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Tulane at Ole Miss

  • Point-Spread: Miss -17.5
  • O/U Total: 57.5
  • Implied Score: Miss 37.5 – Tul 20
  • Weather: 63 degrees / 2% rain / 11 mph winds

 

Tulane:

Top Play(s) – QB Jake Retzlaff ($7,500) QB is unappealing outside of Trinidad Chambliss, so there’s a path to Retzlaff being the second most valuable option at the position. Ole Miss has struggled some this season defending running QBs, perfectly shown in the Egg Bowl by allowing 173 yards on 20 attempts to Mississippi State’s Kamario Taylor. The flipside is that this was the one instance all year against Ole Miss that Retzlaff failed to score more than 18 fantasy points in a game, held to just 7.3. For the year, the Rebels gave up just over 20 FPPG to quarterbacks, second most among the teams on the slate behind Tulane.   

Fade – RBs. If desperate to choose a Tulane running back for your lineup – you shouldn’t be – Jamauri McClure would be the better of the two options between he and Javin Gordon after closing the year with over 400+ yards on the ground over the last four games. Ole Miss can be run on, ranked 94th in success rate and 123rd in explosive run plays allowed, but there’s several options to choose from at RB in the other matchups that are more appealing. 

Best of the Rest – WRs. There may not be a team in the country that spreads the ball around more than Tulane, with no wideout having more than 16% of the team’s target share and five different receivers having between 23-39 receptions on the year. Playing Retzlaff naked is typically the optimal route. In the first matchup vs. Ole Miss, and then two weeks ago in the conference title matchup vs. North Texas, no Tulane receiver had more than 40 yards receiving. If forced to choose one, we’d lean towards WR Anthony Brown-Stephens ($4,800) or go cheap with WR Zycarl Lewis Jr ($3,300). ABS had a spike week recently in the finale vs. Charlotte with 98 yards on 11 targets. Lewis gets a bump with Bryce Bohanon out of the lineup as he’s been the last three games. 

Opt Outs / Injury Notes – WR Bryce Bohanon (doubtful)

 

Ole Miss:

Top Play(s) – RB Kewan Lacy ($7,800) and / or QB Trinidad Chambliss ($8,200) Pretty straightforward here – eat chalk and find a way to differentiate elsewhere. The duo combined for 61 fantasy points in the first meeting, and 26 of the team’s 32 rushing touchdowns on the season. If forced to choose one over the other, Chambliss is the play given the lack of competent fantasy options at QB on the slate, but stacking the duo is preferred.   

Best of the Rest – WRs / TEs. Ole Miss and Tulane are essentially the same offenses in that they prefer to run the football, have dual-threat quarterbacks and do NOT have a target hog at the receiver or tight end position. No Rebel pass-catcher has more than 20% of the team’s total target share on the season. In the first matchup, no Rebel was targeted more than five times in the game. WR Harrison Wallace ($5,200) is the preferred option of the group, as he’s led Ole Miss in targets in every game since Week 8. 

WR Deuce Alexander ($3,300) will be a popular play given his salary and the fact he was the top option in the first meeting, finishing with 91 yards and a touchdown on five targets. Tulane allowed over 41 FPPG to opposing team WRs during the regular season, so stacking multiple wideouts in a lineup is viable despite not having a clear WR1. There is no preference between boundary and slot receivers facing Tulane, as both positions had relatively equal success.  

Opt Outs / Injury Notes – n/a

 

James Madison at Oregon

  • Point-Spread: Ore -20.5
  • O/U Total: 47.5
  • Implied Score: Ore 34 – JMU 13.5
  • Weather: 47 degrees / 32% rain / 3 mph winds

 

James Madison:

Top Play(s) –

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