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Texas vs. Kentucky
- Point-Spread: Tex -12
- O/U Total: 43
- Implied Score: Tex 27.5 – UK 15.5
- Weather: 73 degrees / 18% rain / 10 mph winds
Texas:
Top Play(s) – RB Tre Wisner ($6,500) Wisner is slightly underpriced on DK and severely underpriced on FanDuel, so proceed accordingly. CJ Baxter is doubtful and unlikely to play, while we got news this week that backup Jerrick Gibson is no longer with the program after getting just one rushing attempt in the last two games. Wisner didn’t find the end-zone vs. Oklahoma last week, but accounted for 22 of the 27 rushing attempts that went to Texas RBs. If the Longhorns have rushing touchdowns on Saturday night, the only player likely to vulture them away is Arch Manning.
Fade – QB Arch Manning ($8,500) Two squads in the bottom half of the country in pace, with a Kentucky team that is going to want to slow the game down drastically to limit possessions because the offense cannot hang with the Longhorns. If you’re spending up to this level of salary, you’d be better off going with options in matchups that could potentially shoot out like USC / ND or Pitt / Syracuse. Manning has yet to score more than 21 fantasy points this season against a P4 opponent.
Pivot Play – WRs. No Texas pass-catcher had more than 55 yards last week against Oklahoma with the targets evenly dispersed amongst the starters. Boundary receivers have given the Kentucky defense the most issues this season with Ole Miss’ Harrison Wallace and South Carolina’s Vandrevius Jacobs both topping 100 yards receiver against the Wildcats. Eastern Michigan’s Terry Lockett Jr. also had 90 yards and a score. Ryan Wingo and Emmett Mosley were the primary boundary receivers against Oklahoma last week.
Injury Notes – RB CJ Baxter (doubtful)
Kentucky:
Top Play(s) – WR Kendrick Law ($3,900) The former Alabama transfer has seen an uptick in production the last two games with 11 or his 19 receptions this season coming in that two-week span. Law’s speed can be a difference maker against any defense and you’d figure game script should work in favor of the receivers with Kentucky being a double-digit dog.
Fade – QB Cutter Boley ($6,000) Needs no explanation. The Longhorns are allowing just 9.5 FPPG to quarterbacks this season.
Bargain Bin – WR Ja’Mori Maclin ($3,300) or WR Hardley Gilmore IV ($3,300) Law has been the most productive Kentucky receiver lately, but the Wildcats are typically in 12 personnel for three fourths of the game, playing primarily two tight ends on the field. That means two WRs on the field, which have been mostly Maclin and Gilmore. Limit all lineups to just one Kentucky wideout, preferably none.
Pivot Play – RB Seth McGowan ($4,600) McGowan should really be the only Kentucky running back getting carries as Dante Dowdell has averaged less than 2 yards per carry in each of the last two games. McGowan struggled against Georgia but had scored a touchdown in each of his previous four games prior to that. Texas is allowing just 14 FPPG to opposing backfields, so limit any exposure you have to McGowan.
Injury Notes – RB Jamarion Wilcox (out), WR Troy Stellato (questionable)
Penn State vs. Iowa
- Point-Spread: Iowa -3
- O/U Total: 40
- Implied Score: Iowa 21.5 – PSU 18.5
- Weather: 65 degrees / 41% rain / 8 mph winds
Penn State:
Top Play(s) – RB Kaytron Allen ($5,600) Allen has been just about the only positive development this season for the Nittany Lions, having found the end-zone in every single game to date. Iowa ranks No. 1 in the B1G in yards allowed per game on the ground, having limited all three conference opponents faced to under four yards a carry. Allen is the top play for Penn State, but far from a top option on the slate.
Fade – RB Nick Singleton ($6,000) At this point in the year, with Singleton already having been “demoted” to RB2, it would not surprise us to see him soft-out to preserve whatever NFL future he might have now that the Penn State season is in the trash bin. Singleton does have six rushing touchdowns but is averaging three yards per carry less than his backfield counterpart.
Best of the Rest – WR Devonte Ross ($3,800) Ross had his best performance of the season last week, converting on all seven of his targets for 115 yards. No other Penn State pass-catcher had more than 10 receiving yards against Northwestern. WR Kyron Hudson ($4,200) and WR Trebor Pena’s ($3,600) playing time hasn’t changed much week to week, so they remain longshot options, but we don’t know for certain how the rotations will be with the head coach no longer around. That’s probably not a risk worth taking with this lifeless offense.
Injury Notes – n/a
Iowa:
Wash, rinse, repeat…. RB Kamari Moulton ($6,900) is the only notable name to know on the Iowa side, facing a Penn State defense that has fallen to 15th in the B1G in yards allowed per game on the ground. Maybe the team rallies after James Franklin’s firing, but the Nittany Lions had multiple opportunities to save their season after the Oregon loss…and failed miserably. If you predict a blowout, which is entirely possible for a downtrodden team at night at Kinnick Stadium, perhaps RB Xavier Williams ($3,300) becomes an option as he rushed for 55 yards and two scores last week in the beatdown of Wisconsin.
Maryland vs. UCLA
- Point-Spread: UCLA -3.5
- O/U Total: 51.5
- Implied Score: UCLA 27.5 – MD 24
- Weather: 78 degrees / 0% rain / 5 mph winds
Maryland:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
