NUMBERS TO KNOW — B12 & MAC (preview)

As either a run game coordinator or primary play-caller, OC Jeff Grimes has produced a 1,000-yard rusher in six of the last eight seasons. What do Leonard Fournette, Derrius Guice, Tyler Allgeier and, most recently, Abram Smith all have in common? All four tipped the scale at  218 pounds or more, which makes sense given Grimes’ tendency to rely on a workhorse back. Taye McWilliams hasn’t hit that benchmark yet, but he seems to be the likeliest candidate at 6-foot-1 and 211 pounds exiting spring.
There isn’t a coach in the country that feeds the RB1 more than Matt Campbell. Over the last four seasons, Campbell’s RB1 has accounted for 54.2% of the team’s rush attempts, and in the last five seasons, the RB1 has amassed 64.1% of the team’s total rushing yards. Can Jihrel Brock fend off Cartevious Norton for the entire year?
We don’t necessarily equate Lance Leipold with high-end quarterback fantasy production…but should we? Projected starter Jalon Daniels scored a combined 83 fantasy points (28 FPPG) over the last three games, completing over 70% of his passes in that time. Tyree Jackson posted two top 40 fantasy seasons in 2017-18, so it’s not out of the question for a Leipold quarterback to be valuable in CFF.
Joe Moorhead’s QB1 – including his stops at Fordham, Penn State, Mississippi State and Oregon – has accounted for 28.2% of the team’s total rushing attempts on average. That’s the second-highest number in the country behind only Navy. Good news for QB D.J. Irons?
25.3% target share for the Ball State WR2 is the highest mark in the country over the last four seasons. Jayshon Jackson will assume the Justin Hall role this season as the team’s top playmaker, but don’t forget about Yo’Heinz Tyler, who has 132 career receptions.
Bowling Green returns 95.3% of their offensive production from a year ago, per CFB Winning Edge. That’s tops in the country.
Buffalo OC Shane Montgomery is yet another play-caller that often relies heavily on his RB1, averaging 30.1% volume share over the last four seasons. Can Ron Cook Jr. handle that workload with his 190-pound frame or will Mike Washington or Al-Jay Henderson get extended playing time?

 

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