egbuka over Smith here, though. QB Will Howard ($7,100) has a strong 26-point projection at his pricing, and his rushing prop has risen considerably throughout the week as Ohio State is using him more on the ground in competitive environments. Just one QB has scored more than 12 fantasy points all season vs. the Ducks.
Injury Notes – n/a
Oregon:
Top Play(s) – WR Tez Johnson ($7,400) The trusted safety blanket for Dillon Gabriel, now with 31% of the team’s total target share and 21 receptions alone over the last two games. Oregon likely has to pass to win in this matchup.
Fade – QB Dillon Gabriel ($8,600) Will Howard has a higher projection and $1,400 cheaper. Ohio State is No. 2 nationally in pass D success rate and 2nd in EPA per pass play. As always, numbers are inflated because of the weak non-con schedule and facing Aidan Chiles and Cade McNamara in B1G play. But this secondary is elite, and Oregon hasn’t lived up to expectations. I’d rather have Garrett Nussmeier who is $100 less.
Bargain Bin – TE Terrance Ferguson ($3,500) Ferguson has been one of the most bet on prop overs this weekend after his 82-yard performance last week against Michigan State. I wouldn’t say Ohio State has struggled to defend tight ends, but did allow 41 yards in the opener to Akron’s Jacob Newell, and then Luke Lachey finally looked like the top 5 fantasy tight end he was expected to be against the Buckeyes with 6-63-0.
Pivot Play – RB Jordan James ($7,000) James’ rushing prop is another popular selection this week, but for the wrong reasons. Tough matchup but here’s the thing – James has 51% of the backfield market share and over 50% of the team’s rushing touchdowns. Expect James to be on the field 80% of the game.
Best of the Rest – WR Traeshon Holden ($4,400) or WR Evan Stewart ($3,500) Holden has emerged as the WR2 behind Tez Johnson, with 40 or more receiving yards in each of the last four games with three touchdowns in that span. Stewart has not lived up to expectations as a first and second-round CFF draft selection but does play over 70% of the team’s offensive snaps. This matchup favors Johnson, though, over an outside receiver like Stewart. Ohio State is one of the best at limiting explosive plays in the passing game, yet to allow a pass over 30 yards all year.
Injury Notes – n/a
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky
Point-Spread: UK -13.5
O/U Total: 44.5
Implied Score: UK 29 – Vand 15.5
Weather: 72 degrees / 0% rain / 7 mph winds
Vanderbilt:
Top Play(s) – TE Eli Stowers ($4,000) No surprise the former New Mexico State transfer is finding success this season given his familiarity with Diego Pavia as former Aggies. Slow start to the year, but 29 of the Stowers’ 33 targets have come in the last two games alone, with a pair of 100-yard receiving performances.
Fade – WR Junior Sherrill ($4,300) Third option in the Vandy passing game that averages just three targets per contest. In fairness to Sherrill, he does play 80.6% of the team’s offensive snaps, but not interested much in a third option on a team that is 127th in pass play percentage.
Bargain Bin – RB Sedrick Alexander ($4,300) Poor matchup against Kentucky, but we love guaranteed volume. And Alexander and Pavia combine for 80% of the team’s rushing attempts. The sophomore running back has accounted for at least one rushing TD in four of five games. Kentucky is 4th nationally in rush D success rate and allowing just 13.5 FPPG to opposing backfields.
Pivot Play – WR Quincy Skinner ($4,500) Just four options in the Vandy passing game. Stowers, Alexander and the top two receivers in Skinner and Sherrill. Skinner is second in targets (19) and receptions (12) with a 15.4 aDOT.
Best of the Rest – QB Diego Pavia ($6,400) Pavia was the toast of college football this week, getting NIL endorsement deals and national TV interviews after pulling the upset of Alabama. As we alluded to above, we love the rushing volume, averaging nearly 18 carries per game which raises his fantasy floor. The matchup is not great at all, though, facing a Kentucky defense that hasn’t allowed a QB to score more than 17 fantasy points this season and we’re concerned about a goose egg on the road with a possible hangover after last weekend.
Injury Notes – n/a
Kentucky:
Top Play(s) – WR Dan Key ($4,600) 37% of Kentucky’s target share and over 40% of the team’s receiving yards. Four receivers have scored at least 17 fantasy points this season vs. Vanderbilt as the secondary is the weak link of the defense.
Fade – QB Brock Vandagriff ($5,200) I don’t care what the optimals says…not once will you find us promoting a Kentucky quarterback for a DFS lineup. The argument in favor of Vandagriff – (1) he’s cheap. (2) Vanderbilt is allowing 22.5 FPPG to quarterbacks. (3) The Commodores are 92nd in pass D success rate. Proceed at your own risk.
Bargain Bin – n/a. Not playing anyone below $4.3k.
Pivot Play – WR Barion Brown ($4,300) Key is the WR1, but this is a top-heavy target share as the duo combines for 59% of the targets and three of the four receiving touchdowns. Brown is coming off a season high 88 receiving yard in Week 5 vs. Ole Miss in a game that was a pass-happy game script.
Best of the Rest – RB Demie Sumo-Karngbaye ($4,700) With Chip Trayanum confirmed out again, DSK should get the bulk of the carries again for the Wildcats on Saturday, playing over 80% of the team’s offensive snaps for the season. Good, not great matchup. Vanderbilt is better at defending the run, ranked 15th in success rate, but have allowed four running backs to score at least 15 points against them. A mild concern for me is that backup RB Jamarion Wilcox ($3,200) is seeing a slight uptick in carries in recent weeks, and is averaging over a yard per carry more on the season than Sumo.
Injury Notes – RB Chip Trayanum ($4,800) Sounds like Chip had a setback in his recovery from injury and his season may be in doubt. Trayanum will not play on Saturday.
Iowa State vs. West Virginia
Point-Spread: ISU -3
O/U Total: 53
Implied Score: ISU 28 – WVU 25
Weather: 62 degrees / 8% rain / 2 mph winds
Iowa State:
Top Play(s) – WR Jayden Higgins ($5,900) or WR Jaylin Noel ($5,000) 11 targets in each of the last two games for Higgins who leads the team in targets (42), receptions (33) and routes run. Surprisingly, it is Noel that is the team leader in yardage, averaging over 18 yards per reception. Iowa State simply does not throw to any other receivers in this offense as the top two combine for 60% of the target share and seven of the nine receiving touchdowns.
Fade – RB Abu Sama ($3,800) I’d say it’s all but official now that Abu Sama is RB3 for the Cyclones after another poor performance, rushing for just 17 yards on eight carries vs. Baylor last week. Take away the one garbage time 77-yard run against Houston in Week 5, and Sama would be averaging just 3.5 yards per carry.
Bargain Bin – RB Jaylon Jackson ($4,000) This is probably still at least a two-way split, but one of those two will certainly be Jackson who is outperforming Abu Sama by a significant margin this season, averaging over a yard more per attempt. Double-digit rushing attempts in each of the last three games for the Eastern Michigan transfer.
Pivot Play – RB Carson Hansen ($3,200) Season-high 15 rushing attempts for Hansen last weekend, just three yards shy of the century mark on the ground. Likely the No. 2 option behind Jackson, but we like his red-zone usage with 11 carries inside the 20-yard line.
Best of the Rest – QB Rocco Becht ($6,000) 22-point projection at this pricing puts Becht squarely in the mix as one of our two QB lineup options. West Virginia is 103rd in pass D success rate, 126th in EPA per pass play defensively and allowing 21.2 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks.
Injury Notes – n/a
West Virginia:
Top Play(s) – RB Jahiem White ($4,600) Just too cheap for a running back of White’s caliber. Just one player has scored more than 10 fantasy points against Iowa State this season on the ground – Iowa’s Kaleb Johnson – but the surface-level numbers are a bit deceiving with the Cyclones. Iowa State ranks just 66th in EPA per run play defensively and 75th in rush D success rate. Not as dominant as the high-level numbers would indicate.
Fade – WR Preston Fox ($3,600) Fox missed Week 4 due to injury, had a bye week to recover, and then wound up playing just 12% of the team’s offensive snaps with one lone target in Week 6. Was West Virginia just easing him back into the rotation…or is Fox out of the rotation?
Bargain Bin – TE Kole Taylor ($3,200) Taylor is second on the team in routes run, third in targets (16) and receptions (13), while tied for the team high in touchdowns (2). Iowa State allowed 18 fantasy points this past week to Baylor’s TE1 Michael Trigg.
Pivot Play – RB CJ Donaldson ($4,200) Tight spread against a solid run defense means you’re rostering either White or Donaldson, and definitely would not stack both together. 12 or more carries for Donaldson in four of five games played with five rushing touchdowns. The staff trusts Donaldson more in crunch time situations as we saw during the Pitt game where he dominated the touches in the fourth quarter because of a Jahiem White fumble.
Best of the Rest – QB Garrett Greene ($7,900) This is probably not the matchup for Greene to be in our DFS lineups as Iowa State is 10th in EPA per pass play defensively, 16th in success rate, and have allowed just one QB all season to score more than 7 fantasy points in a game. Our interest on the WV side is with the running backs and Kole Taylor. WR Hudson Clement ($4,300) is averaging over 20 YPC in the last two games with 10 of his 17 receptions in that span.
Injury Notes – n/a
Syracuse vs. NC State
Point-Spread: Syra -3.5
O/U Total: 53.5
Implied Score: Syra 28.5 – NC St 25
Weather: 65 degrees / 0% rain / 3 mph winds
Syracuse:
Top Play(s) – RB LeQuint Allen ($8,300) Allen’s usage in the passing game gives him a significant edge over the other running backs on the slate, now averaging seven targets per contest. 19 targets alone have come in the last two games. RB1s have found a great deal of success vs. NC State this season – Demond Claiborne (34 fpts), Dylan Sampson (31 fpts) and Phil Mafah (21 fpts).
Fade – WR Umari Hatcher ($3,800) The secondary outside spot opposite Jackson Meeks looks to be in flux at the moment where previous starter Umari Hatcher played a season-low 41% of the snaps vs. UNLV and did not record a single target. WR Darrell Gill ($3,000) wound up playing over him and finished the game with seven targets. Justus Ross-Simmons also being back adds another body to the mix.
Bargain Bin – WR Jackson Meeks ($4,900) Meeks is now the full-time starter on the outside due to the injury to Zeed Haynes and won’t be looking back if/when Haynes returns to the lineup. 22 targets in the last two games and has found the end-zone in each of the last three contests.
Pivot Play – QB Kyle McCord ($9,400) NC State is average defensively vs. the pass, and Syracuse ranks No. 2 nationally in pass play percentage, averaging 48.8 attempts per game which is first in the country. Didn’t expect that with a defensive minded head coach and a former RB coach as the offensive coordinator. NC State allowed 33 fantasy points earlier in the year to Cade Klubnik, while also giving up 27 fantasy points to Nico Iamaleava who is one of the biggest fantasy busts in college football at the moment.
Best of the Rest – WR Trebor Pena ($6,900) and TE Oronde Gadsden ($5,800) Top two on the team in targets (36% combined) with 8 of the 17 receiving touchdowns. Four receivers have scored 15 or more fantasy points this season vs. the Wolfpack. Tight ends are only averaging 7.6 FPPG against NC State. It’s possible to stack multiple Syracuse pass catchers in a lineup together given the passing volume.
Injury Notes – WR Zeed Haynes ($3,900) Not listed on the weekly depth chart.
NC State:
Top Play(s) – RB Kendrick Raphael ($3,800) This is still a split backfield in terms of playing time, and Hollywood Smothers returns to the lineup after missing the last two games to injury. But Raphael seems to be assuming the RB1 spot of late, with double-digit fantasy points in three of the last four games. Syracuse is not a threatening run defense whatsoever.
Fade – WR Dacari Collins ($3,500) Dave Doeren stated he does not give injury updates (you will need to one day soon, coach) but Collins did not play at all in Week 6 vs. Wake Forest. His impact on the field when healthy wasn’t good enough to warrant consideration.
Bargain Bin – QB CJ Bailey ($4,900) Don’t think the pace of play for Syracuse is slowing down anytime soon with their passing offense and array of weapons, so the onus will be on the freshman quarterback to keep up with the Orange. Favorable matchup here as Syracuse is 110th in pass D success rate and 73rd in EPA. If Bailey gets 17 fantasy points like he did a week ago, that’s hitting value at this price tag.
Pivot Play – WR Kevin Concepcion ($6,000) Concepcion has been hampered by the quarterback play more than anything, but still on pace for another 100-target season with 32% of the team’s target share and 50% of the receiving touchdowns.
Best of the Rest – TE Justin Joly ($3,200) Wayyy to cheap for a player that is second on the team in targets, receptions and routes run, coming off his best performance of the season with 73 yards and a touchdown vs. Wake Forest. RB Jordan Waters ($4,200) is still getting 8-10 touches per game, even though Raphael is emerging. WR Noah Rogers ($3,200) was targeted a season-high six times last Saturday.
Injury Notes – n/a
