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Austin Peay vs. Western Kentucky
Point-Spread: n/a
O/U Total: n/a
Weather: 83 degrees / 19% rain / 5 mph winds
WKU:
Top Play(s) – QB Austin Reed ($9,000) Sits third in projections behind Logan Bonner and Jordan Travis, but easily the player with the best opportunity to break the slate. For DFS players that are just jumping into CFB in late August, Western Kentucky will be attempting to replicate last year’s successes despite losing OC Zach Kittley to Texas Tech, as they promoted within to Ben Arbuckle who will now call the plays. Averaged 50.9 pass attempts per game in 2021 and were second nationally in neutral game script pass play rate. With the chance that Reed is Bailey Zappe reincarnated, I’ll be overweight on Western Kentucky players in my lineups.
Fade – RB Kye Robichaux ($7,000) X him out of your player queue. WKU averaged the second-fewest rushing attempts per game in college football last season, and there is no certainty Robichaux is even the starter with veteran Jakairi Moses still in the mix.
Bargain Bin – WR Dalvin Smith ($3,500) was a standout during spring camp and is in the mix to start outside opposite Daewood Davis. Spent time at tight end last season, catching five touchdown passes, but has converted to wide receiver which should boost his value. Hoping an official depth chart comes out before gameday as he’s battling Western Michigan transfer Jaylen Hall for a starting job, and DK lists Smith as $3,100 cheaper.
Pivot Play – WR Michael Mathison $5,600) Corley is likely the top target in this offense but haven’t heard his name much in preseason reports. Could be nothing, could be something. Akron transfer Michael Mathison is my projected WR3 at the moment, assuming the role that Corley had a year ago in which he posted 73 receptions on 103 targets. 80% of Mathison’s snaps last season with the Zips came in the slot.
Best of the Rest – Remember how profitable Jerreth Sterns and Mitchell Tinsley were last year, combining for 237 receptions and 31 touchdowns. Unreasonable to expect the same output, but if all goes to plan, WR Malachi Corley ($7,600) and WR Daewood Davis ($4,800) are next in line to assume those mantles. Davis is likely to be one of the highest-owned players on the slate as he’s mispriced at current salary.
Injury Notes – Joshua Simon ($5,800) is listed as out on DK but should be ready to roll Saturday. Was seen in a recent video of practice catching passes from Austin Reed. Caught two touchdowns on three receptions in last year’s opener before suffering a season-ending injury. Will be a wildcard in 2022 as this system doesn’t utilize the position much outside the red-zone.
To gain access to all of theCFFsite’s exclusive DFS content, as well as Weekly Player Projections, click here to see membership options for the 2022 season.