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San Diego State vs. Boise State
Point-Spread: BSU -23.5
O/U Total: 57.5
Implied Score: BSU 40.5 – SDSU 17
Weather: 52 degrees / 74% rain / 11 mph winds
San Diego State:
Top Play(s) – RB Marquez Cooper ($7,700) It would take a minute to look this up but I wonder when the last time was that a college running back had 200+ carries in four straight seasons. In the day and age of RBBCs, what Cooper is likely to accomplish feels very rare. No other running back on the team has more than 20 carries so if you like guaranteed volume, Cooper is your guy. Boise State is average defending the run, but is only allowing 14.9 FPPG to opposing backfields this season.
Fade – WR Jordan Napier ($5,200) If San Diego State has their full roster intact at receiver, I think Napier gets bumped out of the rotation. Promising freshman year for Napier, now with close to 200 yards receiving in the last three games. But he only played 35% of the offensive snaps vs. Wazzu – significantly less than the veteran wideouts on the roster.
Bargain Bin – WR Nate Bennett ($3,600) The Portland St transfer has come on in recent weeks with 70 or more receiving yards in two of the last three games, with 15 of his 22 targets coming in that stretch. Bennett was thought to be a candidate to be San Diego State’s WR1 coming into the year.
Pivot Play – WR Ja’Shaun Poke ($4,700) The former Kent State transfer now leads all San Diego State receivers in targets (49) and receptions (34), though hasn’t found the end-zone once in 2024. Poke has had his best two-game span since 2022 the last two weeks with 18 receptions on 21 targets, while Louis Brown has been on the shelf. TE Michael Harrison ($3,600) was finally utilized vs. Washington State in Week 9, catching six passes on eight targets. He can be a matchup nightmare in the slot as a converted receiver.
Best of the Rest – QB Danny O’Neil ($5,800) Steady improvement from the true freshman QB over the course of the season, throwing for 200+ yards in three of the last four games, completing 63% of his throws. The knock on O’Neil vs. other QBs under head coach Sean Lewis is that he doesn’t run. QBs under Lewis in the past like a Collin Schlee for example were true dual threats. Boise State is just 65th in pass D success rate this season, giving up 24 FPPG to quarterbacks.
Injury Notes – WR Louis Brown ($5,500) Brown was the team’s leading receiver until an internal suspension forced him out of the lineup last week. Have to double-check his status pregame.
Boise State:
Top Play(s) – RB Ashton Jeanty ($11,700) You know the drill here at this point. FWIW – San Diego State is 124th in EPA per run play and 109th in rush D success rate. This is a much better matchup for Jeanty than last week vs. UNLV.
Fade – WRs Not Named Cam Camper. Others can try and figure out the WR situation beyond Cam Camper – it won’t be me. For all intents and purposes, tight end Matt Lauter is “WR2.” Austin Bolt is the most appealing of the group as he’s second on the team with three receiving touchdowns and a 15.4-yard ADOT which is the highest on the roster.
Bargain Bin – TE Matt Lauter ($4,500) The junior tight end is second on the team in receptions (24), targets (33) and tied for the lead in touchdowns (4). Lauter tied a season-high vs. UNLV with nine targets. SDSU allows around 10 FPPG to opposing tight ends, which have had consistent success vs. the Aztecs. Five players have already scored at least nine fantasy points in their respective matchups.
Pivot Play – WR Cam Camper ($5,900) Quiet night for Camper vs. UNLV, held to a season-low 36 yards on three catches. The Indiana transfer still leads Boise State in all receiving categories, and had been incredibly consistent prior to that, surpassing 50 yards in every game.
Best of the Rest – QB Maddux Madsen ($7,100) The rare occasion when we need to give consideration to playing Madsen who “might” be the top QB option on the slate. San Diego State is better vs. the pass than the run but are allowing 22 FPPG to opposing QBs this season. Four quarterbacks have scored 20 or more fantasy points against the Aztecs, including Evan Svoboda who has been since benched at Wyoming.
Injury Notes – n/a
Georgia State vs. Connecticut
Point-Spread: UConn -7.5
O/U Total: 48.5
Implied Score: UConn 28 – GSU 20.5
Weather: 63 degrees / 0% rain / 13 mph winds
Georgia State:
Top Play(s) –
All-American and Heisman Members can view Weekly Player Projections here (click).
To become an All-American or Heisman member of theCFFsite, click here.
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To get a one-week membership to view theCFFsite’s Week Player Projections and DFS write-ups, click here.