Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To become an All-American or Heisman member of theCFFsite, click here.
To get a one-week membership to view theCFFsite’s Bowl Season Player Projections and DFS write-ups for this week, click here.
Ohio vs. Jacksonville State
Point-Spread: Ohio -3
O/U Total: 54
Implied Score: Ohio 28.5 – JSU 25.5
Weather: 71 degrees / 0% rain / 8 mph winds
Ohio:
Top Play(s) – QB Parker Navarro ($8,800) Tough choice here between Navarro and Anthony Tyus for the top play on Ohio but leaning the QB1 as he’s our highest projected player on the slate. We see this all the time over college football, nearing the end of the season and QBs start to throw their bodies around a bit more in the running game. Such is the case with Navarro, averaging 13 rushing attempts over the last four games with 10 of his 15 rushing touchdowns coming in that stretch. We’ve seen several running quarterbacks find success against JSU this season including Ethan Vasko (12-39-1), Keyone Jenkins (33 yards) and Hunter Watson (21-105-1).
Fade – RB Rickey Hunt ($4,200) Only path to relevancy for Hunt – last year’s bowl game hero – is Anthony Tyus getting hurt or being a surprise scratch. Hunt had just 14 combined rushing yards over the last four games.
Bargain Bin – WR Chase Hendricks ($4,100) Hendricks was one of the stars of the bowl game with 61 yards receiving on 10 targets. Folks were off of Hendricks because of his close to the regular season with just 12 yards receiving in the final two games, but both matchups were blowouts and the WR2 was not needed to factor into the outcome. Playing time, even in that stretch, remained unchanged as Hendricks continues to play over 70% of the team’s offensive snaps. In a competitive setting like this, he’ll be an option along with Coleman Owen. Longshot bargain play would be TE Mason Williams ($3,100) as Jacksonville State struggled mightily to stop the position this season, allowing 11.4 FPPG to tight ends during the regular season. Multiple players scored 20 or more fantasy points.
Pivot Play – RB Anthony Tyus ($5,800) Double stack of Tyus and Parker Navarro is possible because of Tyus’s pricing here, and Ohio being one of the most run-heavy offenses in the country at 61%. Jacksonville State closed strong with defending the run, but still finished 99th nationally in rush D success rate for the season. Tyus would be my RB2 for the slate behind Tre Stewart.
Best of the Rest – WR Coleman Owen ($7,200) Five wide receivers scored at least 20 fantasy points against Jacksonville State this season, none of which are as good as Owen who is just three targets shy of 100 for the year. Owen has 600 more receiving yards than the next closest Bobcat pass-catcher.
Injury Notes – n/a. No Ohio players are in the portal currently.
Jacksonville State:
Top Play(s) – QB Tyler Huff ($9,000) Numbers are excellent for the Ohio defense against both the run and pass, but there isn’t a backfield duo like the one Jacksonville State possesses in the MAC. Despite being questionable with an ankle injury in the C-USA title game, Huff was a menace on the ground with 167 yards and a touchdown on 23 rushing attempts. If you were thinking about fading Huff, here is the argument – Ohio allowed more than 15 fantasy points to just two quarterbacks all season long.
Fade – WRs. Jacksonville State’s top playmaker at receiver – Cam Vaughn – is in the portal so unknown whether he will partake in the contest or not. Jacksonville State also does not want to throw the ball, ranked 131st in pass play percentage at 32.7%. Risk is not worth the reward here, especially because the other options are priced up above $5k.
Bargain Bin – TE Sean Brown ($3,700) Tied for second on the team in touchdowns (3) and fifth in routes run. Ohio did allow some big performances to tight ends this season, including Oronde Gadsden (23 fpts), Jacob Newell (19 fpts) and Anthony Torres (12 fpts).
Pivot Play – RB Tre Stewart ($8,900) Huff and Stewart are stackable, though maybe not as appealing as the Ohio duo because of pricing and the opposing defense. Ohio is 13th in rush D success rate, but did allow plenty of fantasy points to opposing running backs, including Marion Lukes (37 fpts), Demie Sumo (23 fpts) and LeQuint Allen (22 fpts).
Best of the Rest – WRs. We advise against it, but if looking to find a Jacksonville State WR with less than 5% ownership, Brock Rechsteiner and Michael Pettway would be the choices, as they played over 60% of the team’s offensive snaps over the last two weeks. They move up slightly if Cam Vaughn is out.
Injury Notes – WR Cam Vaughn (portal – but is on location and still on the depth chart).
Indiana vs. Notre Dame
Point-Spread: ND -7.5
O/U Total: 50.5
Implied Score: ND 28 – IU 21.5
Weather: 27 degrees / 40% rain / 8 mph winds
Indiana:
Top Play(s) –
Mike’s Core Four:
- QB Tyler Huff, Jacksonville State
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To become an All-American or Heisman member of theCFFsite, click here.
To get a one-week membership to view theCFFsite’s Bowl Season Player Projections and DFS write-ups for this week, click here.