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Clemson vs. Wake Forest
Point-Spread: Clem -20
O/U Total: 62
Implied Score: Clem 41 – WF 21
Weather: 68 degrees / 0% rain / 5 mph winds
Clemson:
Top Play(s) – QB Cade Klubnik ($9,000) Year 2 magic from Klubnik under offensive coordinator Garrett Riley who did the same thing at TCU with Max Duggan, turning his QB into a fantasy star. Wake Forest is allowing 28 FPPG to opposing QBs with three players scoring over 27 fantasy points in their respective matchups. That includes a QB from Louisiana-Lafayette.
Fade – WR Bryant Wesco ($4,700) Tempting to start Wesco this week as he has six receptions over the last two games, with over 90% snaps played vs. Florida State last Saturday. With that said, Adam Randall is back in the lineup, and we’ll see how much allegiance Dabo Swinney has towards his veterans. Maybe some, maybe none. But in games in which both Wesco and Randall were active, Randall played more.
Bargain Bin – TE Jake Briningstool ($4,000) Second on the team in targets (22), receptions (17), touchdowns (3) and first in routes run. Strong matchup as Wake Forest allowed multiple tight ends to score over 17 fantasy points against them this season.
Pivot Play – WR Antonio Williams ($5,000) Curious to see the PFF box scores after Saturday as Williams has played exclusively in the slot with Tyler Brown out of the lineup. Brown returns Saturday. Will Williams stay inside or shift back to the boundary? Reason being, boundary receivers have crushed Wake Forest this season. Lance Legendre, Malachi Fields, Tre Harris and Trell Harris – all outside receivers – scored over 22 fantasy points vs. the Demon Deacons. We want at least one Clemson pass-catcher in our lineups.
Best of the Rest – RB Phil Mafah ($6,500) Frustrating season as a Mafah owner with just two rushing touchdowns despite dominating the backfield market share. Still, 25 totes for 154 yards against Florida State last Saturday is hopefully a sign of things to come. Wake Forest is mildly better against the run, ranking 114th in success rate.
Injury Notes – n/a
Wake Forest:
Top Play(s) – RB Demond Claiborne ($5,700) Wake Forest’s best offense is when they drop back and hand the ball off to their RB1 who is on pace for the first 1,000-yard rushing season by a Wake running back since Kenneth Walker. This could get ugly Saturday, but Clemson has been very bad against the run, allowing 25 FPPG to opposing backfields and 88th in rush D success rate. Running backs are scoring over 30% more than their seasonal average when facing the Tigers.
Fade – QB Hank Bachmeier ($5,900) Not a chance. Just one QB this season has scored more than 18 fantasy points against Clemson, and that was Carson Beck in the opener who was limited to just 21 fantasy points.
Bargain Bin – WR Horatio Fields ($3,900) Donavon Greene appears unlikely again this week, so Fields retains his role as Wake’s No. 1 option on the outside. Played over 90% of the offensive snaps last week against NC State and has been targeted eight times in each of the last two games.
Pivot Play – WR Taylor Morin ($4,800) Team leader in targets (34), receptions (26) and second in routes run behind Fields. Morin had at least 50 receiving yards in every contest prior to last week against NC State. Clemson has allowed five receivers this season to score more than 13 fantasy points.
Best of the Rest – WR Micah Mays Jr. ($3,000) With Greene on the shelf, Mays has stepped into the starting lineup opposite Fields on the outside. Played a season-high 57% of snaps vs. the Wolfpack with seven targets. Should be another pass-happy script for Wake Forest if they’re down double-digits.
Injury Notes – WR Donavon Greene ($4,200) Injury bug has gotten to Greene yet again as he’s not on the Week 7 depth chart.
Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina
Point-Spread: GT -4
O/U Total: 60
Implied Score: GT 32 – UNC 28
Weather: 68 degrees / 0% rain / 4 mph winds
Georgia Tech:
Top Play(s) – QB Haynes King ($8,100) We’re basically interested in any quarterback that faces UNC from now on, as the Heels are giving up 27.7 FPPG to opposing QBs. Dual threats like King have obliterated North Carolina with Eli Holstein and Alonza Barnett combining for over 160 yards on the ground with three touchdowns.
Fade – n/a. All Georgia Tech players are priced appropriately.
Bargain Bin – WR Chase Lane ($3,400) Lane is a distant, distant third behind the top two wideouts in targets, but is second in routes run, and played a season-high 88% of snaps last week vs. Duke…albeit resulting in just one target. Georgia Tech is not rotating much at all anymore at receiver beyond the top three.
Pivot Play – RB Jamal Haynes ($6,000) UNC is grading out fairly well at defending the run, ranked 31st in success rate, but allow so many scoring opportunities to opponents that RB1s can hit value without having a big rushing performance. High floor, high upside play for Haynes as UNC has allowed multiple running backs to score over 30 fantasy points already.
Best of the Rest – WRs Malik Rutherford ($5,300) or WR Eric Singleton ($5,500) Same story each week with these two with nearly 50% of the target share and receiving touchdowns. Twice already UNC has allowed multiple receivers on the same team to score double-digit fantasy points in the same game, so stacking the two together could be a GPP option in a lineup that has a heavy amount of GT and UNC options.
Injury Notes – RB Trey Cooley ($4,300) Out again per HC Brent Key.
North Carolina:
Top Play(s) – RB Omarion Hampton ($8,700) With college basketball around the corner and the football season headed in a downward spiral, you’d be hard pressed to find any coverage out there for this week’s matchup with Georgia Tech. No other running back is challenging Hampton for carries still, though this might be a week to limit exposure of the UNC RB1. Georgia Tech has yet to allow an opposing running back to score over 19 fantasy points all year and are 9th nationally in EPA per run play defensively.
Fade – WR Gavin Blackwell ($3,800) Not sure if injury related or not, but Blackwell did not play a single snap last week vs. Pittsburgh. Does not have an injury tag currently so we’ll assume he’s simply out of the rotation.
Bargain Bin – TE Bryson Nesbit ($3,500) The junior tight end is first on the team in targets (38), receptions (21) and touchdowns (3). Georgia Tech has allowed multiple tight ends this season to score over 16 fantasy points, struggling against another TE-hybrid like player against Syracuse’s Oronde Gadsden who scored 27 fantasy points against the Yellow Jackets.
Pivot Play – WR Nate McCollum ($4,800) Revenge game storyline with McCollum facing his former team. 10 receptions on 13 targets vs. Pittsburgh last week, almost tripling his output from the first four games of the season.
Best of the Rest – QB Jacolby Criswell ($7,600) Criswell has been adequate since taking over as the starter with 250 more yards in each of the last three games, throwing six touchdowns. Georgia Tech’s secondary is below average, ranking 107th in success rate and 124th in EPA. WR J.J. Jones ($5,000) is leading the Heels in routes run this season and played over 90% of the offensive snaps in each of the last two games with a combined 200 receiving yards in the past three weeks.
Injury Notes – n/a
Washington vs. Iowa
Point-Spread: Iowa -3
O/U Total: 42
Implied Score: Iowa 22.5 – UW 19.5
Weather: 67 degrees / 6% rain / 8 mph winds
Washington:
Top Play(s) –
All-American and Heisman Members can view Weekly Player Projections here (click).
To become an All-American or Heisman member of theCFFsite, click here.
Heisman Members can view the full write-up here (click).
To get a one-week membership to view theCFFsite’s Week 7 Player Projections and DFS write-ups, click here.
