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Texas vs. Arizona State
- Point-Spread: Tex -13.5
- O/U Total: 51.5
- Implied Score: Tex 37.5 – ASU 24
- Weather: Dome
Texas:
Top Play(s) – RB Tre Wisner ($7,000) Wisner left the game late against Clemson but was mentioned on the broadcast that he could have gone back in had the score been closer. Prior to leaving, the Texas run game was mauling the Tigers front seven, with Wisner averaging 7.3 YPC. Wisner is Texas’ top option, but not as big a smash play as he was against Clemson for two reasons: (1) Arizona State is significantly better than Clemson against the run, and (2) RB Jaydon Blue ($5,900) might be back in the good graces of the coaching staff after rushing for 146 yards and two scores. More importantly…no fumbles.
Fade – WR Isaiah Bond ($4,500) Reports are stating that Bond is expected to play on Wednesday, but his ankle injury is one that will need an offseason to be fully healed. Not just magically heal in a few weeks. In the article by Texas beat writers about Bond, they still included this notion in their article – “If Bond is healthy enough to face the Sun Devils.” Not worth the risk.
Bargain Bin – TE Gunnar Helm ($4,100) Take out the SEC Championship and Helm has been targeted at least five times in every game since Week 11. DK still refuses to price him up to a level he should be at. WR Ryan Wingo ($3,400) was quiet against Clemson with just two receptions on four targets, but he’s the secondary WR that is unaffected by Isaiah Bond’s return. Bond potentially starting or splitting time in the slot downgrades WR DeAndre Moore Jr. ($4,000) as they share the slot position.
Pivot Play – WR Matthew Golden ($4,900) Of the position groups that have succeeded most against Arizona State this season, wide receivers top the list, averaging around 40 FPPG combined against the Sun Devils. Golden is the bonafide WR1 for the Longhorns against a secondary that has allowed five receivers to score 21 or more fantasy points against them this season.
Best of the Rest – QB Quinn Ewers ($8,000) Week 11 was the last time Ewers scored more than 20 fantasy points in a game. Just three QBs scored more than 20 fantasy points all year against Arizona State. Ewers really isn’t in the conversation to be a QB option on this slate.
Injury Notes – n/a
Arizona State:
Top Play(s) – RB Cam Skattebo ($9,400) I mean…who else would it be? Texas is just 58th in rush D success rate, so not impenetrable, and have given up rush yards in its biggest games, allowing 32 fantasy points to Trevor Etienne in Week 8, and then 94 yards and two scores in the SEC Championship. So, it can done.
Fade – QB Sam Leavitt ($7,500) Cade Klubnik’s performance last week against the Longhorns was just the second instance ALL YEAR LONG in which a quarterback scored more than 11 fantasy points against Texas. I’ll take the odds that Leavitt doesn’t hit value as most QBs haven’t vs. Texas in 2024.
Bargain Bin – WRs. Xavier Guillory and Melquan Stovall caught 50% of the team’s completions in the B12 title game vs. Iowa State, combining for over 100 yards and two touchdowns without Jordyn Tyson in the lineup. I wouldn’t go overboard with exposure here, considering Texas allows just 20 combined fantasy points a game to opposing WR groups, but both are cheap and will play the entire game.
Pivot Play – TE Chamon Metayer ($3,100) The three best tight ends Texas faced this season had mild success against the Longhorns – Colston Loveland (14 fpts) and Eli Stowers (12 fpts). Jake Briningstool had a strong performance last week as well with 4-69-0 on six targets. Metayer was on the field for 86% of the snaps in the B12 title game.
Best of the Rest – WR Troy Omerie ($3,000) The former Texas transfer might have some added motivation on Wednesday facing his former team. Omerie didn’t do much with his extended playing time against Iowa State, but he was on the field a ton (34 of 43 snaps played).
Injury Notes – n/a
Ohio State vs. Oregon
- Point-Spread: OSU -2.5
- O/U Total: 55.5
- Implied Score: OSU 29 – Oreg 26.5
- Weather: 74 degrees / 0% rain / 5 mph winds
Ohio State:
Top Play(s) –
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To become an All-American or Heisman member of theCFFsite, click here.
To get a one-week membership to view theCFFsite’s Bowl Season Player Projections and DFS write-ups for this week, click here.