Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State
- Point-Spread: Ark St -2.5
- O/U Total: 62.5
- Implied Score: Ark St 32.5 – GSU 30
- Weather: 67 degrees / 28% rain / 12 mph winds
Georgia State:
Top Play(s) – WR Camden Brown ($6,300) The former Auburn transfer has now scored double-digit fantasy points in all seven games played this season with double the amount of receiving yards as the next closest Georgia Southern receiver. Not to mention over half of the team’s receiving touchdowns (8) on the season. IF you wanted a reason to fade Brown against consensus, Arkansas State has only allowed one receiver this season to surpass 100 yards in a game.
Fade – David Mbadinga ($4,500) I’d argue there is not one running back you should play below $5.2k. Most are RB2s or RB3s on teams that don’t run the ball particularly well.
Bargain Bin – WR Marcus Sanders ($4,300) Sanders is Georgia Southern’s WR3 with 20 receptions on 33 targets for the season. Just twice as he surpassed 40 receiving yards in a game, so he’s far from a great play, but Sanders is on the field all the time. The senior has played almost 100% of the team’s offensive snaps in the last three weeks.
Pivot Play – QB JC French ($7,100) There’s usually a better chance than not you’re going to hate yourself afterwards when rostering French after he throws three interceptions and scores 10 fantasy points which he’s entirely capable of doing. But he is coming off his best performance of the season last week with four combined touchdowns and over 300 yards of total offense against Georgia State. Arkansas State is a step up from Georgia State defensively but are still giving up around 28 FPPG to opposing QBs for the season.
Best of the Rest – WR Dalen Cobb ($5,400) Cobb actually has more targets (58) this season than Camden Brown but is not targeted downfield with just an 8.9 YPC average and 6.4 aDOT. Georgia Southern doesn’t rotate at WR so any of the three starting options are playable. RB OJ Arnold ($6,100) is very similar to JC French in that he can get you 30 points or 6 points depending on the week, and there truly is no predictability in it. Arkansas State is 112th in rush D success rate, 56th in stuff rate, 103rd in limiting rushing explosiveness and giving up around 30 FPPG to opposing backfields. Matchup dictates Arnold being a possible option.
Injury Notes – n/a
Arkansas: State:
Top Play(s) – WR Chauncy Cobb ($4,600) All three Arkansas State receivers are viable on the slate, but Cobb gets top billing because of his salary being $2k cheaper than WR Corey Rucker ($6,600) despite having an identical projection. The Red Wolves have practically ditched the run game since Ja’Quez Cross was announced out for the season due to injury, throwing 40+ times in three of the last four games. Cobb has been a steady presence in the slot, with seven or more receptions in four of the last five games. Stacking Cobb and Rucker together is a GPP option with the increased passing volume for ASU.
Pivot Play – RBs. The best runner for Arkansas State since the Ja’Quez Cross injury has been quarterback Jaylen Raynor, so this is undoubtedly a major risk possibly rostering RB Kenyon Clay ($5,800) or RB Devin Spencer ($4,600). The matchup indicates we must consider both players against arguably the worst run defense in the country. It’s been mildly improved in the last two games, but the Eagles still allowed a combined 348 yards and five scores to Southern Miss and Georgia State. Opposing backfields are averaging close to 50 fantasy points per game against GSU this season. Clay is preferred even at the higher price point as he’s frequently involved in the pass game, with 24 receptions on 26 targets this season.
Best of the Rest – QB Jaylen Raynor ($8,400) This matchup suits Raynor perfectly because Georgia Southern struggles to defend the run and the pass equally. We like that Raynor has been on the move the last two games with double-digit rushing attempts and would be shocked if he didn’t make it three straight games given the opponent. WR Hunter Summers ($5,000) should not be priced above Chauncy Cobb, but has scored a touchdown in three of the last four games. Arkansas State does not rotate at wide receiver so any one of Summers, Cobb or Rucker are options.
Injury Notes – n/a
Stanford vs. Miami
- Point-Spread: Mia -30
- O/U Total: 46
- Implied Score: Mia 38 – Stan 8
- Weather: 80 degrees / 30% rain / 20 mph winds
Stanford:
Top Play(s) – WR CJ Williams ($5,100) Normally this would be a full-team fade for Stanford when looking at the Vegas lines. But projections / salaries have several of these players as potential options, leading with Williams who has posted three 100-yard receiving performances in the last four weeks. Those that thought Stanford would deploy a ground and pound style of offensive play under the interim coaching staff were mistaken, as the Cardinal are up to 49th nationally in pass play rate, with 40+ passing attempts in two of the last three games.
Fade – QB Ben Gulbranson ($6,000) Nope, nope, nope. Dr. Gulbranson is not in the queue with an implied team total of only eight points with 20+ MPH winds expected.
Bargain Bin – TE Sam Roush ($3,500) Don’t look so bad after all having Roush as a preseason top 15 fantasy tight end. Roush has been another benefactor of the pass volume increase over the last month, with almost 200 receiving yards on 17 receptions in the last three games. Miami has not defended the tight end position well, allowing around 12 FPPG.
Pivot Play – RB Cole Tabb ($4,800) Starting running back Micah Ford has been ruled out for Saturday after suffering an injury against Florida State last week. Tabb came on in relief to rush for 107 yards and a touchdown on 28 attempts. The game script will likely not be in favor of Stanford like it was a week ago, so don’t expect 28 attempts, but Tabb will undoubtedly be the team’s RB1 on Saturday night.
Best of the Rest – WR Bryce Farrell ($3,100) Farrell plays over 60% of the team’s offensive snaps each week and is the nominal third option in the passing game behind Williams and Roush. He’s had some spike weeks, including 135 yards and a touchdown against Virginia earlier in the year. Team leader at 19.5 yards per catch with a 15.8 aDOT.
Injury Notes – RB Micah Ford (out)
Miami:
Top Play(s) – WR Malachi Toney ($6,100) We’ll see what the weather is like pregame to see how much we’d like to invest in any Miami receivers but have to side with the Canes’ best offensive player by a significant margin. Toney put on a show last week in the comeback attempt vs. Louisville with 135 yards and nine receptions on 11 targets, giving him consecutive 100-yard performances in as many weeks. Stanford’s secondary is the weakness of the defense, ranking 99th in pass D success rate and allowing a combined 49 fantasy points per week to opposing WR groups.
Fade – RB CharMar Brown ($5,200) Brown should be sub-$4k at this point and closer to min pricing as he’s a non-factor in the offense since Jordan Lyle made his return. 11 rushing attempts in the last two weeks, resulting in a combined 28 yards on the ground.
Pivot Play – RB Mark Fletcher ($6,700) The weather + last week’s results = Miami making a concerted effort this week to get more out of the run game that averaged just 2.6 YPC vs. Louisville. Stanford is an adequate run defense, ranked 6th in the conference in yards allowed on the ground, but are 114th in rush D success rate. Fletcher should get 15+ touches on Saturday as Miami keeps the ball out of Carson Beck’s hands after last week’s catastrophe.
Best of the Rest – WR CJ Daniels ($5,300) We’ve had some folks question why Daniels projects so highly every week. Well, the Canes only throw to two receivers for the most part, with Daniels / Toney combining for 54% of the team’s receiving production and 8 of the 11 receiving touchdowns. Probably wouldn’t play both Miami receivers as they could get scripted out of the game if Miami is up big, but having one of Toney or Daniels works.
Injury Notes – n/a
Texas A&M vs. LSU
- Point-Spread: A&M -2.5
- O/U Total: 48.5
- Implied Score: A&M 25.5 – LSU 23
- Weather: 75 degrees / 50% rain / 11 mph winds
Texas A&M:
Top Play(s) – WR Mario Craver ($5,500) or WR KC Concepcion ($5,700) Copy and paste from previous DFS writeups with the A&M duo dominating the target share at 52% with 10 of the team’s 14 receiving touchdowns. Difference here being that we would probably not stack the two together in a lineup this week given LSU’s strong defensive play and potential rain in the forecast.
Bargain Bin – WR Ashton Bethel-Roman ($3,100) Did we see a breakthrough last week from ABR or was it just the abysmal Arkansas defense? Maybe a combination of both, but Bethel-Roman had his best performance of the season with 83 yards and a touchdown on four catches. ABR’s playing time had been declining since the start of the year but is still second on the team in routes run so he’s on the field plenty. TE Nate Boerkircher ($3,300) has caught seven passes in the last two games, facing an LSU defense that is allowing around 10 FPPG to the tight end position.
Pivot Play – QB Marcel Reed ($7,600) Reed would normally be closer to a fade than a potential play in this matchup against an LSU defense that was allowing just 11.5 FPPG to quarterbacks prior to last week. Then we saw a similar dual threat to Reed in Diego Pavia score 33 fantasy points against the Tigers. Reed has scored 22 or more fantasy points in six of seven starts this season and hasn’t been utilized on the ground as much as we thought he would be either. Reed should not have a lower salary than Carson Beck, Joey Aguilar or even his QB counterpart in this game, Garrett Nussmeier.
Best of the Rest – RB Rueben Owens II ($5,700) Owens owners rejoiced last week as he scored 24 fantasy points with two rushing touchdowns against Arkansas. As was hinted prior to the weekend, though, A&M is not afraid to rotate backs a bit, as we saw some of RB EJ Smith ($4,000) who rushed for 52 yards on seven carries. When A&M got into the scoring range, Owens was the preferred option of the two, holding a 4-2 advantage in red zone carries. LSU allows just 19 FPPG to opposing backfields and with Owens being priced a bit higher this week, he’s not the smash play he was a week ago.
Injury Notes – RB Le’Veon Moss (out)
LSU:
Top Play(s) – TE Trey’Dez Green ($4,900) Unlikely to have much LSU exposure given the offensive struggles, but we’ll roll with the player that has been on a heater the last two games in Green with nearly 200 receiving yards and two scores in that span.
Fade – RBs. LSU has the second worst rush offense in the SEC, averaging just 112 YPG on the ground and are ranked 130th in line yards. The offensive line play has been horrific for two years now, compiled by injuries up front. And to make matters worse for fantasy, we could see a split between Caden Durham and Harlem Berry that diminishes any interest in this spot. The unfortunate part about this is that A&M’s run defense is the weakness of that unit, allowing 26 FPPG to opposing backfields and are 133rd in explosive run plays allowed.
Bargain Bin – WR Barion Brown ($4,200) Aaron Anderson’s return to the lineup eliminates our interest in the slot position. Zavion Thomas is hit or miss. Brown has been the most consistent pass-catcher on LSU with five or more receptions in five of seven games.
Pivot Play – QB Garrett Nussmeier ($7,700) Does A&M take the same defensive approach as last season forcing LSU to throw the ball when Nussmeier accumulated 50 pass attempts which resulted in over 400 yards passing and a pair of scores. LSU lost the game, so that’s likely not the Tigers optimal offensive strategy coming into Saturday night but might be forced to do so again if the run game is invisible again.
Injury Notes – n/a
Boston College vs. Louisville
- Point-Spread: UL -25
- O/U Total: 56
- Implied Score: UL 40.5 – BC 15.5
- Weather: 58 degrees / 3% rain / 9 mph winds
Boston College:
Top Play(s) – WR Lewis Bond ($3,700) Bond is continually underpriced for a receiver that is 17th in the country in targets (6) and tied for fifth in the country in receptions (49) with the best wideout in college football, Jeremiah Smith. This is a tough matchup, no doubt, but not insurmountable either after seeing what Malachi Toney did to this secondary last week. Bond is simply too cheap to not consider one of the top WR options.
Fade – QB Grayson James ($6,200) Rule No. 1 in college fantasy is say no to Cam Fancher. Rule No. 2 – just say no to Grayson James. Louisville ranks 7th in pass D success rate, 33rd in explosiveness and only give up 17 FPPG to quarterbacks.
Bargain Bin – WR Reed Harris ($4,400) Unsure why Bond is priced below Harris aside from the touchdown discrepancy where Harris leads the team with three scores. Harris is the team’s big-play threat on offense that doesn’t need volume to hit value, averaging 16.9 YPC with an 18.3 aDOT. He’s played 100% of the team’s offensive snaps in three of the last four games.
Pivot Play – TE Kaelan Chudzinski ($3,000) Longest of longshots. The freshman tight end has seen his playing time increase over the last three weeks, including seven receptions and two scores in three games.
Best of the Rest – RB Jordan McDonald ($5,200) McDonald is a capable back, as shown last week when he was thrown into action vs. Connecticut after the Richard injury, rushing for 123 yards on 24 attempts. The issue is the Louisville defense that held Miami to a season-low 63 yards on the ground. I don’t believe playing a Boston College running back against this defense is a reasonable option. Opposing backfields are averaging just 15 combined fantasy points per game against this defense.
Injury Notes – RB Turbo Richard (questionable), WR Jaedn Skeete (out)
Louisville:
Top Play(s) – WR Chris Bell ($7,100) We’ve said it before and will say it again – Jeff Brohm WR1s are undefeated for college fantasy. Bell is on a heater with 130+ receiving yards now in three straight games. BC ranks 13th in the conference in yards allowed through the air and are 110th in explosive pass plays allowed. Not a good combination in facing Louisville’s WR1.
Fade – TE Nate Kurisky ($4,500) No reason as to why Kurisky is $1.4k more than Jaleel Skinner when the latter has more targets, receptions, touchdowns and routes run. The argument in favor of either player is that Boston College allows 16 FPPG to the tight end position which is one of the highest marks in the country.
Pivot Play – QB Miller Moss ($8,500) BC just let UConn quarterback Joe Fagnano score 40+ fantasy points on their defense last week, so this should be a good matchup for Moss here. The Boston College defense has allowed the second-highest passer rating in the ACC ahead of only Virginia Tech.
Best of the Rest – RB Isaac Brown ($7,100) Brown didn’t look 100% against Miami, but a whole hell of a lot better than he did before the bye week. He’ll handle the lion’s share of the carries again with backup Duke Watson ruled out of the lineup. BC is mildly better at defending the run than the pass, ranked 56th in success rate and 13th in stuff rate. WR Caullin Lacy ($5,900) needs heavy volume to be playable at this price, which he hasn’t gotten in several weeks. Hard to rack up fantasy points when every pass directed your way is within five yards of the line of scrimmage. Lacy has a 3.4 aDOT which is not appealing from a fantasy aspect.
Injury Notes – RB Duke Watson (out)
Michigan vs. Michigan State
- Point-Spread: Mich -14.5
- O/U Total: 48.5
- Implied Score: Mich 31.5 – MSU 17
- Weather: 46 degrees / 2% rain / 3 mph winds
Michigan:
Top Play(s) – RB Jordan Marshall ($6,300) We’re putting Jordan Marshall here as Michigan’s top play as of 5:51AM on Friday morning writing this, but that could change 24 hours from now. All signs this week are pointing to Justice Haynes playing on Saturday as he’s been able to practice most / all of this week. The question now becomes…how much does he play and does Michigan even need him to beat Michigan State as two-touchdown favorites? Best guess here is that Marshall is the lead back, given his performance last week against Washington, but we’ll see Haynes incorporated some in the offense working his way back from the injury. There are also enough RB options on the slate in a similar range that you could look to avoid the fogginess of the Michigan backfield and potential 50/50 split.
Fade – Questionables. Haynes is tracking towards playing but how much after Jordan Marshall’s breakout performance against Washington? If this game gets out of hand, as both Michigan and Michigan State fans hope for, we could see Haynes resting up for another week if he’s not needed. Same goes for both Marlin Klein and Hogan Hansen who are trending in a positive direction, but why not get the young guys more playing time? TE Zack Marshall ($3,100) and TE Deakon Tonielli ($3,000) proved plenty capable against a better Washington team last week with a combined 110 yards and a touchdown.
Bargain Bin – WR Andrew Marsh ($4,700) Marsh looks to be WR1 now for the Wolverines as his connection with fellow freshman Bryce Underwood continues to develop. 17 catches on 18 targets in the last three games while finding the end-zone in the last two.
Pivot Play – WR Donaven McCulley ($4,900) McCulley has been the forgotten name with the emergence of Marsh, with fewer than 40 receiving yards in four of the last five games. But make no mistake, he’s a clear top two receiving option in the Michigan passing game, leading the team in targets, receptions, routes run and is on the field over 90% of the time. Marsh will undoubtedly have higher ownership due to recency bias, so McCulley makes sense for GPP purposes.
Best of the Rest – QB Bryce Underwood ($7,400) Interesting dynamic here with the Michigan offense vs. the MSU defense. The Spartans have allowed at least 38 points in all four P4 matchups this season. The Michigan offense has not scored more than 28 points against P4 opponents. Which trend will end on Saturday? Underwood projects well enough to be considered at $7.4k and the MSU secondary is coming off a performance of allowing 332 yards and four passing touchdowns to Indiana just last week. Seven passing touchdowns given up in the last two weeks combined as well.
Injury Notes – RB Justice Haynes (questionable), TE Marlin Klein (questionable), TE Hogan Hansen (questionable)
Michigan State:
Top Play(s) – WR Nick Marsh ($5,600) That time of year where college basketball content intertwines with college football content, and you can tell how a football team is doing by which sport is covered more. First five stores on the MSU On3 site are about basketball. Michigan State fans would take a win over Michigan over everything, but there’s a significant sector of the fanbase that is hoping for a blowout by the Wolverines, leading to the eventual firing of Jonathan Smith. So tread cautiously with any MSU exposure you might want to have. Marsh has seen an uptick in production the last two weeks since his sideline altercation with Aidan Chiles, targeted 21 times with two touchdowns in that span.
Fade – RB Makhi Frazier ($5,100) Frazier ran for one single yard on seven attempts last week against Indiana. The sophomore back isn’t completely at fault for the downward trend of the run game, but we’re at the point where MSU might look for someone else to spark the backfield.
Bargain Bin – TE Jack Velling ($3,200) Michigan is allowing around 14 FPPG to opposing tight ends this season. Velling hasn’t been the top 10 projected fantasy tight end we expected to be in 2025, but remains an integral part of the offense, ranked third in targets, receptions and routes run.
Pivot Play – WR Chrishon McCray ($3,200) The Kent State transfer is the third or fourth receiving option in the offense but recall what we’ve said in previous DFS writeups about Michigan struggling to cover slot receivers this season. Nebraska’s Jacory Barney had 100+ yards and two scores against the Wolverines. Makai Lemon went for 90+ yards in his matchup with the Wolverines. Even last week to a smaller extent, freshman slot receiver Raiden Vines-Bright caught three passes on four targets.
Best of the Rest – WR Omari Kelly ($3,700) Kelly has 11 fewer targets and eight fewer receptions than Marsh, but is the team leader in receiving yards, averaging 15 yards per catch with a higher aDOT (12.7). QB Aidan Chiles ($6,500) is unplayable, with the off chance he can get replaced at a moment’s notice.
Injury Notes – n/a
Tennessee vs. Kentucky
- Point-Spread: UT -9.5
- O/U Total: 53.5
- Implied Score: UT 31.5 – UK 22
- Weather: 56 degrees / 1% rain / 6 mph winds
Tennessee:
Top Play(s) – RB DeSean Bishop ($6,600) The passing game was clicking early for the Vols, but now it time to start riding the horse in the running back room in Bishop who has rushed for 269 combined yards over the last two games with six rushing scores in the last four weeks. Over his last 34 rushing attempts, Bishop is now averaging 9.3 yards per carry. He’s one of my favorite RB plays on the slate.
Fade – Backup RBs. Bishop’s ascension has led to the fall of Star Thomas and Peyton Lewis. Kentucky is far from a dominant run defense, ranked 11th in the SEC in yards allowed per game on the ground, but are 43rd in rush D success rate and held Texas to just 1.7 YPC last week. Backup RBs don’t have much appeal in this game setting.
Bargain Bin – TE Miles Kitselman ($4,800) Increased usage for the senior tight end in the last three weeks with 23 of his 37 targets coming in that span.
Pivot Play – QB Joey Aguilar ($8,200) Feels like we’ve seen the Appalachian State QB in the last two games, with a combined 30 fantasy points scored against Arkansas and Alabama. The deep passing game has disappeared for the Vols with just two pass plays of 30 yards or more in the last two games. Tennessee had 14 in the first five games. There will be some opportunities Saturday for the Vols to change that trend, with Kentucky ranking 105th in pass D explosiveness. The Wildcats have allowed 13 pass plays of 25 yards or more which is third most in the SEC.
Best of the Rest – WRs. Crazy when you look at the Tennessee stats that we have three receivers that have between 29 and 41 receptions, and then no other Vol wideouts has more than four catches in 2025. So, who do we choose between Braylon Staley, Chris Brazzell II or Mike Matthews? If we believe the Vols will get back to their explosive ways on Saturday, we’ll lean more towards the two boundary receivers with Brazzell or Matthews, both of which averaging over 15 YPC.
Injury Notes – n/a
Kentucky:
Top Play(s) – RB Seth McGowan ($5,500) This is contingent on McGowan being active as he’s questionable heading into Saturday night. And even then, we might be better of fading the Kentucky RB1 because of what happened last week. McGowan suffered a shoulder injury, was taken to the hospital mid-game, came back to the stadium and was on the field with the starting offense in the 4th quarter vs. Texas. That’s one tough SOB from the sounds of it, but we may not see McGowan for his usual workload.
Fade – WR Ja’Mori Maclin ($3,600) Kentucky has run a ton of 12 personnel this season with two tight ends and two receivers on the field. While Maclin has been targeted 11 times over the last two games, that has resulted in just 55 receiving yards. He was on the field just 33% of the time against Texas last week. That’d be fine if this was an Air Raid. Kentucky is not an Air Raid.
Bargain Bin – WR Kendrick Law ($4,200) Law has been the best of the Kentucky WR options, averaging 5.6 targets and 4.4 receptions per game over the last five weeks. We may see Kentucky take to the air more on Saturday with a potentially depleted RB room. The Tennessee secondary is allowing around 45 combined fantasy points per game to WRs this season.
Pivot Play – RB Dante Dowdell ($4,700) Dowdell has been relegated to short-yardage duties this season but would get the start if McGowan were to be out. Tennessee’s run defense ranks 10th in the SEC in yards allowed on the ground and 108th in success rate, allowing a combined 32 FPPG to opposing backfields. The Wildcats should be able to find some success on the ground in this matchup.
Best of the Rest – QB Cutter Boley ($6,900) Can’t bring myself to play a Kentucky QB ever in CFB DFS, but Boley has scored 15 or more fantasy points in three of the last four games, with 40+ pass attempts in each of the last two games. That might continue if Kentucky is forced to play without Seth McGowan.
Injury Notes – RB Seth McGowan (questionable)
Houston vs. Arizona State
- Point-Spread: ASU -6.5
- O/U Total: 47.5
- Implied Score: ASU 27 – Hou 20.5
- Weather: 81 degrees / 0% rain / 4 mph winds
Houston:
Top Play(s) – WR Amare Thomas ($4,600) Thomas has emerged as the top target in the Houston passing game with 400 of his 510 receiving yards coming in the last four games, scoring 20+ fantasy points in the previous two. WRs not named Amare Thomas for Houston combined for just 17 receiving yards last week in the win over Arizona. Thomas’ usage should continue to climb with WR2 Stephon Johnson out for the season.
Fade – RB J’Marion Burnette ($4,400) Sticking to what we said above about not rostering any running back below $5k on the slate. All backups in bad matchups with tight spreads. That’s not a positive game script for a backup RB.
Bargain Bin – WR Harvey Broussard ($3,100) This is only a play if you’re desperate for a min priced receiver. The Louisiana transfer had just 11 receiving yards against Arizona but took over Stephon Johnson’s starting role on the outside, playing 84% of the offensive snaps.
Pivot Play – QB Conner Weigman ($7,300) Weigman has been outstanding in the last month and a half, scoring 23 or more fantasy points in four of his last five starts. The lone occurrence Weigman failed to do so was when he suffered an injury against Texas Tech. Arizona State is better against the pass than the run but do allow 22 FPPG to opposing QBs. If we get that from Weigman, he’s paying off this salary, but the projections don’t seem to be fans of his this week for some reason.
Best of the Rest – TE Tanner Koziol ($3,900) Koziol led Houston with six receptions on eight targets with a touchdown last week in the win over Arizona. His usage, along with Thomas’, will continue to rise if there isn’t a legitimate WR2 option that develops the rest of the year. Arizona State is allowing 11 FPPG to the tight end position. RB Dean Connors ($6,800) is coming off a 100-yard rushing performance last week, but this could be a tough matchup against the Sun Devils who completely shut down a dominant Texas Tech run game last week. Arizona State is hit or miss when it comes to defending the run but have mostly been a hit outside of the Utah matchup, holding six of their seven opponents to under 120 team rush yards.
Injury Notes – WR Stephon Johnson (out)
Arizona State:
Top Play(s) – RB Raleek Brown ($7,600) We do feel like there “could” be a receiver on the roster that can fill the shoes of Jordyn Tyson on Saturday, but that is far from a guarantee. What is guaranteed is that we’ll see a Raleek Brown get the bulk of the carries for the Sun Devils, just as he’s done for the last month. Houston is 4th in the conference in yards allowed on the ground, but this is not a dominant run defense. Opposing backfields are averaging close to 30 FPPG this season against Houston.
Fade – WR Malik McClain ($3,600) I’m not sure why Arizona State continues to trot out McClain for 80% of the team’s snaps every week, as he’s failed to record more than 20 receiving yards in a single game this season. Fun fact, two weeks ago against Utah, McClain’s receiving prop was just 6.5 yards. I’ve never seen any line that low for a starting receiver before.
Bargain Bin – WR Jaren Hamilton (3,000) If I end up losing money on Saturday night, it’ll be because I have way too much exposure with Hamilton, who should take on the WR1 role with Jordyn Tyson out of the lineup. The Alabama transfer was given the distinction as the “next Jordyn Tyson” in the offseason but had failed to make an impact until last week where he went for 101 yards on three catches. Nothing is certain in CFB DFS life, but this is as good a play as you can ask for as a min-priced option.
Pivot Play – TE Chamon Metayer ($4,400) Metayer has caught at least four passes in four of the last five games. The one instance where he failed to do so was when Jeff Sims was the starting quarterback. Metayer should be heavily involved in the offense with Sam Leavitt throwing passes and the absence of a 30% target share receiver in Tyson.
Best of the Rest – QB Sam Leavitt ($8,700) The projection is solid, but this is a tough matchup against a Houston secondary that is 16th in success rate, 32nd in limiting explosive pass plays and giving up just 12 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks. Tyson had different outcomes in the two games without Tyson last season, scoring 30+ fantasy points against Iowa State in the B12 championship, but then scored only 14 fantasy points in the loss to Texas in the CFP. Not often do we say this, but this could potentially be a 1-QB slate.
Injury Notes – WR Jordyn Tyson (out)
Mike’s DK Core Four:
- WR Camden Brown, Georgia Southern
- WR Chris Bell, Louisville
- RB DeSean Bishop, Tennessee
- WR Lewis Bond, Boston College
Mike’s FD Core Four:
- WR Chris Bell, Louisville
- RB Raleek Brown, Arizona State
- RB Isaac Brown, Louisville
- WR Malachi Toney, Miami
