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Sincere McCormick was the entire UTSA running game with OC Barry Lunney Jr. calling the plays, accounting for 52% of the team’s rushing attempts, 57.2% of the rushing yards and 51.8% of the team’s rushing touchdowns in a two-year period. Does that change at Illinois where Lunney now has two capable backs in Chase Brown and Josh McCray? |
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Once looked upon as a up-and-comer in the collegiate coaching ranks, Walt Bell’s offense has not finished inside the top 85 in scoring for six consecutive seasons. Bell now assumes an offense that ranked second-to-last in the Big Ten last year and returns just 55.5% of their offensive production. |
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Iowa’s offensive line performance in 2021 was well below standards, finishing 127th in Line Yards created. While Tyler Goodson still managed to rush for 1,151 yards, he needed 256 carries to do so. It’s worth noting that the 295 total fantasy points scored by Iowa running backs last year ranked just 78th in the country. With four OL starters returning, fantasy production should improve. |
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Taulia Tagovailoa vs. non-conference opponents = 28 FPPG. Taulia Tagovailoa vs. B1G opponents = 21 FPPG. Overall numbers were good as the Terps finished 10th in passing efficiency and 8th in Pass Success Rate, but Tagovailoa clearly struggled against the big boys of the Big Ten. 15 PPG combined against Iowa, Ohio State, Minnesota, and Michigan. |
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The Wolverines led the country by a comfortable margin in combined fantasy points scored last season by their running backs (565.15). Two starters along the offensive line need to be replaced, but don’t be surprised if Michigan’s OL this year is better than the one that won the Joe Moore Award for best line in the nation. Virginia transfer Victor Oluwatimi, who graded out as one of the country’s best centers, according to Pro Football Focus, will anchor the group. This will again be one of the best running games in college football in 2022. |
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It’s safe to assume we will not see a Michigan State running back replicate what Kenneth Walker did in 2021 with 263 rushing attempts. Walker accounted for 55.1% of the volume share in the MSU backfield, while backup Jordan Simmons had just 70 carries for the season. The 5-year average prior to last season? RB1 = 32.9% market share. RB2 = 26.8% market share. Strong likelihood we see more of a committee approach with Jarek Broussard, Jalen Berger, and possibly, freshman Davion Primm. |
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In the six seasons between 2014-19 that OC Kirk Ciarrocca called plays under P.J. Fleck, the RB1 averaged 229.2 rushing attempts. The lone year that did not happen, in 2015, there was a dead even split between Jamauri Bogan (162 carries) and backup Jarvion Franklin (153). We’re looking at around 300 carries per season between the top two backs under Ciarrocca, but which split are we likely to see with Mo Ibrahim and Trey Potts both coming off serious injury. |
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71% of the snaps played by Mark Whipple’s WR1 over the last three seasons occurred in the slot, which is why we are seeing Trey Palmer being selected first among Nebraska receivers in drafts. The speedy LSU transfer was a spring standout. |
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The Wildcats finished just 79th in EPA/rush and 104th in Line Yards, but there are reasons for optimism here. Cam Porter returns from injury after leading the Wildcats in rushing back in 2020. Four starters are back along the offensive line, including All-American candidate Peter Skoronski. There may not be a consistent CFF producer here given the amount of depth in the NW backfield, but the offense should be improved given the returning experience. |
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This is what the Ohio State target share looked like the past two seasons: 2020 – WR1: 29% WR2: 28% WR3: 6% 2021 – WR1: 23% WR2: 21% WR3: 21%. With an offense that is going to throw for 4,000+ yards, fantasy owners would benefit from knowing whether 2022 target distribution will more closely resemble that of 2020 or 2021. In this case, as usual, we land somewhere in the middle, and the numbers backup our claim. In Ryan Day’s five seasons at OSU, WR3 target share is 12.8%. |
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The list of FBS teams whose running backs scored more fantasy points than Penn State’s RBs last season: New Mexico State, UMass, Colorado, San Jose State, and 108 more teams, as the Nittany Lions ranked 112th in that category. Offensive line play was the major culprit as Penn State ranked 123rd in line yards. |
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We could be debating from now until the season opener, as to who will be Purdue’s WR1 this season. Broc Thompson and Tyrone Tracy are the popular options. We’ll start by saying both should be valuable CFF contributors, as the WR1 historically averages around 19 FPPG and 13.8 FPPG for the WR2. If looking for a differentiator – seven of the last eight WR1s under Jeff Brohm have played at the outside wide receiver spot. That’s Broc Thompson. |
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Pick a category, any category, and Rutgers likely finished bottom-third in the country. 120th in scoring (19.7 PPG), 110th in red zone scoring percentage (73.8%), 129th in explosive plays, 124th in EPA/pass play…the list goes on. Just not much interest here unless Greg Schiano makes the switch to former 4-star recruit Gavin Wimsatt at quarterback, who potentially unlocks the offense. If looking for one positive, despite how poorly they performed, Rutgers still finished 63rd in pace at 68.8 plays per game. |
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Braelon Allen was the key to the Badgers’ offensive turnaround last year, finishing the season with seven straight 100-yard performances. As a 17-year-old freshman, Allen was second in the country in yards after contact per attempt (4.48), according to PFF. Chez Mellusi, who was productive when healthy, is back for another season, but Allen’s ceiling cannot be ignored in the Badgers’ run-heavy system. |
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