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Brad Roberts’ 35.9% volume share among Air Force running backs was the highest mark in the last eight seasons. There’s only been an 18.5% volume share, on average, from the RB1 in the previous seven years. |
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Offensive coordinator Tim Plough’s WR1 has accounted for 30.9% of the total team target share over the last four seasons – fifth highest in the country over that span. Big things expected in 2022 for Stefan Cobbs, especially given we don’t know exactly who will start alongside him. |
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Don’t bet on Melquan Stovall ending up as Colorado State’s WR1. In the five years that Jay Norvell was with Nevada, the WR1 played the majority of snaps at outside receiver four times. Tory Horton should be the prohibitive favorite to be the lead guy for the Rams in 2022. |
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The solution to fix Jalen Cropper’s paltry 10.6 YPC average from 2021? Flip him from the slot to outside receiver, as Jeff Tedford did this past spring. WR1s under Tedford averaged 11.6 Depth of Target between 2016-19, which is significantly higher than the 7.7 number Cropper posted last year. We could see a bump in Cropper’s fantasy production this year. |
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Ian Shoemaker’s Central Washington teams averaged 73.2 plays per game in five seasons as head coach. For three years as the OC at Eastern Washington, that number jumped to 79.9 plays per game, due in part to having an elite quarterback at the FCS level (Eric Barriere). Hawaii is 127th in returning offensive production, and they are in the midst of quarterback competition, so don’t expect the Rainbow Warriors to come out of the gates as fast as this new staff would like. |
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The Wolfpack return just 26.9% of their offensive production from last year. Coupled with a first-time play-caller in Derek Sage, it might be wise to steer away from this offense in 2022. If there is one position that could eventually be a waiver wire addition, we might look towards tight end, as Sage comes over from one of the most TE-friendly systems in college football under Chip Kelly. TE1s accounted for 21.6% of the target share the last four seasons at UCLA which is tops in the country. |
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Six different quarterbacks saw snaps for New Mexico last season, including a former student manager in Bryson Carroll, who previously played running back for the Lobos in 2020. No wonder New Mexico had the worst scoring offense in the FBS last year at 12.2 PPG. |
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This is the just the second time in the last 12 seasons that San Diego State does not have a returning 1,000-yard rusher on the roster. Our primary focus is on the impending battle for RB1 between Chance Bell and Kenan Christon, but it may not matter if the offensive line doesn’t improve. San Diego State ranked 87th in Line Yards last season and must replace three starters, including a pair of all-conference performers. |
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The Spartans have a receiving corps that goes 6-7 deep, but we’re hopeful this season will replicate 2020 levels of production for Elijah Cooks and Justin Lockhart. The top two receivers that season accounted for 56.6% of the team’s total receiving yards and 45.9% of the target share. When healthy (big if), Cooks has proven to be a touchdown machine, scoring 18 touchdowns in 31 total games played. |
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Over the last four seasons, Marcus Arroyo’s RB1 has averaged 210 carries per year, a number that includes Williams’ 116 attempts in a six-game 2020 season. Quite simply, Arroyo’s RB1 typically gets fed the rock, as he’s produced five 1,000-yard rushers in the last six years. Furthermore, the 46.4% volume share from an Arroyo RB1 over the last four seasons ranks 7th nationally in that span. |
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Nailing down who becomes the WR1 at Utah State has been a priority this offseason. Why? The vacated 102 receptions and 161 targets from Deven Thompkins has become the norm for Blake Anderson top receiver the last four seasons, as they have averaged approximately 1,300 yards and 11 touchdowns. Thompkins accounted for 40.1% of Utah State’s receiving yards in 2021. |
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281 rush attempts have been vacated with Xazavian Valladay and Levi Williams no longer on the roster. Wyoming is 13th nationally in rush attempts per game (45.7) in the last three seasons, and the RB1 under Craig Bohl has averaged 221 carries per year in the last eight seasons. Former Wyoming RB Brian Hill carried the ball 349 times for the Cowboys back in 2016. Projected RB2 Dawaiian McNeely has just 31 career rushing attempts, which is why we’re so high on Titus Swen in 2022. |
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