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Memphis vs FAU
- Point Spread: Memphis -13.5
- Total: 63.5
Top Play(s) – Caden Veltkamp ($7,400) hasn’t been that great of a quarterback, but his volume takes him over the top. He’s thrown 138 passes in 3 games and has 23 rushing attempts during that time. You can almost guarantee the bonus will be hit through the air especially with a game script that should only reinforce their desire to pass consistently. Buyer beware, Veltkamp has 7 interceptions against the two FBS opponents he has faced.
Easton Messer ($6,800) certainly hasn’t been the top 3 receiver that Mike thought he’d be, but it’s hard to not love his usage. His 21.7% target share doesn’t pop on paper, but it does when you realize they’ve thrown 158 times on the season. The issue with Messer is the offense hasn’t rolled as well as we thought, meaning he’s a PPR monster that just can’t find the end zone. Let’s hope they get rolling coming out of the bye week.
Bonus top play time! Sutton Smith ($7,100) appears to have a stranglehold on the RB1 position for Memphis. He’s had 3 straight games of 21+ fantasy points and is coming off his most efficient game in 2025 last week rushing for 147 yards on 12 attempts. The game script could push towards spreading the ball around a good bit, but Smith does have big play potential with 50 and 64 yard runs so far this season.
Fade – I don’t believe there is a true fade that isn’t obvious, but I do believe Xavier Terrell ($3,800) is a little sketchy. The guy had a big game in week 3 thanks to 7 receptions and a touchdown, but he was only in on 26 of the team’s 84 snaps. This means that when he was on the field, he touched the ball 50% of the time (6 rushing attempts and 7 receptions). That doesn’t feel like a number that will consistently hit.
Bargain Bin – If you’re going to throw 50+ times per game then your cheap receivers are in play. Asaad Waseem ($3,300) has the most touchdowns on the team along with the second most receptions even though he’s technically WR4 for target share. Some caution is needed as Waseem is a clear fourth in snaps and routes run on the team. Dominique Henry ($3,500) ranks third in target share and is certainly in play. There’s some upside limitations because there are a lot of cooks in the kitchen but both are easily in play thanks to the price tag and system.
Pivot Play – Brendon Lewis ($9,000) comes in with the huge price tag but with good reason. He gives us big rushing upside (100+ yards last week, 4 rushing touchdowns on the season) and has an elite matchup against Florida Atlantic. The Owls have given up 38 and 39 points to FBS teams this season (Maryland and FIU), paving the way for a huge game from Lewis. We’ve seen Lewis give us very good usage numbers with 46 and 40 opportunities in his past two games.
Injuries – N/A
Arizona vs Iowa State
- Point Spread: Iowa State -6.5
- Total: 48.5
Top Play(s) – Ismail Mahdi ($5,100) has stepped up with Kedrick Reescano injured. If that happens again then we’re going to see a heavy bit of Mahdi like in week 3 against Kansas State. In that game he ran the ball 22 times for 189 yards and added 2 receptions on top of that. The Cyclones have been fairly stout against the run but has given up 4ypc or higher in 2 of their 4 games this season.
Fade – Noah Fifita ($6,900) did give us some rushing production last week against Kansas State, but is that really something we can count on weekly? He’s a guy we expect to chuck it around but typically stay in the pocket. Iowa State’s defense has been very strong in 2025, giving up a big game to Kansas State in week 0 but giving up no more than 6.7YPA since. They’ve also given up just one passing touchdown to 4 interceptions since week 1.
You couldn’t pay me to use Carson Hansen ($7,500) at this price tag and with Abu Sama healthy and active. His usage has been as sporadic as it gets and he can’t be relied upon to score around the goalline. He has zero touchdowns on the season.
Bargain Bin – Javin Whatley ($4,400) and Chris Hunter ($3,500) are two cheap receiving options to consider in this Big 12 matchup. They’re top two in routes run, targets, and receptions on the season for the Wildcats. Whatley really is the guy to target here though after an 11 target game. Fifita is only projected to throw for 197 yards, so don’t go overboard here. Both are in play but aren’t elite options considering the tougher Iowa State matchup.
Pivot Play – Rocco Becht ($7,300) is a solid play most weeks but lacks the umph to really get excited to throw in your lineup. He’s hit 40 opportunities just once in 3 games, the opener against Kansas State. Since then we’ve seen that number drop to 32 and 30. The night slate is just 7 games, so there’s reason to consider a guy like Becht who has flashed in the past. We just need him to combine the higher rush usage in week 0 with his effectiveness of 10.6YPA like in week 3.
Injuries – Kedrick Reescano (Q), Greg Burkle (Q)
Virginia Tech vs North Carolina State
- Point Spread: NC State -10
- Total: 56.5
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
