 |
As either a run game coordinator or primary play-caller, OC Jeff Grimes has produced a 1,000-yard rusher in six of the last eight seasons. What do Leonard Fournette, Derrius Guice, Tyler Allgeier and, most recently, Abram Smith all have in common? All four tipped the scale at 218 pounds or more, which makes sense given Grimes’ tendency to rely on a workhorse back. Taye McWilliams hasn’t hit that benchmark yet, but he seems to be the likeliest candidate at 6-foot-1 and 211 pounds exiting spring. |
 |
There isn’t a coach in the country that feeds the RB1 more than Matt Campbell. Over the last four seasons, Campbell’s RB1 has accounted for 54.2% of the team’s rush attempts, and in the last five seasons, the RB1 has amassed 64.1% of the team’s total rushing yards. Can Jihrel Brock fend off Cartevious Norton for the entire year? |
 |
We don’t necessarily equate Lance Leipold with high-end quarterback fantasy production…but should we? Projected starter Jalon Daniels scored a combined 83 fantasy points (28 FPPG) over the last three games, completing over 70% of his passes in that time. Tyree Jackson posted two top 40 fantasy seasons in 2017-18, so it’s not out of the question for a Leipold quarterback to be valuable in CFF. |
 |
Obviously, the utilization rate for Deuce Vaughn last year was absurd. He accounted for 40% of the Wildcats’ scrimmage yards, 65.9% of the team’s rushing yards, and 45% of the team’s total touchdowns scored. Also, Vaughn’s 22.3% target share not only led Kansas State, but was the highest number in the country among all FBS running backs. |
 |
We understand the trepidation surrounding Marvin Mims, but try and look past the misusage by the previous staff, as Mims was only on the field 57% of the time. The 8-year average for WR1s under offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby: 76 catches, 1,154 yards and 11 touchdowns. Take out one random season as the OC at Southern University, and Lebby’s WR1 averages around 20.5 FPPG. |
 |
We’re going all-in on sophomore Jaden Bray this year. Why? Every WR1 under Mike Gundy over the last eight seasons has been a boundary receiver. Brennan Presley is the team’s top returning receiver, but he’s played 92% of his snaps in the slot, so we’re not considering him for that coveted WR1 role. |
 |
With all due respect to RB Zach Evans, but we don’t think TCU will see a drop-off in production with Kendre Miller slated to start. Miller has a career YPC average of 7.4 on 137 attempts. This is an interesting stat from Pro Football Focus: Miller averaged 5.06 yards after contact per attempt and 2.68 rush yards over expected, which would have ranked No. 1 among all Power 5 running backs had he earned enough carries to qualify. |
 |
Any concerns about Bijan Robinson not living up to expectations in 2021 due to the perceived depth in the Longhorns backfield were diminished immediately, as the talented running back averaged 28 FPPG in the first seven games. Steve Sarkisian has routinely leaned on his feature back during his time as a collegiate play-caller, with the RB1 averaging 41.3% of the backfield market share vs. just 23.1% for the RB2. |
 |
WR1 under Zach Kittley has the highest target share (33.6%) in the country over the last four seasons. The slot receiver under Kittley finished as the WR1 in three of those four seasons at Houston Baptist/WKU and was the team leader in targets every year. That’s why everyone is on Myles Price in 2022. |
 |
No Mountaineer wide receiver has averaged more than 11.0 FPPG in the past two seasons, which is surprising given the fact that West Virginia has averaged over 37 pass attempts per game since head coach Neal Brown took over as head coach. Expect that to change under new OC Graham Harrell, as his top three wideouts average around 68% of a team’s total receiving production. Therefore, the trio of Bryce Ford-Wheaton, Kaden Prather and Sam James should be on your CFF radar. |
You must be logged in to post a comment.