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Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State
- Point-Spread: MSU -3
- O/U Total: 53
- Implied Score: MSU 28 – WF 25
- Weather: 49 degrees / 20% rain / 3 mph winds
Wake Forest:
Top Play(s) – WR Carlos Hernandez ($5,200) The Wazzu transfer was Wake Forest’s best offensive weapon in the last three games of the season with a combined 390 receiving yards in that stretch. Helps facing a G5 opponent and Duke’s woeful secondary, but we know Hernandez is a capable player from his days back at Washington State. Mississippi State allows close to 40 FPPG to opposing team’s WR groups.
Bargain Bin – WR Sawyer Racanelli ($4,400) Racanelli will start in place of Chris Barnes who will get a hefty bag in the transfer portal this offseason. We already have evidence of how Racanelli performed in a starting role too against Duke in Week 14, leading the Deacons with 123 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. Expecting the passing game for WF to funnel largely through Hernandez and Racanelli.
Pivot Play – RB Ty Clark III ($4,500) Clark is the only RB left on the Wake roster that has played any meaningful snaps this season with Demond Claiborne off to the NFL and multiple backups in the transfer portal. Nothing about Clark’s season jumps off the page, averaging just 4.0 YPC on 58 attempts, but did find the end-zone in the last two games of the regular season against Delaware and Duke. 10-15 touches is the expectation, which you’ll take on most occasions from a $4.5k running back. MSU was poor at stopping the run this season, ranked 125th in rush D success rate and allowed 28 FPPG to opposing backfields.
Best of the Rest – QB Robby Ashford ($7,400) Final collegiate game for Robby Ashford, who turned in a credible year for a player most thought should change positions, averaging 19.2 FPPG with back-to-back 35-point fantasy performances in the last two weeks. Nine total touchdowns for Ashford in his last three games – 6 passing / 3 rushing, with 50+ yards on the ground in each of the last five games.
Opt Outs / Injury Notes – RB Demond Claiborne (NFL), WR Chris Barnes (portal), WR Micah Mays (portal)
Mississippi State:
Top Play(s) – QB Kamario Taylor ($7,200) Second-best QB option on the slate as we all saw the star freshman’s capabilities on full display in the Egg Bowl with 38.4 fantasy points, including 178 yards on the ground vs. Ole Miss. The matchup isn’t great, where Wake Forest has been tremendous defensively in 2025, ranked 39th nationally in defensive scoring and only giving up 15 FPPG to quarterbacks this season. But cost + projection + elite running ability put Taylor towards the top of QB options on the slate.
Fade – RB Davon Booth ($5,900) Booth was suspended for the first half of the Egg Bowl and finished with just three carries. Can’t imagine the coaches are willing to give Booth, who will graduate after this year, an extended look over players that will be on the team in 2026. Wake allows just 23 combined fantasy points per game to opposing backfields as it is, so an RB2 is not of much interest to us.
Bargain Bin – WR Ayden Williams ($3,400) Seems like most everyone is a go from the Mississippi State offense, but if we get a surprise opt-out at WR from either Anthony Evans or Brenen Thompson, Williams has served as the team’s WR3 in the second half of the year. Minimal production but has played 75% of the offensive snaps over the last 6 weeks.
Pivot Play – WR Brenen Thompson ($5,500) or WR Anthony Evans III ($5,600) Top heavy target share for the Bulldogs this season with Thompson / Evans combining for 50% of the distribution, with 10 of the team’s 19 receiving touchdowns. Appears as though Evans made an unofficial annoucement that he’ll be on the team in 2026, while Thompson is reportedly going for another season of college eligibility. That’s telling that we don’t expect any limitations or opt out from either player.
Best of the Rest – RB Fluff Bothwell ($5,700) RB is incredibly weak on the slate, so we can go in a number of different directions here. Couple issues, though, with playing Bothwell. (1) The Wake defense is exceptional against the run, ranked 24th in EPA per rush play, 17th in success rate and 32nd at limiting explosives. (2) Davon Booth leads the team in red zone carries and Kamario Taylor is just three shy (16) of Bothwell in RZ rushing attempts despite just starting a single game all year.
Opt Outs / Injury Notes – QB Blake Shapen (out)
Navy vs. Cincinnati
- Point-Spread: Navy -7
- O/U Total: 54
- Implied Score: Navy 30.5 – Cin 23.5
- Weather: 58 degrees / 58% rain / 5 mph winds
Navy:
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To access to all of theCFFsite’s DFS content, including Weekly Player Projections, become a Heisman member. Click here for membership options.
For one-week access to theCFFsite’s DFS content and Weekly Player Projections, select that option from the 2025 Membership Options.
