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Joe Moorhead’s QB1 – including his stops at Fordham, Penn State, Mississippi State and Oregon – has accounted for 28.2% of the team’s total rushing attempts on average. That’s the second-highest number in the country behind only Navy. Good news for QB D.J. Irons? |
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25.3% target share for the Ball State WR2 is the highest mark in the country over the last four seasons. Jayshon Jackson will assume the Justin Hall role this season as the team’s top playmaker, but don’t forget about Yo’Heinz Tyler, who has 132 career receptions. |
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Bowling Green returns 95.3% of their offensive production from a year ago, per CFB Winning Edge. That’s tops in the country. |
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Buffalo OC Shane Montgomery is yet another play-caller that often relies heavily on his RB1, averaging 30.1% volume share over the last four seasons. Can Ron Cook Jr. handle that workload with his 190-pound frame or will Mike Washington or Al-Jay Henderson get extended playing time? |
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Paul Petrino’s TE1 the last two seasons, Hayden Hatten, would’ve finished as a top 10 fantasy tight end had he played at the FBS level, as he totaled 58 receptions and six touchdowns in just 10 games played. Joel Wilson breakout season incoming? |
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Samson Evans found the end-zone on 15% of his 83 carries last season, finishing with a team-high 13 rushing touchdowns. I’d imagine that percentage sits atop the country among players with 80+ attempts. He is definitely a regression candidate on a team in Eastern Michigan, where the RB1 tends to average around eight rushing touchdowns per season. |
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53-710-5 is the 4-year average for Kent State WR2. Yet, Ja’Shaun Poke has an ADP this offseason of WR229. The Flashes lose their second and third leading receivers from last year, Keshunn Abram and Nykeim Johnson, and Poke should be 100% healthy coming into the year – something he was not for the majority of 2021. |
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Mac Hippenhammer’s 22% target share last season was the highest mark of any Miami (Ohio) WR2 in the Chuck Martin era. Our concern is efficiency, as he converted on just 53% of the targets in his direction. Hippenhammer also averaged 2.17 yards per route run which is significantly lower than last year’s WR1 Jack Sorenson (3.06). |
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Everything that we said above regarding North Texas applies to Northern Illinois as well. NIU running backs produced the seventh most fantasy points in all of college football last season and return four starters from an OL that ranked 19th in Line Yards created. We don’t know for certain who will cement themselves as RB1 between Harrison Waylee or Antario Brown, but we are certain this will again be one of the best rushing attacks in the nation. |
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Tale of two halves for Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke. 62% completion rate in the first five games vs. 64% in the final five weeks. After averaging just 12 FPPG in that first stretch of last season, Rourke went on to average 24 FPPG in the final five games, including back-to-back 31-point performances against Miami (Ohio) and Kent State. Most intriguing with Rourke, he nearly doubled his rushing output down the stretch, averaging 9.4 carries per game and accumulating 74% of his total rushing yards. |
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De’Quan Finn closed last season averaging 30 FPPG over the final five games. Coincidentally, those five games were the best performances from WR Matt Landers, who accumulated 88 of his 105 fantasy points during that stretch. Landers’ post-spring transfer to Arkansas played a significant role in dropping Finn in our rankings, as Toledo loses 59.7% of their receiving production from last year. |
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The Broncos have finished among the MAC’s Top 3 in total offense and scoring in each of the past three seasons under head coach Tim Lester. That streak might end 2022 with WMU returning just 27.7% of their offensive production from last year. |
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