NUMBERS TO KNOW — CUSA & INDEP (preview)

 

The 49ers have more bye weeks (2) than top 40 projected defenses (1 – South Carolina) on their schedule in 2022.
Yearly target share average from the WR1 under offensive coordinator David Yost in the last five years? 19.0. That would rank 115th nationally in that span among WR1s. Tyrese Chambers has proven he can do a lot with a little, averaging 23.2 YPC in 2021, but Yost’s system has historically proven he’ll spread the ball around to multiple receivers.
We wouldn’t call N’Kosi Perry a dual-threat, but he did post 104 attempts last season and will now be in a system under Brent Dearmon that will feature similar utilization. As the OC with Arkansas Tech, Dearmon’s QBs averaged over 118 carries per season, including a 17-TD season from Arsinio Favor in 2015. That is an extreme outlier, not the norm, but any quarterback in CFF that totes the rock 100+ times should provide value to your roster, even if as a rotational option. Perry should, at the very least, replicate his numbers on the ground from last year.
Smoke Harris remains our projected WR1 for Louisiana Tech, but this could very well change as we get more intel during fall camp. 92% of the snaps taken from the WR1s under new head coach Sonny Cumbie over the last eight years have been outside, not in the slot. That’s the highest percentage in the country in that span. 6-foot-2 Tre Harris could be a name to remember after finishing second on the team in targets last year with 62 as a true freshman. Harris posted 5-77-1 on 12 targets in the season finale vs. Rice.
Expect a far greater emphasis on throwing the football from the Blue Raiders this season with new offensive coordinator Mitch Stewart. His offenses averaged over 42 passing attempts per game during his time at Murray State and Samford – just 34 att/g the last eight years for MTSU under Stockstill.
Just once in the last eight years has an Army player finished inside the top 40 in FPPG at their respective position (RB Darnell Woolfolk in 2017).
In the last three seasons as a full-time offensive coordinator, Aaron Roderick has given his RB1 23.7 carries per game, including 276 rushing attempts to Tyler Allgeier last season. Cal transfer Christopher Brooks won the starting job outright coming out of spring ball and is listed as the clear-cut RB1 on the team’s depth chart.

 

 

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