Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
Memphis vs. Rice
- Point-Spread: Mem -14
- O/U Total: 49
- Implied Score: Mem 31.5 – Rice 17.5
- Weather: 69 degrees / 0% rain / 5 mph winds
Memphis:
Top Play(s) – QB Brendon Lewis ($8,100) Your Friday lineups start with Brendon Lewis who should be the most owned player on the slate, with question marks at quarterback with every other team on this slate. The Owls have allowed three passing touchdowns in each of the last three games and are giving up around 21 FPPG to opposing quarterbacks. Lewis’ fantasy stock gets a boost too with the Memphis running game struggling of late.
Fade – RB Sutton Smith ($5,700) A theme of this season with the Memphis offense is the moment you think you have the backfield figured out; it gets flipped on its head. Smith has not surpassed 40 rushing yards in any of the previous four games and doesn’t offer the same versatility as a receiver as his backfield counterpart does. Smith is also completely ignored once Memphis enters the red zone with just five rushing attempts inside the 20-yard line. For comparison, that’s less than RB Frank Peasant ($4,100) who rushed for a TD against South Florida last week.
Bargain Bin – Frank Peasant fits the bill best as a bargain option for reasons we laid out above. Multiple running backs could get in on the action with Memphis being a two-touchdown favorite. WR Marcello Bussey ($4,000) is a low floor / low ceiling option, ranked third on the team in routes run with three or more receptions in the last three games.
Pivot Play – No Memphis RB in a lineup. Greg Desrosiers Jr. is the preferred the preferred option of any Memphis running back, but don’t believe it’s a necessity on the slate because of the depth at the position. The season-long numbers look good, but the Tigers have failed to average more than four yards a carry in two of the last three games. Memphis seems content on splitting up the carries between 2-3 backs, with Brendon Lewis also involved which diminishes everyone’s value.
Best of the Rest – WR Cortez Braham ($6,500) or WR Jamari Hawkins ($4,100) I will have at least one Memphis receiver in a lineup as this duo combines for 55% of the team’s receiving production, while Braham accounts for 7 of the team’s 11 receiving touchdowns. Hawkins makes a lot of sense as the pivot play away from Braham or even a stack of the two receivers. Slot receivers have cooked this Rice secondary in recent weeks with Skyler Bell (8-158-1) and Easton Messer (11-110-0). 95% of Hawkins’ routes run this season come from the slot.
Injury Notes – n/a
Rice:
Top Play(s) – RB Quinton Jackson ($6,400) The Memphis run defense has sprung a leak the last two weeks, allowing 219 yards on the ground to UAB and then 295 yards to South Florida this past Saturday where the Bulls averaged nearly 8 yards per carry as a team. Jackson has been very hit or miss this season, though more hit of late, rushing for 100+ in two of the last three games, including 168 yards and three scores vs. Connecticut. Jackson was also big as a receiver out of the backfield with 80 yards and a score.
Pivot Play – WR Aaron Turner ($4,700) or WR Drayden Dickmann ($3,800) Rice doesn’t throw the ball much, ranked 133rd in pass play percentage. When they do, it’s in the direction of either Turner or Dickmann who have accounted for 56% of the team’s receiving production and 60% of the target share. Memphis is 9th in the conference in yards allowed through the air and give up 38 FPPG to opposing wide receivers, so there’s potential for either player to be in the winning lineup. WR Landon Ransom Goelz ($3,300) came back from injury last week and played 50% of the team’s snaps against UConn. He has just six catches for the year, but he’d be a longshot GPP play to differentiate.
Best of the Rest – QB Chase Jenkins ($7,000) 13-point projection at this salary probably eliminates Jenkins from SuperFlex contention and should be used on another quarterback or positional player for this particular slate that doesn’t require 2-QB lineups. That said, we just saw a running QB dominate the Memphis defense this past week with Byrum Brown rushing for 121 yards and a pair of scores. Jenkins is not on that level of player, but double-digit rushing attempts is a possibility.
Injury Notes – n/a
North Carolina vs. Syracuse
- Point-Spread: Syr -2.5
- O/U Total: 45.5
- Implied Score: Syr 24 – UNC 21.5
- Weather: Dome
North Carolina:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
