NUMBERS TO KNOW PAC 12 & MWC (preview)

	Game scripts played a major role, but the Wildcats threw the ball a ton last season, averaging 36.5 attempts per game, which ranked 20th nationally. In 10 out of 12 games, Arizona attempted 35 attempts or more. Will that continue in 2022?
	This is a program on a downward spiral that could implode in 2022. The one positive that can be said about Herm Edwards is his program has produced top-tier fantasy running backs, as the RB1 has averaged 23.1 FPPG in the last four years. Will one of Xazavian Valladay or Daniyel Ngata emerge as the clear-cut starter?
	If you’re looking for an impact freshman to play right away, look towards incoming 4-star RB Jadyn Ott, who enrolled early for the spring and locked up the No. 2 job behind projected starter Damien Moore. OC Bill Musgrave loves incorporating multiple running backs into the game plan, with his RB2 averaging 28.7% of the volume share over the last three years as a play-caller.
	At each of his last three stops, Mike Sanford’s offenses have experienced regression upon his arrival. WKU took a nosedive, falling from 45.5 PPG to 25.5 PPG in Sanford’s first season with the Hilltoppers. Utah State’s Jordan Love looked like a first-round NFL selection in 2018, throwing 32 TD passes to just six INTs. Enter Sanford, and Love’s TD/Int ratio fell to 20-to-17 the following year. And at Minnesota in 2020, the Gophers averaged a touchdown less per game than they did in 2019. However, the Buffs can’t be any worse than last year, right?

	Brad Roberts’ 35.9% volume share among Air Force running backs was the highest mark in the last eight seasons. There’s only been an 18.5% volume share, on average, from the RB1 in the previous seven years.
	Offensive coordinator Tim Plough’s WR1 has accounted for 30.9% of the total team target share over the last four seasons – fifth highest in the country over that span. Big things expected in 2022 for Stefan Cobbs, especially given we don’t know exactly who will start alongside him.
	Don’t bet on Melquan Stovall ending up as Colorado State’s WR1. In the five years that Jay Norvell was with Nevada, the WR1 played the majority of snaps at outside receiver four times. Tory Horton should be the prohibitive favorite to be the lead guy for the Rams in 2022.
	The solution to fix Jalen Cropper’s paltry 10.6 YPC average from 2021? Flip him from the slot to outside receiver, as Jeff Tedford did this past spring. WR1s under Tedford averaged 11.6 Depth of Target between 2016-19, which is significantly higher than the 7.7 number Cropper posted last year. We could see a bump in Cropper’s fantasy production this year.

If you have supported theCFFsite at any 2022 membership level and would like access to the entire NUMBERS TO KNOW — MWC article, click here.

If you have supported theCFFsite at any 2022 membership level and would like access to the entire NUMBERS TO KNOW — PAC 12 article, click here.

If you would like access to the full article and other exclusive content, including theCFFsite Preseason Fantasy Draft Guide & Preseason Player Projections, click here for content details.